Table 6.
Hedging effectiveness.
| PRE COVID-19 |
During COVID-19 |
PRE-WAR |
During WAR |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pairs (Bitcoin/Markets) |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
||||||||
| HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | |
| BITCOIN/GOLD | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| BITCOIN/OIL | 0.81 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 0.74 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.6 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| BITCOIN/ARGENTINA | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.46 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.42 | 0.72 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.7 |
| BITCOIN/AUSTRALIA | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| BITCOIN/BRAZIL | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.44 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.44 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
| BITCOIN/CANADA | 0.96 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.03 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.9 |
| BITCOIN/CHINA | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| BITCOIN/FRANCE | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.77 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.41 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.85 |
| BITCOIN/GERMANY | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.1 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.78 |
| BITCOIN/INDIA | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.78 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 |
| BITCOIN/INDONESIA | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.75 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| BITCOIN/ITALY | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.89 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 0.74 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.74 |
| BITCOIN/JAPAN | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.7 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| BITCOIN/KOREA | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 |
| BITCOIN/MEXICO | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.71 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.82 |
| BITCOIN/RUSSIA | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.67 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.85 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.85 |
| BITCOIN/SAUDI.ARABIA | 0.95 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.92 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.93 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| BITCOIN/SOUTH.AFRICA | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.95 |
| BITCOIN/TURKEY | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.81 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 0.81 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| BITCOIN/UK | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.12 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.45 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| BITCOIN/USA | 0.97 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.71 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
| BITCOIN/EU | 0.96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.93 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 0.79 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.79 |
| PRE COVID-19 |
During COVID-19 |
PRE-WAR |
During WAR |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pairs (Gold/Markets) |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
||||||||
| HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | |
| GOLD/OIL | 0.4 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.76 | −0.08 | 0.6 | 0.01 | 0.94 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.78 | −0.03 | 0.87 | 0.15 | 0.4 |
| GOLD/ARGENTINA | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.2 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.87 | 0.46 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.78 | 0.13 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.46 |
| GOLD/AUSTRALIA | 0.8 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.9 | 0.39 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.84 | 0.71 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.71 |
| GOLD/BRAZIL | 0.47 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.41 | 0.21 | 0.1 | −0.02 | 0.87 | 0.42 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.52 |
| GOLD/CANADA | 0.83 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.74 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.69 |
| GOLD/CHINA | 0.67 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.86 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.88 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.33 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.72 |
| GOLD/FRANCE | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.97 | 0.74 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.79 | 0.49 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.94 |
| GOLD/GERMANY | 0.81 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.45 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.96 | 0.73 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0 | −0.03 | 0.89 |
| GOLD/INDIA | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.53 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.93 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 | 0.94 | 0.55 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.9 |
| GOLD/INDONESIA | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.48 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.97 | 0.69 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.83 |
| GOLD/ITALY | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.43 | 0 | −0.03 | 0.85 | 0.66 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.9 | 0.45 | 0 | −0.03 | 0.87 |
| GOLD/JAPAN | 0.8 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.92 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.8 | 0.79 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
| GOLD/KOREA | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.54 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.89 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.56 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.95 |
| GOLD/MEXICO | 0.72 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.71 | 0.44 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.95 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.75 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
| GOLD/RUSSIA | 0.63 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.81 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.56 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.71 | 0.28 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.97 |
| GOLD/SAUDI.ARABIA | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.56 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| GOLD/SOUTH.AFRICA | 0.56 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.88 | 0.51 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.63 |
| GOLD/TURKEY | 0.57 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.56 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.79 | 0.52 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.8 | 0.47 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.97 |
| GOLD/UK | 0.83 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.45 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.93 | 0.74 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| GOLD/USA | 0.87 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.72 | 0.44 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.9 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.95 |
| GOLD/EU | 0.84 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.92 | 0.5 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 0.49 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.91 |
