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. 2023 Jun 23;18(6):e0286297. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286297

Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and design

Leora I Horwitz 1,*, Tanayott Thaweethai 2, Shari B Brosnahan 3, Mine S Cicek 4, Megan L Fitzgerald 5, Jason D Goldman 6, Rachel Hess 7, S L Hodder 8, Vanessa L Jacoby 9, Michael R Jordan 10, Jerry A Krishnan 11, Adeyinka O Laiyemo 12, Torri D Metz 13, Lauren Nichols 14, Rachel E Patzer 15, Anisha Sekar 5, Nora G Singer 16, Lauren E Stiles 17, Barbara S Taylor 18, Shifa Ahmed 2, Heather A Algren 19, Khamal Anglin 20, Lisa Aponte-Soto 21, Hassan Ashktorab 12, Ingrid V Bassett 22, Brahmchetna Bedi 23, Nahid Bhadelia 24, Christian Bime 25, Marie-Abele C Bind 2, Lora J Black 26, Andra L Blomkalns 27, Hassan Brim 28, Mario Castro 29, James Chan 2, Alexander W Charney 30, Benjamin K Chen 31, Li Qing Chen 32, Peter Chen 33, David Chestek 34, Lori B Chibnik 35, Dominic C Chow 36, Helen Y Chu 37, Rebecca G Clifton 38, Shelby Collins 23, Maged M Costantine 39, Sushma K Cribbs 23, Steven G Deeks 40, John D Dickinson 41, Sarah E Donohue 42, Matthew S Durstenfeld 43, Ivette F Emery 44, Kristine M Erlandson 45, Julio C Facelli 46, Rachael Farah-Abraham 47, Aloke V Finn 48, Melinda S Fischer 18, Valerie J Flaherman 49, Judes Fleurimont 50, Vivian Fonseca 51, Emily J Gallagher 52, Jennifer C Gander 53, Maria Laura Gennaro 54, Kelly S Gibson 55, Minjoung Go 56, Steven N Goodman 57, Joey P Granger 58, Frank L Greenway 59, John W Hafner 60, Jenny E Han 61, Michelle S Harkins 62, Kristine S P Hauser 63, James R Heath 64, Carla R Hernandez 65, On Ho 66, Matthew K Hoffman 67, Susan E Hoover 26, Carol R Horowitz 68, Harvey Hsu 69, Priscilla Y Hsue 40, Brenna L Hughes 70, Prasanna Jagannathan 56, Judith A James 71, Janice John 72, Sarah Jolley 73, S E Judd 74, Joy J Juskowich 75, Diane G Kanjilal 76, Elizabeth W Karlson 77, Stuart D Katz 78, J Daniel Kelly 40, Sara W Kelly 79, Arthur Y Kim 76, John P Kirwan 80, Kenneth S Knox 69, Andre Kumar 56, Michelle F Lamendola-Essel 78, Margaret Lanca 81, Joyce K Lee-lannotti 82, R Craig Lefebvre 83, Bruce D Levy 84, Janet Y Lin 34, Brian P Logarbo Jr 85, Jennifer K Logue 86, Michele T Longo 87, Carlos A Luciano 88, Karen Lutrick 89, Shahdi K Malakooti 90, Gail Mallett 91, Gabrielle Maranga 1, Jai G Marathe 92, Vincent C Marconi 93, Gailen D Marshall 94, Christopher F Martin 47, Jeffrey N Martin 95, Heidi T May 96, Grace A McComsey 97, Dylan McDonald 37, Hector Mendez-Figueroa 98, Lucio Miele 99, Murray A Mittleman 100, Sindhu Mohandas 101, Christian Mouchati 90, Janet M Mullington 102, Girish N Nadkarni 103, Erica R Nahin 78, Robert B Neuman 104, Lisa T Newman 105, Amber Nguyen 2, Janko Z Nikolich 106, Igho Ofotokun 47, Princess U Ogbogu 107, Anna Palatnik 108, Kristy T S Palomares 109, Tanyalak Parimon 33, Samuel Parry 110, Sairam Parthasarathy 25, Thomas F Patterson 111, Ann Pearman 90, Michael J Peluso 112, Priscilla Pemu 113, Christian M Pettker 114, Beth A Plunkett 115, Kristen Pogreba-Brown 116, Athena Poppas 117, J Zachary Porterfield 118, John G Quigley 119, Davin K Quinn 120, Hengameh Raissy 121, Candida J Rebello 122, Uma M Reddy 123, Rebecca Reece 75, Harrison T Reeder 2, Franz P Rischard 124, Johana M Rosas 78, Clifford J Rosen 44, Nadine G Rouphael 23, Dwight J Rouse 125, Adam M Ruff 29, Christina Saint Jean 1, Grecio J Sandoval 38, Jorge L Santana 126, Shannon M Schlater 127, Frank C Sciurba 128, Caitlin Selvaggi 2, Sudha Seshadri 129, Howard D Sesso 130, Dimpy P Shah 131, Eyal Shemesh 132, Zaki A Sherif 133, Daniel J Shinnick 2, Hyagriv N Simhan 134, Upinder Singh 135, Amber Sowles 13, Vignesh Subbian 136, Jun Sun 11, Mehul S Suthar 137, Larissa J Teunis 138, John M Thorp Jr 139, Amberly Ticotsky 72, Alan T N Tita 140, Robin Tragus 141, Katherine R Tuttle 142, Alfredo E Urdaneta 27, P J Utz 135, Timothy M VanWagoner 143, Andrew Vasey 41, Suzanne D Vernon 144, Crystal Vidal 1, Tiffany Walker 23, Honorine D Ward 145, David E Warren 146, Ryan M Weeks 147, Steven J Weiner 38, Jordan C Weyer 148, Jennifer L Wheeler 148, Sidney W Whiteheart 149, Zanthia Wiley 47, Natasha J Williams 150, Juan P Wisnivesky 103, John C Wood 151, Lynn M Yee 152, Natalie M Young 19, Sokratis N Zisis 97, Andrea S Foulkes 2
Editor: Luis Felipe Reyes153
PMCID: PMC10289397  PMID: 37352211

