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. 2023 Jun 10;8:90. doi: 10.1038/s41541-023-00668-0

Table 2.

Vaccination scenarios.

Scenario Year of vaccine introduction Maximum coverage Durability of vaccine-derived immunity
1 Country-specific (2022 - 2034) Country-specific (9 - 99%) Full efficacy for 10 years
2 Country-specific (2022 - 2034) Country-specific (9 - 99%) Linear waning over 20 years
3 2022 50% Full efficacy for 10 years
4 2022 50% Linear waning over 20 years
5 Country-specific (2022 - 2034) 50% Full efficacy for 10 years
6 Country-specific (2022 - 2034) 50% Linear waning over 20 years

Potential vaccination scenarios for varying years of vaccine introduction, coverage, vaccine-derived immunity dynamics, and age of vaccination (at birth or 5 years of age).