Table 2.

Clinical pathways simulated for COVID-19 patients.

Triage categories	Patient subclassification	Inpatient resources involved	Pathway, with lengths of stay (days)
Mild (94%)	Not applicable	None at DH; isolation ward at CCC	Home isolation (90%) or isolation ward (10%) at the CCC, with LOS = U[7,14]
Moderate (4%)	Type A (90%)	General ward	Admission to the general ward. LOS = U[4,5]
	Type B (8%)	General ward, ICU with supplemental oxygen support	Admission to the general ward, LOS = U[3,4]; followed by ICU bed with supplemental oxygen support, LOS = U[5,7]; then general ward, LOS = U[2,3]
	Type C (2%)	General ward, ICU with ventilator support	Admission to the general ward, LOS = U[3,4]; followed by ICU bed with ventilator support, LOS = U[5,10]; then general ward (75%) with LOS = U[4,7], else patient exits via death (25%).
Severe (2%)	Type D (25%)	ICU with ventilator support	Admission to the ICU with ventilator support, LOS = U[2,3]; followed by exit via death
	Type E (25%)	General ward, ICU with ventilator support	ICU with ventilator support, LOS = U[5, 10]; followed by treatment at the general ward U[4, 7] (90%), 10% transition to Type F pathway at this point
	Type F (50%)	General ward, ICU with supplemental oxygen support	ICU with ventilator support, LOS = U[5, 10]; followed by treatment at the general ward U[2, 3] (90%), 10% transition to Type E pathway at this point

LOS = length of stay. DH = district hospital. CCC = COVID-19 care centre. ICU = intensive care unit. U[x, y] = discrete uniform distribution with parameters x and y.