Table 3.
Models for PET levels on signal timing.
| Yellow time | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random parameters ordered logit models | Random parameters ordered logit model with heterogeneity in means | ||||||||||
| Coefficients: | Estimate | Odds ratio | Std. error | z-value | Pr( >|z|) | Coefficients: | Estimate | Odds ratio | SE | z-value | Pr( >|z|) |
| No. of Obs = 2955, Log Likelihood = − 3667, AIC = 7361, BIC = 7445 | No. of Obs = 2955, Log Likelihood = − 3658, AIC = 7351, BIC = 7459 | ||||||||||
| Constant | 4.685 | – | 0.884 | 5.301 | 0*** | Constant | 4.603 | 0.824 | 5.584 | 0.000*** | |
| Distance | − 0.175 | 0.839 | 0.048 | − 3.661 | 0*** | Distance | − 0.198 | 0.820 | 0.050 | − 3.979 | 0.000*** |
| Yellow | 0.151 | 1.163 | 0.035 | 4.359 | 0*** | Mean: yellow | 0.104 | 1.109 | 0.043 | 2.434 | 0.015* |
| SD: yellow | 0.363 | 1.437 | 0.031 | 11.528 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Phase 3 | 0.728 | 2.071 | 0.321 | 2.269 | 0.023* | Phase 3 | 1.257 | 3.513 | 0.299 | 4.196 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 5 | − 0.897 | 0.408 | 0.474 | − 1.893 | 0.058 | Phase 5 | − 0.461 | 0.631 | 0.337 | − 1.367 | 0.172 |
| Phase 6 | 2.004 | 7.416 | 0.55 | 3.641 | 0*** | Phase 6 | 3.262 | 26.093 | 0.808 | 4.035 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 7 | 1.444 | 4.238 | 0.288 | 5.022 | 0*** | Phase 7 | 1.650 | 5.205 | 0.362 | 4.552 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 8 | 2.032 | 7.628 | 1.005 | 2.022 | 0.043* | Phase 8 | 2.190 | 8.940 | 0.733 | 2.989 | 0.003** |
| Mean. volume | 0.01 | 1.01 | 0.013 | 0.745 | 0.456 | Mean. volume | 0.022 | 1.023 | 0.013 | 1.782 | 0.075 |
| SD volume | 0.056 | 1.058 | 0.003 | 18.97 | 0*** | SD volume | 0.051 | 1.052 | 0.002 | 24.037 | 0.000*** |
| Heterogeneity in mean: volume * yellow | − 0.001 | 0.999 | 0.002 | − 0.707 | 0.480 | ||||||
| Kappa.1 | 3.853 | – | 0.117 | 32.892 | 0*** | Kappa.1 | 3.862 | – | 0.115 | 33.700 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.2 | 5.298 | – | 0.13 | 40.651 | 0*** | Kappa.2 | 5.339 | – | 0.130 | 41.144 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.3 | 7.004 | – | 0.15 | 46.577 | 0*** | Kappa.3 | 7.080 | – | 0.151 | 46.880 | 0.000*** |
| All red time | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of Obs = 805, Log Likelihood = − 683.8, AIC = 1399.564, BIC = 1474.618 | No. of Obs = 805, Log Likelihood = − 651.1, AIC = 1342, BIC = 1435 | ||||||||||
| Constant | 14.475 | – | 1.162 | 12.451 | 0*** | Constant | 13.571 | 1.199 | 11.319 | 0.000*** | |
| Speeding prop | 3.956 | 52.274 | 0.732 | 5.404 | 0*** | Speeding_prop | 5.040 | 154.526 | 0.563 | 8.949 | 0.000*** |
| All red | − 0.558 | 0.572 | 0.124 | − 4.515 | 0*** | Mean. all_red | 0.172 | 1.188 | 0.129 | 1.333 | 0.183 |
| SD. all_red | 1.252 | 3.496 | 0.111 | 11.285 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Distance | 0.111 | 1.117 | 0.054 | 2.044 | 0.041* | ||||||
