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. 2023 Jul 11;24(1):83. doi: 10.1186/s10194-023-01624-y

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 5 — Prevalence of individuals who never had migraine (p₀, in light yellow), with active migraine within the last year (p_a, in blue), and inactive migraine (p_i, in green), estimated from the Extended model (Fig. 2). Prevalences were estimated from a theoretical cohort of 100,000 individuals with a starting age of 30 years old and a follow-up of 30 years for each combination of location (Germany, Global) and sex (men, women). We simulated the start of the observation of the cohorts in the year 1990