Table 7.
Medium and long term balance results of Shanghai basic medical insurance pooling fund for employees from 2021 to 2035 (medium scenario).
| Year | When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is 2% faster than the growth rate of the actual contribution base | When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is 1% faster than the growth rate of the actual contribution base | When the growth rate of per capita medical expenses due to non-demographic factors is equal to the growth rate of the actual contribution base | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current balance of pooling fund | Cumulative balance of pooling fund | Current balance of pooling fund | Cumulative balance of pooling fund | Current balance of pooling fund | Cumulative balance of pooling fund | |
| 2021 | 29.907 | 244.925 | 30.809 | 246.253 | 31.702 | 247.572 |
| 2022 | 28.713 | 277.045 | 30.182 | 279.865 | 31.625 | 282.65 |
| 2023 | 26.625 | 307.502 | 28.755 | 312.499 | 30.827 | 317.401 |
| 2024 | 24.643 | 336.383 | 27.537 | 344.351 | 30.325 | 352.117 |
| 2025 | 22.415 | 363.417 | 26.183 | 375.274 | 29.78 | 386.755 |
| 2026 | 19.871 | 388.264 | 24.637 | 405.063 | 29.144 | 421.222 |
| 2027 | 16.96 | 410.525 | 22.872 | 433.484 | 28.413 | 455.422 |
| 2028 | 13.278 | 429.392 | 20.499 | 459.907 | 27.204 | 488.869 |
| 2029 | 9.425 | 444.647 | 18.123 | 484.302 | 26.124 | 521.685 |
| 2030 | 5.253 | 455.921 | 15.611 | 506.506 | 25.052 | 553.868 |
| 2031 | 0.724 | 462.803 | 12.938 | 526.327 | 23.967 | 585.396 |
| 2032 | −4.483 | 464.552 | 9.853 | 543.32 | 22.679 | 616.056 |
| 2033 | −10.402 | 460.385 | 6.314 | 556.991 | 21.131 | 645.578 |
| 2034 | −16.389 | 450.154 | 2.949 | 567.469 | 19.931 | 674.294 |
| 2035 | −22.92 | 433.23 | −0.701 | 574.426 | 18.629 | 702.091 |
Unit: billion yuan.