Table 3.

Results of the logistic regression analyses with newly-developed CVD as the outcome at two timepoints

	Change from Wave 9 to Wave 1				Change from Wave 1 to Wave 2
	OR	LCI	UCI	P	OR	LCI	UCI	P
Constant	0.03	0.01	0.10	< 0.001	0.001	0.0002	0.01	< 0.001
Age	1.02	1.01	1.04	0.010	1.04	1.01	1.06	0.002
BMI
Normal (reference)					0.00
Underweight					5.46	1.50	19.91	0.010
Overweight					1.35	0.77	2.37	0.301
Obese					2.77	1.59	4.81	< 0.001
CES-D-SF	1.12	1.03	1.21	0.007	1.13	1.02	1.26	0.018
Deprivation score	1.14	1.04	1.25	0.007
Moderate physical activity
Hardly ever or never (reference)	0.00
One to three times a month	0.30	0.13	0.73	0.008
Once a week	0.68	0.38	1.20	0.179
More than once a week	0.68	0.45	1.04	0.072
Vigorous physical activity
Hardly ever or never (reference)	0.00
One to three times a month	0.79	0.41	1.54	0.492
Once a week	0.56	0.28	1.11	0.095
More than once a week	0.50	0.30	0.84	0.009
Sex
Male (reference)	0.00
Female	0.66	0.47	0.91	0.012

Abbreviations: BMI = Body Mass Index; CES-D-SF = Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale - Short Form; LCI = Lower 95% Confidence Interval; NVQ = National Vocational Qualification; OR = Odds Ratio; UCI = Upper 95% Confidence Interval