Abstract

Importance

SARS-CoV-2 infection can result in ongoing, relapsing, or new symptoms or other health effects after the acute phase of infection; termed post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or long COVID. The characteristics, prevalence, trajectory and mechanisms of PASC are ill-defined. The objectives of the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of PASC in Adults (RECOVER-Adult) are to: (1) characterize PASC prevalence; (2) characterize the symptoms, organ dysfunction, natural history, and distinct phenotypes of PASC; (3) identify demographic, social and clinical risk factors for PASC onset and recovery; and (4) define the biological mechanisms underlying PASC pathogenesis.

Methods

RECOVER-Adult is a combined prospective/retrospective cohort currently planned to enroll 14,880 adults aged ≥18 years. Eligible participants either must meet WHO criteria for suspected, probable, or confirmed infection; or must have evidence of no prior infection. Recruitment occurs at 86 sites in 33 U.S. states, Washington, DC and Puerto Rico, via facility- and community-based outreach. Participants complete quarterly questionnaires about symptoms, social determinants, vaccination status, and interim SARS-CoV-2 infections. In addition, participants contribute biospecimens and undergo physical and laboratory examinations at approximately 0, 90 and 180 days from infection or negative test date, and yearly thereafter. Some participants undergo additional testing based on specific criteria or random sampling. Patient representatives provide input on all study processes. The primary study outcome is onset of PASC, measured by signs and symptoms. A paradigm for identifying PASC cases will be defined and updated using supervised and unsupervised learning approaches with cross-validation. Logistic regression and proportional hazards regression will be conducted to investigate associations between risk factors, onset, and resolution of PASC symptoms.

Discussion

RECOVER-Adult is the first national, prospective, longitudinal cohort of PASC among US adults. Results of this study are intended to inform public health, spur clinical trials, and expand treatment options.

Registration

NCT05172024.

Introduction

Hundreds of millions of people worldwide have been infected with the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) [1]. Many have experienced ongoing, relapsing, or new symptoms or other health effects occurring after the acute phase of infection, termed post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or long COVID. While more than 200 symptoms have been associated with PASC [2], there are no agreed upon criteria for the diagnosis of PASC, and estimates of PASC incidence and prevalence vary widely [39].

The pathophysiology underlying PASC remains incompletely understood [10, 11]. Various mechanisms have been proposed, including viral persistence [1217], microvascular clotting and platelet dysregulation [1821], tissue damage from initial infection [22, 23], inflammation and immune dysregulation [17, 2431], reactivation of other latent viral infections (e.g., Epstein-Barr virus) [17, 32, 33], microbial translocation and dysbiosis [34, 35], and/or impacts of pandemic-related disruptions on health [3638]. Further characterization of PASC clinical manifestations and underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms could facilitate identification and investigation of preventive and therapeutic interventions.

Materials and methods

Objectives

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) initiative “Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Adults” (RECOVER-Adult) is intended to: (1) characterize the incidence and prevalence of PASC; (2) characterize the spectrum of clinical symptoms, subclinical organ dysfunction, natural history, and distinct phenotypes identified as PASC; (3) identify demographic, social determinants of health (SDoH), and clinical risk factors for PASC and PASC recovery, and (4) define the biological mechanisms underlying pathogenesis of PASC. This report describes the study design of the RECOVER-Adult study.

Study design

RECOVER is an ambidirectional (combined retrospective and prospective) longitudinal cohort study that includes people infected or uninfected with SARS-CoV-2. Participants may be enrolled at the time of SARS-CoV-2 infection or a negative test (for uninfected group) and followed prospectively; or, may be enrolled after SARS-CoV-2 infection or a negative test, asked retrospectively about symptoms since infection or a negative test, and then followed prospectively. Participants may be followed until October 2025. An embedded cohort study of pregnant people will provide longitudinal follow-up of the birthing parent and offspring. The protocol for the pregnancy cohort is reported separately [39]. In addition, a series of nested case-control studies will be performed among participants with and without select symptoms or findings, who will undergo more intensive radiographic imaging, physiologic assessment, and tissue collection.

