Table. Estimated Opioid Overdose Deaths Averted Between August 2020 and June 2025 by the Duration of Sustaining Different Interventions in Kentucky, Massachusetts, New York, and Ohio.
Sustained interventions | Deaths averted between August 2020 and June 2025 under different durations of sustainment of interventions | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2-fold MOUD initiation increase | 5-fold MOUD initiation increase | |||||||
Intervention period only | Sustainment, y | Intervention period only | Sustainment, y | |||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
Kentucky | ||||||||
Sustain all 4 interventions | 455 | 691 | 892 | 1049 | 746 | 1084 | 1336 | 1499 |
Increased MOUD initiation | 486 | 506 | 511 | 850 | 913 | 932 | ||
Increased MOUD retentiona | 485 | 504 | 511 | 793 | 817 | 825 | ||
OENDb | 600 | 746 | 892 | 882 | 1021 | 1162 | ||
Safe opioid prescribingc | 474 | 486 | 490 | 765 | 777 | 781 | ||
Massachusetts | ||||||||
Sustain all 4 interventions | 1056 | 1572 | 1972 | 2231 | 2051 | 2867 | 3414 | 3689 |
Increased MOUD initiation | 1185 | 1270 | 1299 | 2418 | 2656 | 2736 | ||
Increased MOUD retentiona | 1172 | 1247 | 1276 | 2213 | 2301 | 2334 | ||
OENDb | 1258 | 1468 | 1685 | 2224 | 2411 | 2610 | ||
Safe opioid prescribingc | 1091 | 1108 | 1112 | 2087 | 2104 | 2108 | ||
New York | ||||||||
Sustain all 4 interventions | 1608 | 2401 | 3035 | 3490 | 2886 | 4026 | 4817 | 5280 |
Increased MOUD initiation | 1764 | 1862 | 1893 | 3319 | 3585 | 3667 | ||
Increased MOUD retentiona | 1757 | 1850 | 1885 | 3092 | 3200 | 3239 | ||
OENDb | 1998 | 2396 | 2802 | 3237 | 3606 | 3988 | ||
Safe opioid prescribingc | 1666 | 1698 | 1707 | 2944 | 2976 | 2985 | ||
Ohio | ||||||||
Sustain all 4 interventions | 2084 | 3122 | 3945 | 4518 | 3724 | 5363 | 6513 | 7132 |
Increased MOUD initiation | 2280 | 2409 | 2453 | 4356 | 4766 | 4904 | ||
Increased MOUD retentiona | 2269 | 2389 | 2437 | 4006 | 4154 | 4208 | ||
OENDb | 2549 | 3032 | 3530 | 4140 | 4583 | 5052 | ||
Safe opioid prescribingc | 2216 | 2280 | 2295 | 3856 | 3920 | 3936 |
Abbreviations: MOUD, medication for opioid use disorder; OEND, overdose education and naloxone distribution.
MOUD retention at the level observed in clinical trials (6-month retention of 46% for buprenorphine and 74% for methadone).
OEND that translates to a 10% mortality rate reduction.
An increase in safe opioid prescribing that translates to a 50% reduction in new prescription opioid misuse.