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. 2023 Apr 24;4(6):100738. doi: 10.1016/j.patter.2023.100738

Table 5.

The top 20 predicted (novel) zoonotic viruses in the extended model

Virus Virus family (-viridae) Animal hosts (number of species) Probability Prior risk
Lagos bat lyssavirusa Rhabdo Chiroptera (10), Carnivora (3), Rodentia (1) 0.856 very high
Tacaribe mammarenavirusb Arena Chiroptera (9), Rodentia (1) 0.793 high
Rio Bravo virusb Flavi Chiroptera (19) 0.779 medium
Dera Ghazi Khan orthonairovirusb Nairo Rodentia (4), Artiodactyla (2) 0.755 medium
Wad Medani virus Reo Artiodactyla (6), Rodentia (4) 0.750 medium
Enterovirus Ec Picorna Artiodactyla (1), Primates (1) 0.745 low
Phocine morbillivirus Paramyxo Carnivora (22) 0.741 high
Bimiti orthobunyavirusb,d Peribunya Chiroptera (5), Rodentia (4), Perissodactyla (1) 0.734 high
Bujaru phlebovirusb,d Phenui P. guyannensis (Rodentia) 0.733 very high
Ectromelia viruse Pox Rodentia (3), Carnivora (1) 0.701 high
Murine respirovirusf Paramyxo Rodentia (9), Artiodactyla (1), Carnivora (1), Primates (1) 0.683 medium
Akabane orthobunyavirusg Peribunya Artiodactyla (31), Perissodactyla (4), Proboscidea (1) 0.682 high
Reston ebolavirusb,c,h Filo Chiroptera (9), Artiodactyla (1), Primates (1) 0.680 high
Saboya virusi Flavi Rodentia (4), Chiroptera (1) 0.679 high
Simian orthorubulavirusb,c Paramyxo M. fascicularis (primates) 0.678 high
Chobar Gorge virusb,d Reo Artiodactyla (2), Chiroptera (2), Perissodactyla (1) 0.673 medium
Issyk-Kul virusj Nairo Chiroptera (13) 0.672
Patois orthobunyavirusb,c Peribunya Rodentia (6), Artiodactyla (2), Didelphimorphia (2), Carnivora (1), Lagomorpha (1) 0.667 high
Bovine fever ephemerovirus Rhabdo Artiodactyla (30), Proboscidea (1) 0.660 medium
Minatitlan orthobunyavirus Peribunya Primates (1), Rodentia (1) 0.654

All are classified as “very high” risk by the combined model, which uses viral genome compositions and imputed network embeddings. Prior risk assignments from Mollentze et al.6 are also given where possible.

a

Serological evidence recorded from four human samples.32

b

Indicates that a virus has serological evidence of human infection in CLOVER, which was not included as a positive in the genomic model but was considered evidence of association in the mammal-virus network; however, note that H. sapiens and its associations were dropped before generating embeddings.

c

Indicates that a virus is accepted as a human virus by Woolhouse and Brierley.31

d

Indicates that a virus has recorded evidence of human infection in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ArboCat, although original source literature is not traceable.

e

A strain was isolated in 2012 from an outbreak of erythromelalgia-associated poxvirus in rural China in 1987;33 most databases do not record this virus as zoonotic.

f

Tentative serological evidence recorded.34

g

Serological evidence recorded.35

h

Serological evidence first recorded from cases associated with occupational exposure.36

i

Serological evidence recorded for Potsikum virus,37 now a member of Saboya virus.

j

Tentative evidence of viral isolation is recorded.38