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. 2023 Jun 27;6(6):e2320351. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.20351

Table 2. GRADE Summary of Findings for JAK Inhibitors vs Placebo Treatment for Alopecia Areata.

Outcome Results and measurements Absolute effect size estimates Difference Certainty of evidence Plain language summary
Placebo JAK inhibitors
SALT 30 OR, 40.71 (95% CI, 7.62-217.41); based on data from 142 patients in 1 study21 21 per 1000 466 per 1000 445 per 1000 (95% CI, 119 to 936 per 1000) Very lowa Whether JAK inhibitors were associated with a 30% improvement in SALT score remains uncertain
SALT 50 OR, 5.28 (95% CI, 1.69-16.46); based on data from 482 patients in 5 studies21,22,23,24,25 71 per 1000 288 per 1000 217 per 1000 (95% CI, 43 to 568 per 1000) Lowb JAK inhibitors may be associated with 50% improvement in SALT score
SALT 90 OR, 8.15 (95% CI, 4.42-15.03); based on data from 1502 patients in 5 studies21,22,25,26 13 per 1000 97 per 1000 84 per 1000 (95% CI, 42 to 591 per 1000) Lowc JAK inhibitors may be associated with 90% improvement in SALT score
SALT score ≤10 OR, 8.17 (95% CI, 4.42-15.08); based on data from 1282 patients in 3 studies25,26 13 per 1000 97 per 1000 84 per 1000 (95% CI, 42 to 591 per 1000) Lowc JAK inhibitors may be associated with improvement in SALT score ≤10
SALT score ≤20 OR, 7.39 (95% CI, 4.82-11.33); based on data from 1431 patients in 4 studies24,25,26 66 per 1000 343 per 1000 277 per 1000 (95% CI, 188 to 379 per 1000) Moderated JAK inhibitors probably were associated with improvement in SALT score ≤20
Treatment-related AE RR, 1.25 (95% CI, 1.00-1.57); based on data from 1540 patients in 6 studies22,23,24,25,26 461 per 1000 576 per 1000 115 per 1000 (95% CI, −0 to 263 per 1000) High JAK inhibitors were associated with little or no difference in treatment-related AE
Severe AE RR, 0.77 (95% CI, 0.41-1.43); based on data from 1682 patients in 7 studies RCTs21,22,23,24,25,26 26 per 1000 20 per 1000 −6 per 1000 (95% CI, −15 to 11 per 1000) Moderated JAK inhibitors probably were associated with little or no difference in severe AE
Discontinuation due to AE RR, 0.85 (95% CI, 0.42-1.71); based on data from 1596 patients in 5 studies21,22,24,25 26 per 1000 22 per 1000 −4 per 1000 (95% CI, −15 to 18 per 1000) Moderated JAK inhibitors probably were associated with little or no difference in discontinuation due to AE
Change from baseline of SALT scores Scale: 0-100; lower score was better; based on data from 1455 patients in 5 studies21,23,25,26 Mean, −4.3 Mean, −38.82 MD, −34.52 (95% CI, −37.80 to −31.24) Moderatee JAK inhibitors probably were associated with increased change from baseline of SALT scores

Abbreviations: AA, alopecia areata; AE, adverse event; GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations; JAK, Janus kinase; MD, mean difference; OR, odds ratio; RR, relative risk; SALT, Severity of Alopecia Tool.

a

Downgraded 1 level for serious risk of bias due to incomplete data, and downgraded 3 levels for extremely serious imprecision due to data from 1 study and wide CIs.

b

Downgraded 1 level for serious inconsistency due to statistical heterogeneity (I2 = 74%), and downgraded 1 level for serious imprecision due to wide CIs.

c

Downgraded 2 levels for very serious imprecision due to wide CIs.

d

Downgraded 1 level for serious imprecision due to wide CIs.

e

Downgraded 1 level for serious inconsistency due to statistical heterogeneity (I2 = 96%).