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. 2023 Apr 11;38(6):1202–1212. doi: 10.1093/humrep/dead055

Table II.

Associations between COVID-19 severity and annual change in average monthly fertility rate (births/month/100 000 women of reproductive age/year) in the USA following Wave 1 and Wave 2.

Predictor Wave 1
Wave 2
Unadjusted b (95% CI) Adjusted b (95% CI) Unadjusted b (95% CI) Adjusted b (95% CI)
Wave severity (cases/100 000/month) −0.60 (−1.19, −0.02) −0.32 (−0.69, 0.04) −0.04 (−0.15, 0.07) 0.01 (−0.11, 0.13)
Percentage voted Republican 2020 0.45 (0.01, 0.89) −0.05 (−0.27, 0.17)
Percentage non-White −0.90 (−1.25, −0.55) −0.72 (−0.94, −0.50)
Affordable housing units −0.44 (−0.81, −0.07) −0.34 (−0.57, −0.12)
Wave timinga −33.22 (−42.72, −23.72) −6.66 (−13.17, −0.15)
R-squared 0.08 0.78 0.01 0.48
a

Wave 1: Spring versus Summer; Wave 2: Fall versus Winter.

b: beta, effect estimate; COVID-19: coronavirus disease 2019.