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. 2023 Jun 8;7(4):pkad041. doi: 10.1093/jncics/pkad041

Table 2.

Performance of absolute risk models by race or ethnicitya,b

White
Black
AUC (95% CI) O/E (95% CI) AUC (95% CI) O/E (95% CI)
Absolute risk (BCRAT) 0.59 (0.56 to 0.60) 1.25 (0.89 to 1.38) 0.60 (0.56 to 0.64) 1.10 (0.90 to 1.25)
Absolute risk + BI-RADS density 0.59 (0.57 to 0.59) 1.21 (0.88 to 1.30) 0.61 (0.59 to 0.63) 1.10 (0.92 to 1.24)
Absolute risk + dense area 0.59 (0.58 to 0.60) 1.22 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.62 (0.60 to 0.64) 1.02 (0.88 to 1.15)
Absolute risk + percent density 0.59 (0.58 to 0.60) 1.20 (0.90 to 1.28) 0.62 (0.60 to 0.64) 1.10 (0.98 to 1.19)
BI-RADS + dense area 0.59 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.21 (0.91 to 1.29) 0.61 (0.60 to 0.64) 1.10 (0.92 to 1.20)
BI-RADS + percent density 0.60 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.19 (0.91 to 1.29) 0.62 (0.60 to 0.64) 1.12 (0.94 to 1.23)
Absolute risk (BCRAT) + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.20 (0.93 to 1.31) 0.61 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.10 (0.98 to 1.19)
Absolute risk + BI-RADS density + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.22 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.61 (0.57 to 0.66) 1.09 (0.97 to 1.20)
Absolute risk + dense area + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.22 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.62 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.12 (0.94 to 1.23)
Absolute risk + percent density + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.19 (0.95 to 1.34) 0.63 (0.59 to 0.64) 1.13 (1.01 to 1.19)
BI-RADS + dense area + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.22 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.62 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.15 (0.89 to 1.20)
BI-RADS + percent density + BMI 0.60 (0.59 to 0.61) 1.24 (0.95 to 1.30) 0.62 (0.59 to 0.62) 1.12 (0.94 to 1.23)
a

Each model also included age as a covariate. AUC = area under the curve; BCRAT = Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool; BI-RADS = Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System; BMI = body mass index; O/E = observed to expected ratio.

b

P values for comparisons of AUCs for risk models by race or ethnicity are not statistically significant.