Table 3.

Simulation Scenario 2: Results related to the predictive distribution of the response variable, under Scenario 2, when only the first 2 covariates (representing real SSTs) are included in the true Poisson regression model. Method 1 retains all covariates; Method 2 discards the covariates with missing values. Results are averaged over 100 simulated data sets.

					Coverage		Size
Method	Cor.Pearson	Cor.Spearman	RMSE	MAE	Equal-tailed	HPD	Equal-tailed	HPD
Hierarchical	0.31	0.29	3.46	2.66	0.94	0.93	14.00	12.65
No missing	0.66	0.61	2.74	2.11	0.94	0.92	9.88	9.28
Method 1	0.56	0.52	3.04	2.33	0.93	0.91	10.83	10.11
Method 2	0.56	0.53	3.03	2.33	0.92	0.89	9.92	9.31