Protocol development

The protocol was developed and refined in a collaborative process involving site and core investigators, patient representatives and caregivers, and NIH staff (see S1 Fig for timeline and details). Patient representatives were recruited from COVID advocacy organizations such as the Patient-Led Research Collaborative, Survivor Corps, and Long COVID Families; patient organizations with expertise in post-viral syndromes; grass-roots activist organizations; and through nominations by enrolling sites. All patient representatives were compensated for their time. Refinements to the protocol continue to be made in response to participant and site feedback, new scientific evidence, and interim results.

Study organizational structure and study management

The study infrastructure includes four cores: (1) the Clinical Science Core (CSC) at New York University (NYU) Grossman School of Medicine oversees study sites and provides scientific leadership in collaboration with the site Principal Investigators, (2) the Data Resource Core (DRC) at Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women’s Hospital provides scientific and statistical leadership, and handles data management and storage, (3) the PASC Biorepository Core (PBC) at Mayo Clinic manages biospecimens obtained from study sites, and (4) the Administrative Coordinating Center (ACC) at RTI International (RTI) provides operational and administrative support; collectively these form the Core Operations Group. The four cores are supported by six Oversight Committees that oversee RECOVER-wide activities including publications, ancillary studies, clinical trial interventions selection, quality assurance, and study design. Twelve pathobiology task forces provide content-specific input. All RECOVER cohort studies receive inputs from the National Community Engagement Group composed of patient and community representatives; and are overseen by a Steering Committee composed of core and hub principal investigators, patient representatives and NIH program leadership; an Executive Committee composed of NIH Institute leaders, patient representatives and other federal leadership; and an Observational Study Monitoring Board (OSMB) (S2 Fig) [40].

Study setting and participating sites

RECOVER-Adult is designed as a hub and spoke model, with 16 hubs collectively overseeing 86 enrolling sites in the United States (U.S.) located in 33 states plus Washington, DC and Puerto Rico (S1 Table). Enrolling sites include hospitals, health centers, and community organizations drawing participants primarily from their surrounding communities. Two sites are mobile health vans enrolling in rural communities far from health centers. One hub is enrolling participants remotely across the country, with study procedures conducted through home visits and biospecimen collection at local laboratories.

Eligibility criteria

Participants are eligible for RECOVER if they are at least 18 years old, have reached the age of majority in their state of residence, are not incarcerated, and are not terminally ill. Individuals with or without history of SARS-CoV-2 infection are eligible. Infected individuals must have suspected, probable, or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection as defined by World Health Organization (WHO) criteria [41] (see Table 1), or positive SARS-CoV-2 infection-specific antibody testing. Uninfected individuals must not meet any WHO criteria for infection and must have a documented negative SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid and antibody test result (Table 1).

Table 1. Definition of infected and uninfected categories used in RECOVER-Adult.

Changes from WHO definition are indicated in italics.

WHO category Criteria
Suspected Acute onset of fever and cough OR acute onset of any three of more of the following signs or symptoms: fever, cough, general weakness/fatigue, headache, myalgia, sore throat, coryza, dyspnea, anorexia/nausea/vomiting, diarrhea, altered mental status.
AND at least one of:
1. Residing or working in an area with a high risk of transmission of virus: closed residential settings, humanitarian settings such as camp and camp-like settings for displaced persons; anytime within the 14 days before symptom onset; OR
2. Residing or travel to an area with community transmission* anytime within the 14 days before symptom onset; OR
3. Working in any health care setting, including within health facilities and within households or within the community; anytime within the 14 days before symptom onset.
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
Severe acute respiratory illness: acute respiratory infection with history of fever or measured fever of ≥38C°; and cough; with onset within the last 10 days; and requires hospitalization
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
A positive SARS-CoV-2 Antigen-RDT who is asymptomatic or meets some but not all clinical or epidemiologic criteria
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
Probable A patient who meets clinical criteria for suspected SARS-CoV-2 AND is a contact of a probable or confirmed case or linked to a COVID-19 cluster
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
A patient who meets clinical criteria for suspected SARS-CoV-2 AND has chest imaging showing findings suggestive of COVID-19 disease
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
A person with recent onset of anosmia (loss of smell) or ageusia (loss of taste) in the absence of any other identified cause
AND
Did not have a negative test for SARS-CoV-2 at the time of suspected infection.
Confirmed Any person with a positive Nucleic Acid Amplification Test (NAAT)
Any person with a positive SARS-CoV-2 Antigen-RDT (including home-administered rapid test) AND meeting either the probable case definition or one of the first two suspected criteria
An asymptomatic person with a positive SARS-CoV-2 Antigen-RDT (including home-administered rapid test) who is a contact of a probable or confirmed case
Any person with a positive SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein antibody test OR a positive SARS-CoV-2 spike protein antibody test IF not vaccinated
Uninfected Does not meet WHO criteria for a suspected, probable, or confirmed case of SARS-CoV-2 infection
AND
Has negative NAAT SARS-CoV-2 testing from a respiratory specimen performed at the time of enrollment/screening
AND
Has a negative SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein antibody and spike protein antibody test (if not vaccinated) performed at the time of enrollment
AND
Lives in the same communities or recruited from the same sources as those in the SARS-CoV-2 infected cohort

