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. 2023 Jul 5;33(7):350–359. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20210392

Table 3. Multilevel survival analyses of associations of combination of MVPA, dietary variety, and social interactions with incident disability (n = 7,822).

Combination categories Number of
events/
participants
Incidence
rate per
1,000
person-years
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 PAF, %
(95% CI)




HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P Insufficiency
→sufficiency
Number of satisfying behaviors
 Not satisfying any behaviors 109/451 88.2 1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)    
 Satisfying any one behavior 274/1,620 59.9 0.72 (0.58–0.90) 0.004 0.73 (0.59–0.92) 0.007 0.75 (0.60–0.94) 0.012 0.82 (0.65–1.03) 0.08 4.0 (−0.2 to 7.9)
 Satisfying any two behaviors 382/2,975 44.4 0.51 (0.41–0.63) <0.001 0.55 (0.44–0.68) <0.001 0.58 (0.47–0.73) <0.001 0.65 (0.52–0.82) <0.001 9.6 (4.8–14.1)
 Satisfying all three behaviors 281/2,776 34.4 0.38 (0.30–0.47) <0.001 0.42 (0.34–0.53) <0.001 0.47 (0.37–0.60) <0.001 0.54 (0.43–0.69) <0.001 16.0 (8.7–22.8)
  1,046/7,822 46.3   Trend <0.001   Trend <0.001   Trend <0.001   Trend <0.001  
Combination pattern of satisfying behaviors
 Not satisfying any behaviors 109/451 88.2 1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)   1.00 (Ref.)    
 Only MVPA 113/861 45.6 0.60 (0.46–0.78) <0.001 0.61 (0.46–0.79) <0.001 0.62 (0.47–0.81) <0.001 0.69 (0.53–0.90) 0.007  
 Only dietary variety 72/292 89.7 0.86 (0.64–1.16) 0.32 0.87 (0.64–1.17) 0.36 0.85 (0.63–1.15) 0.29 0.86 (0.63–1.16) 0.32  
 Only social interaction 89/467 68.7 0.83 (0.63–1.10) 0.20 0.87 (0.65–1.15) 0.33 0.91 (0.69–1.22) 0.54 1.02 (0.77–1.36) 0.88  
 MVPA + dietary variety 129/933 47.6 0.51 (0.40–0.66) <0.001 0.55 (0.42–0.71) <0.001 0.58 (0.44–0.75) <0.001 0.64 (0.49–0.83) 0.001  
 Dietary variety + social interaction 85/456 66.4 0.66 (0.49–0.87) 0.004 0.71 (0.53–0.95) 0.020 0.73 (0.54–0.98) 0.034 0.78 (0.58–1.05) 0.10  
 MVPA + social interaction 168/1,586 36.4 0.46 (0.36–0.59) <0.001 0.49 (0.39–0.63) <0.001 0.54 (0.42–0.69) <0.001 0.62 (0.48–0.79) <0.001  
 MVPA + dietary variety + social interaction 281/2,776 34.4 0.38 (0.30–0.47) <0.001 0.43 (0.34–0.54) <0.001 0.48 (0.38–0.61) <0.001 0.54 (0.43–0.69) <0.001  
  1,046/7,822 46.3                          

CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; IADL, instrumental activities of daily living; MVPA, moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity; PAF, population-attributable fraction.

Total MVPA time ≥150 minutes/week, dietary variety (Dietary Variety Score) ≥3, and social interaction (apart from cohabiting family members) ≥1 time/week were defined as sufficiency, respectively.

Model 1: Adjusted for age and sex.

Model 2: Adjusted for variables in model 1, plus living situation, marital status, education, equivalent income, body mass index, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, heart disease, stroke, diabetes mellitus, cancer, alcohol drinking status, and smoking status.

Model 3: Adjusted for variables in model 2, plus depressive mood, lower back pain, knee pain, and sitting time.

Model 4: Adjusted for variables in model 3, plus IADL dependency.