Table 12.
Reason for ED visit | Lag day | HI threshold | Original modela | Interaction modelb | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asthma | 1 | 84 | 1.10 (0.75, 1.62) | 1.59 (0.98, 2.60) | 1.50 (0.95, 2.37) | 1.34 (0.90, 2.00) | 1.13 (0.77, 1.64) |
Asthma | 2 | 84 | 0.91 (0.60, 1.39) | 1.31 (0.79, 2.18) | 1.24 (0.77, 2.00) | 1.12 (0.73, 1.73) | 0.96 (0.63, 1.44) |
Asthma | 5 | 70 | 0.92 (0.85, 1.00) | 0.93 (0.86, 1.01) | 0.90 (0.82, 0.98)c | 0.83 (0.74, 0.94)c | 0.74 (0.60, 0.92)c |
Asthma | 5 | 72 | 0.90 (0.82, 0.98)c | 0.91 (0.84, 1.00) | 0.88 (0.81, 0.96)c | 0.82 (0.72, 0.93)c | 0.74 (0.59, 0.91)c |
Asthma | 5 | 74 | 0.94 (0.86, 1.04) | 0.96 (0.87, 1.07) | 0.93 (0.84, 1.02) | 0.86 (0.75, 0.97)c | 0.76 (0.61, 0.94)c |
Bronchitis | 2 | 82 | 0.78 (0.55, 1.11) | 0.64 (0.42, 0.96)c | 0.67 (0.46, 1.00)c | 0.75 (0.52, 1.09) | 0.89 (0.61, 1.31) |
Bronchitis | 2 | 86 | 0.91 (0.33, 2.50) | — | — | — | — |
Bronchitis | 5 | 82 | 0.92 (0.66, 1.29) | 0.77 (0.52, 1.14) | 0.81 (0.56, 1.17)c | 0.89 (0.62, 1.27) | 1.03 (0.71, 1.50) |
Bronchitis | 5 | 84 | 1.10 (0.63, 1.92) | 0.77 (0.39, 1.52) | 0.82 (0.43, 1.58)c | 0.93 (0.50, 1.72) | 1.12 (0.62, 2.01) |
COPD | 2 | 80 | 0.76 (0.60, 0.96)c | 0.68 (0.53, 0.89)c | 0.72 (0.56, 0.92)c | 0.80 (0.62, 1.03) | 0.93 (0.68, 1.28) |
COPD | 3 | 74 | 0.83 (0.74, 0.93)c | 0.81 (0.72, 0.92)c | 0.86 (0.76, 0.97)c | 0.96 (0.80, 1.16) | 1.13 (0.82, 1.57) |
COPD | 3 | 76 | 0.83 (0.73, 0.96)c | 0.81 (0.70, 0.93)c | 0.86 (0.74, 0.99)c | 0.96 (0.79, 1.16) | 1.14 (0.82, 1.58) |
COPD | 3 | 80 | 0.76 (0.60, 0.97)c | 0.69 (0.53, 0.89)c | 0.72 (0.56, 0.93)c | 0.80 (0.62, 1.02) | 0.92 (0.68, 1.26) |
COPD | 3 | 84 | 0.62 (0.34, 1.15) | 0.41 (0.18, 0.90)c | 0.43 (0.20, 0.93)c | 0.48 (0.23, 1.00)c | 0.57 (0.29, 1.13) |
COPD | 5 | 70 | 0.90 (0.82, 0.99)c | 0.91 (0.83, 1.00) | 0.87 (0.78, 0.96)c | 0.78 (0.67, 0.91)c | 0.67 (0.52, 0.88)c |
COPD | 5 | 72 | 0.86 (0.78, 0.96)c | 0.88 (0.79, 0.97)c | 0.83 (0.75, 0.93)c | 0.75 (0.65, 0.88)c | 0.65 (0.50, 0.84)c |
COPD | 5 | 74 | 0.86 (0.77, 0.97)c | 0.88 (0.79, 0.99)c | 0.84 (0.75, 0.94)c | 0.76 (0.65, 0.89)c | 0.65 (0.50, 0.85)c |
COPD | 5 | 76 | 0.81 (0.71, 0.93)c | 0.84 (0.73, 0.96)c | 0.80 (0.70, 0.92)c | 0.73 (0.62, 0.86)c | 0.64 (0.49, 0.83)c |
COPD | 5 | 78 | 0.77 (0.65, 0.91)c | 0.81 (0.68, 0.96)c | 0.77 (0.65, 0.91)c | 0.69 (0.58, 0.83)c | 0.59 (0.45, 0.78)c |
Heart failure | 2 | 84 | 0.29 (0.04, 2.14) | — | — | — | — |
Heart failure | 3 | 86 | 1.10 (0.14, 8.60) | — | — | — | — |
Heat illness | 3 | 82 | 1.05 (0.22, 4.97) | 32.77 (0.72, 1,497.60) | 4.10 (0.73, 23.05) | 0.06 (0.00, 23.79) | — |
Ischemic | 2 | 82 | 0.94 (0.36, 2.50) | 3.21 (0.85, 12.16) | 1.95 (0.69, 5.53) | 0.72 (0.21, 2.50) | 0.16 (0.01, 2.21) |
Ischemic | 5 | 80 | 1.37 (0.77, 2.44) | 1.03 (0.54, 1.98) | 1.25 (0.66, 2.36) | 1.81 (0.84, 3.91) | 3.18 (0.97, 10.49) |
Myocardial infarction | 0 | 70 | 1.53 (0.93, 2.49) | 1.76 (0.97, 3.19) | 3.00 (0.98, 9.18) | 8.69 (0.76, 99.82) | 42.84 (0.47, 3,881.40) |
Pneumonia | 1 | 70 | 0.82 (0.66, 1.02) | 0.89 (0.81, 0.98)c | 0.94 (0.85, 1.05) | 1.06 (0.89, 1.26) | 1.26 (0.93, 1.71) |
Pneumonia | 1 | 72 | 0.82 (0.65, 1.03) | 0.88 (0.79, 0.98)c | 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) | 1.06 (0.89, 1.25) | 1.26 (0.94, 1.71) |
Pneumonia | 1 | 74 | 0.88 (0.69, 1.14) | 0.88 (0.78, 1.00)c | 0.94 (0.83, 1.06) | 1.05 (0.89, 1.25) | 1.26 (0.93, 1.69) |
Pneumonia | 1 | 76 | 0.85 (0.64, 1.14) | 0.93 (0.81, 1.07) | 0.98 (0.85, 1.12) | 1.08 (0.90, 1.29) | 1.24 (0.93, 1.67) |
Pneumonia | 1 | 80 | 0.83 (0.51, 1.37) | 1.11 (0.88, 1.39) | 1.18 (0.95, 1.46) | 1.33 (1.07, 1.66)c | 1.60 (1.18, 2.15)c |
Note: Conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate ORs. —, Model did not converge due to limited sample size; the model is nonetheless listed to indicate that the interaction term was significant for the relevant outcome, threshold, and lag day; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ED, emergency department; HI, heat index; OR, odds ratio; , particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter .
Reported ORs from the original model can be interpreted as the odds of an ED visit when the HI on the given lag day is above vs. below the given threshold, while controlling for daily mean concentration.
Reported ORs from the model that included an interaction between the indicator variable for HI above vs. below the threshold and daily mean concentration can be interpreted as the odds of an ED visit when the HI on the given lag day is above vs. below the given threshold and the concentration on the given lag day is 5, 10, 20, or .
95% CI does not include the null.