Individuals who were pregnant at the time of a SARS-CoV-2 infection and had a live birth, or who are pregnant at the time of enrollment in RECOVER, are only eligible to enroll in the pregnancy cohort of the adult study. Their offspring are eligible for enrollment into the congenital exposure cohort of the RECOVER pediatric study. Individuals who were pregnant at the time of a SARS-CoV-2 infection and had a pregnancy loss or termination prior to 20 weeks’ gestation, are eligible to enroll in either the pregnancy or the adult main cohort.

Sample size

Sample size determinations were performed for both aggregate and subgroup analyses based on characteristics such as age, sex, race/ethnicity, pregnancy, and vaccination status. The current version of the protocol targets enrollment of 12,200 participants with history of SARS-CoV-2 infection and 2,680 participants without history of SARS-CoV-2 infection (total of 14,880). Sample size targets are further specified by duration of time between infection (or negative test) and enrollment, and by pregnancy status (Table 2). Based on 90% power and a type-1 error rate of 0.01, the minimum detectable effect size for the difference in risk of PASC or a PASC symptom between participants with and without infection is 3.1% (6.4% in a 25% subgroup), assuming the risk among participants without infection is 15%. When restricting to acute infected and uninfected participants only, the minimum detectable risk difference is 4.7% (10.0% in a 25% subgroup). In logistic regression analyses investigating whether an infected participant develops PASC, the minimum detectable odds ratio for a risk factor is 1.22 (1.46 in a 25% subgroup), assuming 25% of all infected participants develop PASC and that the risk factor prevalence among participants who do not develop PASC is 20%. Finally, assuming that 50% of infected participants who develop PASC recover from it during follow-up, the minimum detectable odds ratio for the association between a risk factor and recovering from PASC is 1.40 (1.90 in a 25% subgroup), assuming the risk factor has 20% prevalence among participants who do not recover from PASC.

Table 2. Sample size targets, by enrollment category.

Enrollment category Target sample size, by subgroup Target sample size, by time since infection
Infected, enrolled within 30 days of infection, not pregnant (“acute” infected) 4,714 5,000
Infected, enrolled within 30 days of infection, pregnant at time of infection (“acute” infected) 286
Infected, enrolled >30 days after infection, not pregnant (“post-acute” infected) 5,619 7,200
Infected, enrolled >30 days after infection, pregnant at time of infection (“post-acute” infected 1,581
Uninfected, enrolled within 30 days of negative test, not pregnant (“acute” uninfected) 1,141 1,200
Uninfected, enrolled within 30 days of negative test, pregnant (“acute” uninfected) 59
Uninfected, enrolled >30 days from negative test, not pregnant (“post-acute” uninfected) 1,106 1,480
Uninfected, enrolled >30 days from negative test, pregnant (“post-acute” uninfected) 374

Sample size targets for race/ethnicity are intended to match the distribution of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the U.S. as of June 2021: 16% non-Hispanic Black; 27% Hispanic, 4% non-Hispanic Asian, American Indian/Alaska Native or Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander; and 53% non-Hispanic White [42].

Recruitment

Participants are recruited through outreach to patients cared for at the enrolling site, community outreach, use of public health test lists, and self-referrals from the RECOVER website (https://recovercovid.org). For participants without SARS-CoV-2 infection, sites are asked to draw from similar communities, demographics, and sites of care as those recruiting infected participants. Enrollment is tracked by enrollment category, race/ethnicity, sex, residence in rural or medically underserved areas, hospitalization status at time of initial infection, and referral source to allow for real time adjustments in enrollment to match protocol targets.

Assessments

The RECOVER-Adult schedule of assessments includes: surveys, collection of biologic specimens, physical examinations, laboratory tests, radiologic studies, and invasive procedures to measure study outcomes. The schedule starts at the time of first infection or at the negative test date (“index date”); follow-up visits are conducted at 90-day intervals for a maximum of 4 years. All participants undergo the same assessments at baseline enrollment. Thereafter, participants follow the assessment schedule corresponding to the appropriate time point relative to the index date. For example, participants who are enrolled 90 days after infection follow the 180-day assessment schedule at their first follow-up visit (Fig 1). Participants may remain in the study if they have missed a visit; after three missed visits they may be considered lost to follow-up, in which case no further information is obtained.

Fig 1. Schedule of assessments.

