Table 3.

Forecast results of income and expenditure of Shanghai basic medical insurance pooling fund for employees from 2021 to 2035 (low scenario).

Year	When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is 2% faster than the growth rate of the actual contribution base		When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is 1% faster than the growth rate of the actual contribution base		When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is equal to the growth rate of the actual contribution base
	Pooling fund income	Pooling fund expenditure	Pooling fund income	Pooling fund expenditure	Pooling fund income	Pooling fund expenditure
2021	79.046	49.19	79.046	48.289	79.046	47.395
2022	82.335	53.73	82.335	52.261	82.335	50.82
2023	85.173	58.738	85.173	56.61	85.173	54.54
2024	88.447	64.102	88.447	61.213	88.447	58.429
2025	91.764	69.825	91.764	66.066	91.764	62.477
2026	95.113	75.954	95.113	71.205	95.113	66.713
2027	98.708	82.762	98.708	76.877	98.708	71.362
2028	102.049	90.158	102.049	82.98	102.049	76.315
2029	105.615	98.027	105.615	89.395	105.615	81.453
2030	109.29	106.41	109.29	96.147	109.29	86.793
2031	113.084	115.307	113.084	103.227	113.084	92.318
2032	117.225	125.265	117.225	111.111	117.225	98.446
2033	121.389	135.994	121.389	119.519	121.389	104.913
2034	125.922	147.192	125.922	128.167	125.922	111.457
2035	130.413	158.923	130.413	137.104	130.413	118.118

Unit: billion yuan.