| GOLD/BITCOIN | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.03 | 0.86 | 0.01 | 0.94 | 0.29 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.81 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.02 | 0.94 |
| PRE COVID-19 |
During COVID-19 |
PRE-WAR |
During WAR |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pairs (OIL/Markets) |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
||||||||
| HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | |
| OIL/GOLD | 0.49 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.7 | 0.81 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.61 | 0.77 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 |
| OIL/ARGENTINA | 0.54 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 0.64 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.91 |
| OIL/AUSTRALIA | 0.82 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.58 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.4 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.3 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| OIL/BRAZIL | 0.5 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.27 | 0.59 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.73 |
| OIL/CANADA | 0.85 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.89 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.9 |
| OIL/CHINA | 0.7 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.57 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.74 |
| OIL/FRANCE | 0.82 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.53 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| OIL/GERMANY | 0.81 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.31 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.49 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.82 |
| OIL/INDIA | 0.84 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.89 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.79 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.89 |
| OIL/INDONESIA | 0.77 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| OIL/ITALY | 0.71 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.85 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.77 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.97 |
| OIL/JAPAN | 0.83 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.93 |
| OIL/KOREA | 0.81 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.79 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.93 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.9 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| OIL/MEXICO | 0.74 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.85 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.79 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.87 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.97 |
| OIL/RUSSIA | 0.6 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.71 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.72 |
| OIL/SAUDI.ARABIA | 0.8 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.73 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.48 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.46 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.94 |
| OIL/SOUTH.AFRICA | 0.57 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.83 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 0.7 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.78 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.9 |
| OIL/TURKEY | 0.61 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.84 | 0.91 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.67 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| OIL/UK | 0.83 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.49 | 0.85 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.97 |
| OIL/USA | 0.88 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| OIL/EU | 0.84 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.06 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 |
| OIL/BITCOIN | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.65 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.9 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| PRE COVID-19 |
During COVID-19 |
PRE-WAR |
During WAR |
|||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pairs (EU/Markets) |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
Dynamic Portfolio Weights |
Dynamic hedge ratios |
||||||||
| HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | HE | p-value | |
| EU/GOLD | 0.17 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.89 | 0.04 | 0.77 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.76 | 0.59 | 0 | −0.01 | 0.97 |
| EU/OIL | 0.03 | 0.6 | 0.07 | 0.2 | −0.13 | 0.39 | −0.08 | 0.59 | −0.02 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.63 | 0.31 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 |
| EU/ARGENTINA | 0.1 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.43 | −0.1 | 0.5 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.66 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| EU/AUSTRALIA | 0.24 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | −0.05 | 0.74 | 0.43 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.28 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.02 |
| EU/BRAZIL | 0.04 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0 | −0.07 | 0.65 | 0.5 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.72 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.05 | 0.45 | 0 |
| EU/CANADA | 0.27 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.74 | 0.66 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.62 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| EU/CHINA | 0.26 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.36 | 0.62 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.4 | 0.38 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.09 |
| EU/FRANCE | 0 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0 |
| EU/GERMANY | 0.04 | 0.44 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.77 | 0.92 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.46 | 0.79 | 0 |
| EU/INDIA | 0.33 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 0.42 | 0.01 |
| EU/INDONESIA | 0.29 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.1 | −0.03 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.02 | 0.68 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.62 |
| EU/ITALY | −0.01 | 0.86 | 0.75 | 0 | −0.05 | 0.74 | 0.87 | 0 | −0.02 | 0.71 | 0.79 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.96 | 0.89 | 0 |
| EU/JAPAN | 0.36 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.6 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.69 |
| EU/KOREA | 0.25 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.2 | 0.25 |
| EU/MEXICO | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 0 | −0.09 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.03 |
| EU/RUSSIA | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.27 | 0 | −0.09 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.76 | 0.36 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.76 |
| EU/SAUDI.ARABIA | 0.34 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.68 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.85 |
| EU/SOUTH.AFRICA | −0.03 | 0.65 | 0.39 | 0 | −0.12 | 0.44 | 0.62 | 0 | −0.07 | 0.12 | 0.43 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0 |
| EU/TURKEY | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.39 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| EU/UK | 0.02 | 0.66 | 0.89 | 0 | −0.04 | 0.81 | 0.87 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.79 | 0.85 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.03 | 0.81 | 0 |
| EU/USA | 0.42 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | −0.05 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| EU/BITCOIN | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | −0.09 | 0.54 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.03 | 0.51 | 0.02 | 0.74 | 0.08 | 0.68 | 0.04 | 0.84 |
Notes: This table illustrate the hedging effectiveness, among bitcoin, gold, oil and G20 markets in pre and during Covid-19 and War.