Fig 1

Surveys

Participants complete surveys at 90-day intervals throughout the study. On enrollment, data are collected on demographics, SDoH, disability, characteristics of the initial SARS-CoV-2 infection (if applicable), pregnancy (if applicable), vaccination status, comorbidities, medications, and PASC symptoms. Subsequently, at 90-day intervals, data are collected on interim infections, time-varying social determinants, vaccinations, comorbidities, medications and symptoms. The PASC symptom survey was developed for RECOVER and includes an overall quality of life instrument (PROMIS-10) and screening for core symptoms (43 for biological males and 46 for biological females) drawn from existing literature plus input from patient representatives and investigators. Questions about depression, anxiety, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and grief are also included. Report of a symptom may trigger additional questions about that symptom. Wherever possible, pre-existing validated survey instruments are used. Details of survey instruments can be found at https://recovercovid.org/protocols and in S2 Table.

In-person assessments

Office-based assessments are performed on all participants at enrollment, at 180 days after index date, and then at yearly increments thereafter. These include: height, weight, waist circumference, seated vitals (heart rate, blood pressure, oxygen saturation), 30 second sit-to-stand, and a 10 minute active stand test during which heart rate and blood pressure are measured at 1, 3, 5 and 10 minute intervals (S3 Table).

Laboratory assessments

A core set of laboratory studies are obtained on all participants at enrollment, at 90 and 180 days after the index date (S3 Table). After 180 days, abnormal laboratory tests from the most recent prior visit are repeated annually. At enrollment only, participants enrolled as uninfected undergo SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing and SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing (nucleocapsid for all, and spike only for unvaccinated). These core studies are performed at each site in Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA)-certified laboratories.

Biospecimens

At enrollment, at 90 and 180 days after the index date, and then annually, participants are asked to provide blood and nasopharyngeal/nasal swab biospecimens for storage (Table 3). Saliva is collected once upon enrollment for genetic analysis. Urine and stool are collected biannually. Biospecimens are not collected from participants who decline use of samples for future research.

Table 3. Tier 1 biospecimen collection and processing summary.
Collected Specimen Quantity Biobanked Specimen Type Number of Aliquots Aliquot Volume Processing
Nasopharyngeal or nasal swab* 1 Nasal Cells NA 1 Processed locally within 1 hour; frozen to -90°C to -65°C; batch shipped on dry ice
Blood in serum separator tube 2 x 8.5 ml Serum 10 1 ml
Blood in cell preparation tube (CPT)** 4 x 8 ml Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells (PBMCs) 8 x PBMCs (target cell count minimum 5 million cells/mL) 1 ml Centrifuged locally, refrigerated, shipped at refrigerated temperature on day of collection
Blood in sodium citrate tube** 2 x 2.7 ml Plasma 2 1 ml Processed locally within 1 hour; frozen to -90°C to -65°C; batch shipped on dry ice
Blood in ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA) tube** 1 x 10 ml Plasma
White blood cells***
4
1
1 ml Refrigerated, shipped at refrigerated temperature on day of collection
Blood in PAXgene-RNA tube 1 x 2.5 ml Whole blood 1 2.5 ml
Urine in no additive tube 1 x 10 ml Urine supernatant 8 1 ml
Saliva in Oragene OGR-600*** 1 x 2 ml Saliva 1 2 ml
Stool 1 x 25 ml Stool 1 25 ml Directly sent by participant

* As of June 29, 2022, nasopharyngeal swab changed to nasal swab

** As of protocol v6.0, added sodium citrate and EDTA tubes and CPT reduced to 2 cell preparation tubes.

*** Not collected in those who decline genetic testing

Triggered testing

Participants with infection experiencing specific symptoms or having abnormal study assessments may be eligible for additional assessments, each of which is triggered by qualifying criteria. In addition, participants with and without infection are randomly selected to complete additional assessments for comparison. These assessments are divided into Tier 2 and Tier 3 assessments. Tier 2 assessments are anticipated to be completed by approximately 30% of participants per assessment, and may be repeated yearly if abnormal (S4 Table). Tier 3 assessments are more invasive and/or burdensome, and are anticipated to be completed by not more than 20% of participants per assessment. Tier 3 assessments with more than minimal risk can only be performed once (S5 Table). Participants are eligible to begin Tier 2 and Tier 3 testing 90 to 180 days after index date, depending on the assessment. Individuals who are pregnant, 3-months postpartum or breastfeeding are ineligible for some of the assessments.

Tier 2 and 3 assessments include additional surveys, blood tests, clinical examinations, imaging, and procedures. Specialized blood tests are run by a central laboratory (ARUP Laboratories, Salt Lake City, Utah) for consistency. Imaging is acquired via pragmatic standard clinical protocols to maximize testing availability across sites. Several of the imaging studies are overseen by reading centers charged with protocol development, quality assurance/control, and certifying performance sites, in addition to centralized review of a portion of studies. DICOM images are uploaded and shared using specialized cloud-based image storage software provided by Ambra Health. Clinical examinations and procedures are performed by clinically certified personnel at each site following standard clinical protocols.

