Table 5.
The top 20 predicted (novel) zoonotic viruses in the extended model
| Virus | Virus family (-viridae) | Animal hosts (number of species) | Probability | Prior risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagos bat lyssavirusa | Rhabdo | Chiroptera (10), Carnivora (3), Rodentia (1) | 0.856 | very high |
| Tacaribe mammarenavirusb | Arena | Chiroptera (9), Rodentia (1) | 0.793 | high |
| Rio Bravo virusb | Flavi | Chiroptera (19) | 0.779 | medium |
| Dera Ghazi Khan orthonairovirusb | Nairo | Rodentia (4), Artiodactyla (2) | 0.755 | medium |
| Wad Medani virus | Reo | Artiodactyla (6), Rodentia (4) | 0.750 | medium |
| Enterovirus Ec | Picorna | Artiodactyla (1), Primates (1) | 0.745 | low |
| Phocine morbillivirus | Paramyxo | Carnivora (22) | 0.741 | high |
| Bimiti orthobunyavirusb,d | Peribunya | Chiroptera (5), Rodentia (4), Perissodactyla (1) | 0.734 | high |
| Bujaru phlebovirusb,d | Phenui | P. guyannensis (Rodentia) | 0.733 | very high |
| Ectromelia viruse | Pox | Rodentia (3), Carnivora (1) | 0.701 | high |
| Murine respirovirusf | Paramyxo | Rodentia (9), Artiodactyla (1), Carnivora (1), Primates (1) | 0.683 | medium |
| Akabane orthobunyavirusg | Peribunya | Artiodactyla (31), Perissodactyla (4), Proboscidea (1) | 0.682 | high |
| Reston ebolavirusb,c,h | Filo | Chiroptera (9), Artiodactyla (1), Primates (1) | 0.680 | high |
| Saboya virusi | Flavi | Rodentia (4), Chiroptera (1) | 0.679 | high |
| Simian orthorubulavirusb,c | Paramyxo | M. fascicularis (primates) | 0.678 | high |
| Chobar Gorge virusb,d | Reo | Artiodactyla (2), Chiroptera (2), Perissodactyla (1) | 0.673 | medium |
| Issyk-Kul virusj | Nairo | Chiroptera (13) | 0.672 | – |
| Patois orthobunyavirusb,c | Peribunya | Rodentia (6), Artiodactyla (2), Didelphimorphia (2), Carnivora (1), Lagomorpha (1) | 0.667 | high |
| Bovine fever ephemerovirus | Rhabdo | Artiodactyla (30), Proboscidea (1) | 0.660 | medium |
| Minatitlan orthobunyavirus | Peribunya | Primates (1), Rodentia (1) | 0.654 | – |
All are classified as “very high” risk by the combined model, which uses viral genome compositions and imputed network embeddings. Prior risk assignments from Mollentze et al.6 are also given where possible.
Serological evidence recorded from four human samples.32
Indicates that a virus has serological evidence of human infection in CLOVER, which was not included as a positive in the genomic model but was considered evidence of association in the mammal-virus network; however, note that H. sapiens and its associations were dropped before generating embeddings.
Indicates that a virus is accepted as a human virus by Woolhouse and Brierley.31
Indicates that a virus has recorded evidence of human infection in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ArboCat, although original source literature is not traceable.
A strain was isolated in 2012 from an outbreak of erythromelalgia-associated poxvirus in rural China in 1987;33 most databases do not record this virus as zoonotic.
Tentative serological evidence recorded.34
Serological evidence recorded.35
Serological evidence first recorded from cases associated with occupational exposure.36
Serological evidence recorded for Potsikum virus,37 now a member of Saboya virus.
Tentative evidence of viral isolation is recorded.38