Table 1.

Sensitivity and specificity of SARIMA models for the number of JE emerging townships.

Actual	Predicted		Total
	Occurrence	Non-occurrence
Define an outbreak as 25% above Median
Occurrence	7	3	10
Non Occurrence	4	90	94
Total	11	93	104
Define an outbreak as 50% above Median
Occurrence	7	3	10
Non Occurrence	4	90	94
Total	11	93	104
Define an outbreak as 75% above Median
Occurrence	7	2	9
Non Occurrence	4	91	95
Total	11	93	104