Table 4.

Mixture Model Posterior Summary for Experiment 3

		$1		$10		$20
Validity	Parameter	Median	95% HDI	Median	95% HDI	Median	95% HDI
Valid	P(Target)	0.77	0.72 – 0.81	0.79	0.75 – 0.83	0.83	0.79 – 0.87
	P(Guess)	0.23	0.18 – 0.27	0.19	0.14 – 0.23	0.15	0.11 – 0.19
	P(Swap)	0.003	0.00 – 0.01	0.01	0.00 – 0.03	0.02	0.00 – 0.04
	SD	13.58	12.22 – 14.66	14.71	13.65 – 15.95	13.13	12.08 – 14.49
Invalid	P(Target)	0.76	0.72 – 0.80	0.73	0.70 – 0.78	0.7	0.65 – 0.74
	P(Guess)	0.23	0.19 – 0.27	0.26	0.22 – 0.30	0.29	0.25 – 0.35
	P(Swap)	0.004	0.00 – 0.02	0.004	0.00 – 0.02	0.006	0.00 – 0.02
	SD	15.00	13.54 – 16.55	13.82	12.32 – 15.02	12.13	11.14 – 13.31