Data collection and management

Study data are collected by sites and entered into a centralized REDCap (Research Electronic Data Capture) database hosted by the DRC in a Federal Information Security Modernization Act moderate environment [43]. REDCap includes data validation and audit capabilities [44, 45]. Protected health information in the central REDCap database is limited to zip code and birthdate. Automated queries are generated by the DRC for missing or implausible data and sent to sites for near real-time correction. Monthly study monitoring reports are provided to sites to optimize fidelity to protocol. Periodic audits are conducted independent of the site investigators and sponsor.

Outcomes

The primary endpoints of this study are the presence of composite incident or prevalent PASC symptoms and progression of PASC; since there is not yet an agreed-upon definition of PASC, a working definition will be developed as part of the study (see statistical analysis). Secondary endpoints include recovery trajectories from SARS-CoV-2 infection, documentation of organ injury, and incident clinical diagnoses.

Statistical analysis

Point prevalence, defined as the proportion of participants reporting a symptom at a given follow-up time point among those remaining in RECOVER, will be calculated for participants with and without infection separately. Odds ratios (ORs) adjusted for demographic factors will be reported. Machine learning approaches will be used to select combinations of symptoms among the 40+ included in the symptom survey (i.e., variable selection) that differentiate participants with and without a history of infection [46]. Prevalent symptoms and select severity scores will be used as input to the model. Balancing weights will be applied to account for any differences between infected and uninfected participants [47]. Analyses will be iteratively refined as new data modalities (e.g. laboratory, radiology and other Tier 2/3 tests) and additional longitudinal assessments become available. Within PASC positive individuals, consensus clustering will be applied to identify PASC subgroups [48].

Logistic regression analyses will be conducted to investigate associations between clinical factors, demographics, and SDoH, and the cumulative incidence of PASC among participants with infection. Multinomial regression models will also be used to investigate specific associations between these risk factors and PASC subgroups. A Cox proportional hazards regression will be fitted to model the hazard of developing PASC given the risk factors. A Fine-Gray model for the sub-distributional hazard of developing each PASC subgroups, accounting for the competing and semi-competing risks of each sub-phenotype as well as study dropout as a censoring event, will be fit among infected participants to estimate the association between risk factors and the hazard of each PASC subgroups [49]. Additional strategies that account for time-varying covariates (e.g., vaccination status, pharmaceutical or clinical interventions) will be considered [50].

A Cox proportional hazard model will model PASC resolution, defined based on longitudinal assessments, to evaluate associations with baseline factors, including markers of illness severity during the acute phase of infection. Point estimates and 95% Wald confidence intervals will be estimated for each risk factor and a large-sample score test will be conducted to test against the null hypothesis that the hazard of resolution is independently associated with each risk factor.

Observational study monitoring board

The RECOVER OSMB appointed by the NIH provides data and safety oversight, meeting at least twice annually. The purpose of the OSMB is to assure independent review of unreasonable risk exposure because of study participation, monitor study progress and integrity, and advise on significant protocol modifications. The OSMB is composed of experts in longitudinal studies, manifestations of COVID-19, biostatistics and bioethics, and patient/caregiver representatives. As RECOVER-Adult does not involve any interventions, early stopping rules for efficacy or futility are not indicated.

Major changes to the protocol

A planned flexible study design allows modifications to PASC case definition, tiered phenotyping assessments, comparator groups, and statistical plan after study initiation to optimize public health impact without undermining validity and integrity of study findings. Table 4 lists key modifications to the protocol to date.

Table 4. Selected, key protocol modifications since initial approval.

Protocol version Date of approval Major changes Participants enrolled at time of modification
1.0 9/16/2021 Original release 0
1.1 10/08/2021 Additions to comorbidity form to align with NeuroCOVID Databank 0
Orthostatic test changed to active stand test
2.0 10/18/2021 Coagulation panel, urinalysis, SARS-CoV-2 PCR (uninfected) added to Tier 1 0
Mini International Neuropsychiatric Interview, adrenocorticotropic hormone, morning cortisol, hepatitis B and C, renal ultrasound added to Tier 2
Electrocardiogram, D-dimer, troponin, NT-pro BNP moved from Tier 2 to Tier 1
Tilt table testing, cardiovagal innervation testing, catecholamine testing moved from Tier 2 to Tier 3
Ear-nose-throat exam, lung plethysmography, dual energy chest CT moved from Tier 3 to Tier 2
Parathyroid hormone, gamma-glutamyl transferase, anti-phospholipid antibody, CT pulmonary angiography, ventilation/perfusion scan, MRI spine, abdominal CT removed from protocol
3.0 12/01/2021 Clarified inclusion criteria to include patients who have positive SARS-Cov-2 infection-specific antibody testing 30
Added incarceration as an exclusion criterion.
Added an opt-in for future genetic testing
Removed procalcitonin and moved electrocardiogram from Tier 1 back to Tier 2
Added Anti-Mullerian hormone.
4.0 01/27/2022 Added one-time off schedule visit during on-study infection 399
Removed option to return research lab results
5.0 03/22/2022 Updated the recruitment window from 24 to 36 months since first infection 1,474
Added that uninfected pregnant individuals begin study schedule on delivery date
Added that women <3 months postpartum can not have any tests that pregnant women can not have
Specified methylmalonic acid to be drawn with serum B12
6.0 8/11/2022 Revised the earliest date of possible infection from March to January, 2020 7,698
Removed lung plethysmography
Removed 15% cap on self-referral participants
Changed study schedule to start at time of acute reinfection (enrollment) for previously infected participants enrolling during an acute infection
Reduced the number of cell preparation tubes for collection and replaced with sodium citrate and EDTA tubes for plasma
Moved anti-nuclear antibody, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies, rheumatoid factor, Epstein Barr virus testing to Tier 2
7.0 12/15/2022 Added collection of tears as a biospecimen 11,602
Added section on the mobile health platform
8.0 Pending Reduced target N of acute infected enrollees from 7,800 to 5,000 given higher than expected PASC rates

