Table 2. GRADE Summary of Findings for JAK Inhibitors vs Placebo Treatment for Alopecia Areata.
Outcome | Results and measurements | Absolute effect size estimates | Difference | Certainty of evidence | Plain language summary | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Placebo | JAK inhibitors | |||||
SALT 30 | OR, 40.71 (95% CI, 7.62-217.41); based on data from 142 patients in 1 study21 | 21 per 1000 | 466 per 1000 | 445 per 1000 (95% CI, 119 to 936 per 1000) | Very lowa | Whether JAK inhibitors were associated with a 30% improvement in SALT score remains uncertain |
SALT 50 | OR, 5.28 (95% CI, 1.69-16.46); based on data from 482 patients in 5 studies21,22,23,24,25 | 71 per 1000 | 288 per 1000 | 217 per 1000 (95% CI, 43 to 568 per 1000) | Lowb | JAK inhibitors may be associated with 50% improvement in SALT score |
SALT 90 | OR, 8.15 (95% CI, 4.42-15.03); based on data from 1502 patients in 5 studies21,22,25,26 | 13 per 1000 | 97 per 1000 | 84 per 1000 (95% CI, 42 to 591 per 1000) | Lowc | JAK inhibitors may be associated with 90% improvement in SALT score |
SALT score ≤10 | OR, 8.17 (95% CI, 4.42-15.08); based on data from 1282 patients in 3 studies25,26 | 13 per 1000 | 97 per 1000 | 84 per 1000 (95% CI, 42 to 591 per 1000) | Lowc | JAK inhibitors may be associated with improvement in SALT score ≤10 |
SALT score ≤20 | OR, 7.39 (95% CI, 4.82-11.33); based on data from 1431 patients in 4 studies24,25,26 | 66 per 1000 | 343 per 1000 | 277 per 1000 (95% CI, 188 to 379 per 1000) | Moderated | JAK inhibitors probably were associated with improvement in SALT score ≤20 |
Treatment-related AE | RR, 1.25 (95% CI, 1.00-1.57); based on data from 1540 patients in 6 studies22,23,24,25,26 | 461 per 1000 | 576 per 1000 | 115 per 1000 (95% CI, −0 to 263 per 1000) | High | JAK inhibitors were associated with little or no difference in treatment-related AE |
Severe AE | RR, 0.77 (95% CI, 0.41-1.43); based on data from 1682 patients in 7 studies RCTs21,22,23,24,25,26 | 26 per 1000 | 20 per 1000 | −6 per 1000 (95% CI, −15 to 11 per 1000) | Moderated | JAK inhibitors probably were associated with little or no difference in severe AE |
Discontinuation due to AE | RR, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.42-1.71); based on data from 1596 patients in 5 studies21,22,24,25 | 26 per 1000 | 22 per 1000 | −4 per 1000 (95% CI, −15 to 18 per 1000) | Moderated | JAK inhibitors probably were associated with little or no difference in discontinuation due to AE |
Change from baseline of SALT scores | Scale: 0-100; lower score was better; based on data from 1455 patients in 5 studies21,23,25,26 | Mean, −4.3 | Mean, −38.82 | MD, −34.52 (95% CI, −37.80 to −31.24) | Moderatee | JAK inhibitors probably were associated with increased change from baseline of SALT scores |
Abbreviations: AA, alopecia areata; AE, adverse event; GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations; JAK, Janus kinase; MD, mean difference; OR, odds ratio; RR, relative risk; SALT, Severity of Alopecia Tool.
Downgraded 1 level for serious risk of bias due to incomplete data, and downgraded 3 levels for extremely serious imprecision due to data from 1 study and wide CIs.
Downgraded 1 level for serious inconsistency due to statistical heterogeneity (I2 = 74%), and downgraded 1 level for serious imprecision due to wide CIs.
Downgraded 2 levels for very serious imprecision due to wide CIs.
Downgraded 1 level for serious imprecision due to wide CIs.
Downgraded 1 level for serious inconsistency due to statistical heterogeneity (I2 = 96%).