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. 2023 Jun 9;6(6):e2314925. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.14925

Table. Estimated Opioid Overdose Deaths Averted Between August 2020 and June 2025 by the Duration of Sustaining Different Interventions in Kentucky, Massachusetts, New York, and Ohio.

Sustained interventions Deaths averted between August 2020 and June 2025 under different durations of sustainment of interventions
2-fold MOUD initiation increase 5-fold MOUD initiation increase
Intervention period only Sustainment, y Intervention period only Sustainment, y
1 2 3 1 2 3
Kentucky
Sustain all 4 interventions 455 691 892 1049 746 1084 1336 1499
Increased MOUD initiation 486 506 511 850 913 932
Increased MOUD retentiona 485 504 511 793 817 825
OENDb 600 746 892 882 1021 1162
Safe opioid prescribingc 474 486 490 765 777 781
Massachusetts
Sustain all 4 interventions 1056 1572 1972 2231 2051 2867 3414 3689
Increased MOUD initiation 1185 1270 1299 2418 2656 2736
Increased MOUD retentiona 1172 1247 1276 2213 2301 2334
OENDb 1258 1468 1685 2224 2411 2610
Safe opioid prescribingc 1091 1108 1112 2087 2104 2108
New York
Sustain all 4 interventions 1608 2401 3035 3490 2886 4026 4817 5280
Increased MOUD initiation 1764 1862 1893 3319 3585 3667
Increased MOUD retentiona 1757 1850 1885 3092 3200 3239
OENDb 1998 2396 2802 3237 3606 3988
Safe opioid prescribingc 1666 1698 1707 2944 2976 2985
Ohio
Sustain all 4 interventions 2084 3122 3945 4518 3724 5363 6513 7132
Increased MOUD initiation 2280 2409 2453 4356 4766 4904
Increased MOUD retentiona 2269 2389 2437 4006 4154 4208
OENDb 2549 3032 3530 4140 4583 5052
Safe opioid prescribingc 2216 2280 2295 3856 3920 3936

Abbreviations: MOUD, medication for opioid use disorder; OEND, overdose education and naloxone distribution.

a

MOUD retention at the level observed in clinical trials (6-month retention of 46% for buprenorphine and 74% for methadone).

b

OEND that translates to a 10% mortality rate reduction.

c

An increase in safe opioid prescribing that translates to a 50% reduction in new prescription opioid misuse.