Data sharing and dissemination

Scientific data will be de-identified and shared pursuant to the NIH policy for Data Management and Sharing policy [51]. The RECOVER Ancillary Study Oversight Committee and Biospecimen Access Committee govern access to data and biospecimens for ancillary studies. Study results will be disseminated via scientific publication, presentation at national meetings, public-facing webinars, community briefings, RECOVER newsletters, social media, and other means of communication to both scientific and lay audiences. Additionally, results of all tests performed in CLIA-certified laboratories or read by clinically-certified personnel are returned to study participants [52]. Tests performed in research laboratories that are not CLIA-certified are not returned to participants, following federal regulations.

Ethics

The study was approved by the NYU Grossman School of Medicine Institutional Review Board (IRB), which serves as the single IRB for the majority of the study sites. A few pre-existing consortia use their own IRBs through an exemption granted by the NIH. All participants provide signed, informed consent to participate in the main protocol. Participants are reconsented if there are major changes to the study design or to anticipated risks. For high-risk Tier 3 procedures, a separate procedure-specific consent is obtained prior to the procedure.

Discussion

The overall goal of RECOVER is to rapidly improve understanding of, and ability to predict, treat, and prevent PASC. RECOVER-Adult’s large sample size and breadth of representation across geographic region, age, sex, race/ethnicity and other SDoH and pregnancy status are expected to produce broadly applicable and actionable results and support numerous subgroup analyses. Additionally, nested case-control studies will occur among participants with certain PASC phenotypes who have triggered assessments. RECOVER-Adult includes numerous strengths. Participants include many uninfected and asymptomatic infected individuals for comparison that is often missing from other large studies [11, 5356]. All participants are followed prospectively from time of enrollment, allowing longitudinal analyses of disease trajectory. By contrast, most studies to date have been single time point assessments or serial cross-sectional studies [39, 57]. Acute participants enrolled at the time of first infection will provide a prospective estimate of PASC rates that is less biased than the most studies, which have enrolled subjects after PASC status is known [39]. The strong focus on patient-reported symptom outcomes allows capture of a broader range of sequelae than studies relying on electronic health records or claims data [53, 5862]. The adaptive nature of the protocol allows for rapid responsiveness to new discoveries and changes in the nature of the pandemic. The extensive biospecimen collection and clinical, laboratory, and radiology assessments will generate a wealth of deep phenotyping data that can be used for pathophysiologic analyses. Finally, multi-omics analyses are proposed and have potential to provide molecular mechanistic insights into the pathophysiology of PASC.

RECOVER-Adult is also unique in the extent to which patients experiencing PASC and representatives from patient advocacy communities contributed to the protocol’s development and ongoing operations. For example, the PASC symptom survey was drawn in part from lists of symptoms generated by members of the patient community [2], allowing measurement of symptoms overlooked by other studies, including post-exertional malaise and menstrual cycle changes. At the urging of patient representatives, participants with a clinical diagnosis of COVID were included even without a positive test history, to permit inclusion of individuals affected in the earliest stages of the pandemic when testing was not widely available. Among the many other significant design aspects credited to input from patient representatives are: wording of the consent document, including clinical assessments specific to dysautonomia, sharing clinically certified lab results with participants, ensuring accommodations for participants with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome, and selection of SDoH instruments.

In summary, RECOVER-Adult is a large, national, longitudinal, retrospective and prospective cohort that will answer key questions about the epidemiology and pathophysiology of PASC. Results will support clinical trial development by defining PASC and sub-phenotypes, natural history, risk factors, biomarkers, and mechanistic pathways for potential therapeutic targets. Results of this study will also inform public health efforts, prevention, and clinical care.

Supporting information

S1 Fig. Protocol development timeline.

(DOCX)

S2 Fig. RECOVER consortium oversight structure.