| Phase 1 | − 2.573 | 0.076 | 0.57 | − 4.514 | 0*** | Phase 1 | − 1.843 | 0.158 | 0.568 | − 3.244 | 0.001** |
| Phase 2 | 3.644 | 38.238 | 0.605 | 6.027 | 0*** | Phase 2 | 1.792 | 6.001 | 0.410 | 4.374 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 3 | − 1.262 | 0.283 | 0.573 | − 2.202 | 0.028* | Phase 3 | − 2.431 | 0.088 | 0.482 | − 5.040 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 4 | 4.986 | 146.288 | 1.332 | 3.743 | 0*** | Phase 4 | 1.133 | 3.105 | 0.944 | 1.200 | 0.230 |
| Phase 5 | 4.196 | 66.43 | 1.122 | 3.739 | 0*** | Phase 5 | 1.593 | 4.917 | 0.598 | 2.665 | 0.008** |
| Phase 7 | 4.058 | 57.855 | 0.861 | 4.711 | 0*** | Phase 8 | − 2.607 | 0.074 | 1.067 | − 2.444 | 0.015* |
| Mean. volume | − 0.089 | 0.915 | 0.018 | − 5.022 | 0*** | Volume | − 0.074 | 0.929 | 0.013 | − 5.742 | 0.000*** |
| SD volume | 0.117 | 1.124 | 0.007 | 15.714 | 0*** | mean. intersection | 7.445 | 1711.371 | 1.370 | 5.435 | 0.000*** |
| SD intersection | 4.824 | 124.454 | 0.322 | 14.999 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Heterogeneity in mean: intersection.all_red | − 2.648 | 0.071 | 0.396 | − 6.684 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Kappa.1 | 4.96 | – | 0.438 | 11.316 | 0*** | Kappa.1 | 5.22277 | – | 0.44709 | 11.682 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.2 | 8.259 | – | 0.515 | 16.039 | 0*** | Kappa.2 | 8.71902 | – | 0.54801 | 15.91 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.3 | 11.026 | – | 0.596 | 18.487 | 0*** | Kappa.3 | 11.38398 | – | 0.61409 | 18.538 | 0.000*** |
| Red clearance | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of Obs = 6785, Log Likelihood = − 8881, AIC = 19,792, BIC = 19,915 | No. of Obs = 6785, Log Likelihood = − 8956, AIC = 17,952, BIC = 18,088 | ||||||||||
| Constant | 8.072 | – | 0.574 | 14.058 | 0*** | Constant | 7.327 | 0.418 | 17.511 | 0.000*** | |
| Speeding prop | 0.421 | 1.523 | 0.159 | 2.654 | 0.008** | Speeding_prop | 0.156 | 1.169 | 0.167 | 0.933 | 0.351 |
| Distance | − 0.155 | 0.856 | 0.023 | − 6.672 | 0*** | Distance | − 0.158 | 0.854 | 0.024 | − 6.544 | 0.000*** |
| Red clearance | 0.033 | 1.033 | 0.023 | 1.443 | 0.149 | Mean. red_clearance | 0.034 | 1.034 | 0.028 | 1.225 | 0.220 |
| SD. red_clearance | 0.513 | 1.671 | 0.021 | 23.887 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Intersection | − 0.338 | 0.714 | 0.084 | − 4.003 | 0*** | Mean. intersection | 1.825 | 6.200 | 0.297 | 6.138 | 0.000*** |
| SD. intersection | 1.646 | 5.186 | 0.091 | 18.054 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Phase 1 | − 0.701 | 0.496 | 0.413 | − 1.696 | 0.09 | Phase 1 | − 0.618 | 0.539 | 0.395 | − 1.565 | 0.118 |
| Phase 2 | − 1.03 | 0.357 | 0.209 | − 4.937 | 0*** | Phase 2 | − 0.701 | 0.496 | 0.138 | − 5.088 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 3 | − 1.821 | 0.162 | 0.605 | − 3.01 | 0.003** | Phase 3 | − 1.437 | 0.238 | 1.380 | − 1.041 | 0.298 |
