Table 3.

Mixture Model Posterior Summary for Experiment 2

		$1		$10		$20
Validity	Parameter	Median	95% HDI	Median	95% HDI	Median	95% HDI
Valid	P(Target)	0.85	0.82 – 0.88	0.88	0.85 – 0.91	0.9	0.87 – 0.93
	P(Guess)	0.14	0.11 – 0.17	0.11	0.08 – 0.15	0.09	0.06 – 0.12
	P(Swap)	0.002	0.00 – 0.01	0.005	0.00 – 0.02	0.008	0.00 – 0.02
	SD	14.82	13.88 – 15.69	15.12	13.93 – 15.94	14.33	13.48 – 15.24
Invalid	P(Target)	0.61	0.54 – 0.67	0.53	0.47 – 0.59	0.51	0.44 – 0.58
	P(Guess)	0.37	0.29 – 0.45	0.44	0.36 – 0.51	0.46	0.40 – 0.56
	P(Swap)	0.03	0.00 – 0.07	0.02	0.00 – 0.06	0.03	0.00 – 0.06
	SD	16.57	14.50 – 19.20	15.43	13.13 – 17.84	13.95	11.11 – 16.86