(DOCX)

S1 Table. Hubs and enrolling sites.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Survey topics as of protocol version 7.0.

(DOCX)

S3 Table. Tier 1 assessments.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Tier 2 assessments.

(DOCX)

S5 Table. Tier 3 assessments.

(DOCX)

S6 Table. Writing committee.

(DOCX)

S7 Table. RECOVER-Adult consortium members.

(DOCX)

S8 Table. RECOVER-Adult committees and task forces.

(DOCX)

S1 Checklist

(DOCX)

S1 File

(PDF)

S2 File

(PDF)

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the National Community Engagement Group (NCEG), all patient, caregiver and community representatives, and all the participants enrolled in the RECOVER initiative.

Data Availability

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study. All relevant data from this study will be made available upon study completion.

Funding Statement

National Institutes of Health (NIH) Other Transactional Authority Agreements OT2HL161847 (SDK, LIH), OT2HL161841 (ASF), OT2HL156812 (LTN). https://www.nih.gov/ The funder did have input into study design but did not and will not have a role in data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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PONE-D-23-08595Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and designPLOS ONE

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Membership of the RECOVER Initiative is provided in a supplemental appendix file."

We note that you have provided funding information that is not currently declared in your Funding Statement. However, funding information should not appear in the Acknowledgments section or other areas of your manuscript. We will only publish funding information present in the Funding Statement section of the online submission form. 

Please remove any funding-related text from the manuscript and let us know how you would like to update your Funding Statement. Currently, your Funding Statement reads as follows: 

"National Institutes of Health (NIH) Agreement OTA OT2HL161847 (SDK, LIH), OT2HL161841 (ASF), OT2HL156812 (LTN). https://www.nih.gov/

The funders did not and will not have a role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript."

Please include your amended statements within your cover letter; we will change the online submission form on your behalf

Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Does the manuscript provide a valid rationale for the proposed study, with clearly identified and justified research questions?

The research question outlined is expected to address a valid academic problem or topic and contribute to the base of knowledge in the field.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

2. Is the protocol technically sound and planned in a manner that will lead to a meaningful outcome and allow testing the stated hypotheses?

The manuscript should describe the methods in sufficient detail to prevent undisclosed flexibility in the experimental procedure or analysis pipeline, including sufficient outcome-neutral conditions (e.g. necessary controls, absence of floor or ceiling effects) to test the proposed hypotheses and a statistical power analysis where applicable. As there may be aspects of the methodology and analysis which can only be refined once the work is undertaken, authors should outline potential assumptions and explicitly describe what aspects of the proposed analyses, if any, are exploratory.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Is the methodology feasible and described in sufficient detail to allow the work to be replicable?

Descriptions of methods and materials in the protocol should be reported in sufficient detail for another researcher to reproduce all experiments and analyses. The protocol should describe the appropriate controls, sample size calculations, and replication needed to ensure that the data are robust and reproducible.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors described where all data underlying the findings will be made available when the study is complete?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception, at the time of publication. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above and, if applicable, provide comments about issues authors must address before this protocol can be accepted for publication. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about research or publication ethics.

You may also provide optional suggestions and comments to authors that they might find helpful in planning their study.

(Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: Sample size: The primary aims of this study are more focused on characterizing the prevalence, symptoms, and other factors related to PASC. Therefore, the sample size should not be based solely on comparisons between infected and non-infected individuals. Additionally, the effect sizes used in the calculation were not clinically justified. It is unclear how the targeted sample sizes were determined for subgroups in Table 2.

The purpose and technique details of the machine learning model are not clearly described.

It is unclear how the PASC subgroups will be analyzed.

A longitudinal model may be considered for analyzing repeated measures.

Reviewer #2: It is a well written protocol. It has ambitious but achievable objectives. The methodology is adequate. The large number of participating centers ensures the achievement of the sample size. The most important limitation is the lack of a standardized definition of long COVID-19. However, with the findings of this study a better characterization could be achieved.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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Decision Letter 1

Luis Felipe Reyes

15 May 2023

Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and design

PONE-D-23-08595R1

Dear Dr. Horwitz,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Luis Felipe Reyes, M.D., Ph.D., MSc.

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Luis Felipe Reyes

7 Jun 2023

PONE-D-23-08595R1

Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and design

Dear Dr. Horwitz:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Luis Felipe Reyes

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. Protocol development timeline.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Fig. RECOVER consortium oversight structure.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Table. Hubs and enrolling sites.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. Survey topics as of protocol version 7.0.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. Tier 1 assessments.

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. Tier 2 assessments.

    (DOCX)

    S5 Table. Tier 3 assessments.

    (DOCX)

    S6 Table. Writing committee.

    (DOCX)

    S7 Table. RECOVER-Adult consortium members.

    (DOCX)

    S8 Table. RECOVER-Adult committees and task forces.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Checklist

    (DOCX)

    S1 File

    (PDF)

    S2 File

    (PDF)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study. All relevant data from this study will be made available upon study completion.


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