| Phase 4 | − 5.175 | 0.006 | 0.703 | − 7.36 | 0*** | Phase 4 | − 4.856 | 0.008 | 0.629 | − 7.726 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 5 | − 3.126 | 0.044 | 0.329 | − 9.492 | 0*** | Phase 5 | − 2.391 | 0.092 | 0.203 | − 11.804 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 6 | − 1.471 | 0.23 | 0.23 | − 6.402 | 0*** | Phase 6 | − 0.820 | 0.441 | 0.192 | − 4.272 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 7 | − 1.488 | 0.226 | 0.218 | − 6.82 | 0*** | Phase 7 | − 1.528 | 0.217 | 0.174 | − 8.775 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 8 | − 1.106 | 0.331 | 0.319 | − 3.466 | 0.001*** | Phase 8 | − 1.728 | 0.178 | 0.389 | − 4.447 | 0.000*** |
| Mean. volume | − 0.001 | 0.999 | 0.01 | − 0.063 | 0.95 | Volume | 0.005 | 1.005 | 0.004 | 1.388 | 0.165 |
| SD volume | 0.042 | 1.043 | 0.002 | 25.986 | 0*** | ||||||
| Heterogeneity in mean: intersection.red_clearance | − 0.532 | 0.071 | − 7.533 | 0.000*** | |||||||
| Kappa.1 | 3.514 | – | 0.083 | 42.558 | 0*** | Kappa.1 | 3.456 | – | 0.080 | 43.082 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.2 | 4.85 | – | 0.089 | 54.498 | 0*** | Kappa.2 | 4.754 | – | 0.086 | 55.066 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.3 | 6.514 | – | 0.098 | 66.606 | 0*** | Kappa.3 | 6.380 | – | 0.095 | 67.419 | 0.000*** |
| Red time | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of Obs = 7112, Log Likelihood = − 10,150, AIC = 20,334, BIC = 20,451 | No. of Obs = 7112, Log Likelihood = − 10,130, AIC = 20,301, BIC = 20,432 | ||||||||||
| Constant | 4.198 | – | 0.222 | 18.95 | 0*** | Constant | 4.982 | 0.284 | 17.577 | 0.000*** | |
| Speeding prop | 1.398 | 4.049 | 0.105 | 13.264 | 0*** | Speeding_prop | 1.471 | 4.354 | 0.117 | 12.545 | 0.000*** |
| Distance | 0.096 | 1.101 | 0.011 | 9.036 | 0*** | Distance | 0.104 | 1.110 | 0.011 | 9.114 | 0.000*** |
| Red | − 0.004 | 0.996 | 0.001 | − 7.579 | 0*** | Mean. red | − 0.014 | 0.986 | 0.003 | − 5.666 | 0.000*** |
| SD. red | 0.007 | 1.007 | 0.001 | 7.238 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Intersection | − 1.043 | 0.352 | 0.07 | − 14.912 | 0*** | Intersection | − 1.101 | 0.333 | 0.078 | − 14.075 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 2 | 0.371 | 1.45 | 0.089 | 4.158 | 0*** | Phase 2 | 0.429 | 1.535 | 0.095 | 4.531 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 4 | 0.639 | 1.894 | 0.163 | 3.921 | 0*** | Phase 4 | 0.617 | 1.853 | 0.176 | 3.504 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 5 | − 0.245 | 0.783 | 0.134 | − 1.826 | 0.068* | ||||||
| Phase 6 | 0.652 | 1.92 | 0.134 | 4.868 | 0*** | Phase 6 | 0.769 | 2.158 | 0.142 | 5.432 | 0.000*** |
| Mean. volume | − 0.011 | 0.989 | 0.002 | − 4.674 | 0*** | Mean. volume | − 0.023 | 0.977 | 0.004 | − 6.216 | 0.000*** |
| SD volume | 0.013 | 1.013 | 0.003 | 4.616 | 0*** | SD volume | 0.014 | 1.015 | 0.003 | 4.622 | 0.000*** |
