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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Jun 30.
Published in final edited form as: Risk Anal. 2016 Apr 18;37(6):1063–1071. doi: 10.1111/risa.12615

Table I.

Maximum Risk Points by Component of the World Health Organization (WHO) Measles Programmatic Assessment Tool for Risk of Measles Virus Transmission

Components Points Cut-Off Criteria (Risk Points)
Population Immunity (40)
 District MCV1 coveragea 8 ≥95% (+0);90–94% (+2); 85–89% (+4); 80–84% (+6); <80% (+8)
 Proportion of neighboring districts with <80% MCV1 4 <50% (+0); 50–74% (+2); ≥75% (+4)
 District MCV2 coveragea 8 Same as MCV1 coverage
 Measles SIA conducted within the past three yearsb 8 Yes: ≥95% coverage (+0); 90–94% coverage (+2); 85–89% coverage (+4); <85% coverage (+6); No coverage data (+6); No SIA (+8)
 Target age group of measles SIA conducted within the past three years 2 Wide age group (+0); Narrow age group (+2); No SIA (+2)
 Years since the last measles SIA 4 ≤1 year (+0); 2 years (+2); ≤3 years (+4)
 Proportion of suspected cases who are unvaccinated or have unknown vaccination status 6 <20% (+0); ≥20% (+6)
Surveillance Quality (20)
 Nonmeasles discarded rate 8 ≥2 per 100,000 (+0); <2 per 100,000 (+4); <1 per 100,000 (+8)
 Proportion of measles cases with adequate investigation 4 ≥80% (+0); <80% (+4)
 Proportion of measles cases with adequate specimens collection 4 ≥80% (+0); <80% (+4)
 Proportion of measles cases with laboratory results available in a timely manner 4 ≥80% (+0); <80% (+4)
Program Performance (16)
 Trends in MCV1 coverage 4 Increasing or same (+0); ≤10% decline (+2); >10% decline (+4)
 Trends in MCV2 coverage 4 Same as MCV1 trend
 MCV1-MCV2 drop-out rate 4 ≤10% (+0); >10% (+4)
 DPT1-MCV1 drop-out rate 4 Same as MCV1-MCV2 dropout rate
Threat Assessment (24)
 ≥1 measles case reported among children <5 years 4 No (+0); Yes (+4)
 ≥1 measles case reported among persons 5–14 years 3 No (+0); Yes (+3)
 ≥1 measles case reported among persons ≥15 years 3 No (+0); Yes (+3)
 Population density 4 0-50/km2 (+0); 51–100/km2 (+1); 101–300/km2 (+2); 301–1000/km2 (+3); > 1000/km2 (+4)
 ≥1 measles case reported in a bordering district within the past 12 months 2 No (+0); Yes (+2)
 Presence of vulnerable groupsc 8 No vulnerable groups (+0); One risk point for each vulnerable group present (up to maximum of +8)
Total possible points (100)

DPT1 = first dose in series for diphtheria, pertussis, and tetanus vaccination; MCV1 = first dose in series for measles-containing vaccination; MCV2 = second dose in series for measles-containing vaccination; SIA = supplemental immunization activity.

a

Vaccination coverage estimates from surveys if conducted within past three years and includes birth cohorts of recent three years can be used to replace administrative coverage.

b

Outbreak response immunization (ORI) campaign coverage data can be considered if an SIA was not conducted within the past three years and if the ORI targeted a geographical area that included the entire district.

c

Presence of vulnerable groups includes any of the following: (1) migrant population, internally displaced population, slums, or tribal communities; (2) communities resistant to vaccination (e.g., religious, cultural, philosophical reasons); (3) security and safety concerns; (4) areas frequented by calamities/disasters; (5) poor access to health services due to terrain/transportation issues; (6) lack of local political support; (7) high-traffic transportation hubs/major roads or bordering large urban areas (within and across countries); (8) areas with mass gatherings (i.e., trade/commerce, fairs, markets, sporting events, high density of tourists).