Table 2.
Estimated CVD, CHD and stroke deaths prevented or postponed (DPP) by 2030 by the achievement of modest, ideal and optimistic scenarios (reducing intakes of saturated fat, trans-fat, salt and added sugar from ultra-processed foods and processed culinary ingredients) in specific food policy options, by sex, in Brazil
| DPP (n) | DPP (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men | 95 % CI | Women | 95 % CI | Men+women | 95 % CI | |
| Scenario A (modest) | ||||||
| CVD | 11 670 | 9130, 14 690 | 9430 | 7090, 12 360 | 5·5 | 4·5, 6·5 |
| CHD | 5570 | 4000, 7330 | 3730 | 2590, 5120 | 4·8 | 4·0, 6·0 |
| Stroke | 6100 | 4410, 8170 | 5700 | 3970, 7950 | 6·0 | 4·5, 6·5 |
| Scenario B (ideal) | ||||||
| CVD | 24 180 | 19 400, 29 160 | 20 010 | 15 408, 24 770 | 11·0 | 9·6, 13·0 |
| CHD | 11 460 | 8360, 14 670 | 7880 | 5470, 10 320 | 10·0 | 8·0, 12·0 |
| Stroke | 12 720 | 9370, 16 370 | 12 130 | 8550, 15 970 | 12·6 | 10·0, 15·0 |
| Scenario C (optimistic) | ||||||
| CVD | 59 510 | 36 400, 85 630 | 51 630 | 31 690, 74 780 | 29·0 | 18·0, 41·0 |
| CHD | 27 440 | 12 220, 44 080 | 20 300 | 9140, 32 830 | 25·0 | 11·0, 40·0 |
| Stroke | 32 070 | 15 510, 50 290 | 31 330 | 15 160, 49 560 | 32·0 | 16·0, 50·0 |