| Heterogeneity in mean: volume.red | 0.0002 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 4.212 | 0.000*** | ||||||
| Kappa.1 | 2.4 | – | 0.084 | 28.496 | 0*** | Kappa.1 | 2.568 | – | 0.108 | 23.883 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.2 | 3.659 | – | 0.122 | 30.101 | 0*** | Kappa.2 | 3.920 | – | 0.159 | 24.668 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.3 | 4.859 | – | 0.157 | 30.943 | 0*** | Kappa.3 | 5.197 | – | 0.206 | 25.172 | 0.000*** |
| Green time | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of Obs = 62,416, Log Likelihood = − 91,730, AIC = 183,497, BIC = 183,651 | No. of Obs = 62,416, Log Likelihood = − 91,730, AIC = 183,449, BIC = 183,631 | ||||||||||
| Constant | 4.767 | – | 0.092 | 51.701 | 0*** | Constant | 4.870 | 0.111 | 43.990 | 0.000*** | |
| Speeding prop | 0.85 | 2.34 | 0.033 | 25.571 | 0*** | Speeding_prop | 0.856 | 2.353 | 0.033 | 25.624 | 0.000*** |
| Distance | − 0.082 | 0.921 | 0.005 | − 14.983 | 0*** | Distance | − 0.082 | 0.921 | 0.005 | − 15.020 | 0.000*** |
| Green | 0.019 | 1.02 | 0.001 | 28.633 | 0*** | Mean. green | 0.015 | 1.015 | 0.002 | 6.178 | 0.000*** |
| SD. green | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.001 | 0.205 | 0.837 | ||||||
| Intersection | − 0.272 | 0.762 | 0.016 | − 16.767 | 0*** | Intersection | − 0.273 | 0.761 | 0.016 | − 16.785 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 2 | − 0.265 | 0.767 | 0.027 | − 9.951 | 0*** | Phase 2 | − 0.254 | 0.776 | 0.027 | − 9.301 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 4 | − 0.922 | 0.398 | 0.05 | − 18.607 | 0*** | Phase 4 | − 0.897 | 0.408 | 0.051 | − 17.507 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 5 | 0.146 | 1.157 | 0.046 | 3.202 | 0.001** | Phase 5 | 0.166 | 1.181 | 0.047 | 3.525 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 6 | − 0.641 | 0.527 | 0.035 | − 18.238 | 0*** | Phase 6 | − 0.642 | 0.526 | 0.035 | − 18.245 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 7 | 0.174 | 1.19 | 0.032 | 5.374 | 0*** | Phase 7 | 0.176 | 1.193 | 0.032 | 5.440 | 0.000*** |
| Phase 8 | − 0.606 | 0.546 | 0.039 | − 15.69 | 0*** | Phase 8 | − 0.594 | 0.552 | 0.039 | − 15.112 | 0.000*** |
| Mean. volume | − 0.001 | 0.999 | 0.001 | − 1.206 | 0.228 | Mean. volume | − 0.003 | 0.997 | 0.001 | − 2.037 | 0.042* |
| SD volume | 0.006 | 1.006 | 0.001 | 4.394 | 0*** | SD volume | 0.006 | 1.006 | 0.001 | 4.484 | 0.000*** |
| Heterogeneity in mean: volume. green | 0.0001 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 1.665 | 0.096 | ||||||
| Kappa.1 | 2.511 | – | 0.024 | 103.157 | 0*** | Kappa.1 | 2.512 | – | 0.024 | 102.981 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.2 | 3.531 | – | 0.032 | 110.856 | 0*** | Kappa.2 | 3.533 | – | 0.032 | 110.595 | 0.000*** |
| Kappa.3 | 4.712 | – | 0.041 | 115.072 | 0*** | Kappa.3 | 4.715 | – | 0.041 | 114.763 | 0.000*** |