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. 2023 Jul 11;20(7):e1004252. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004252

Table 4. Gains to GDP due to adolescent/adult TB vaccines across 2028–2080 for 105 analyzed LMICs by vaccine characteristic and delivery scenario.

Scenario Absolute gains in GDP
(billions 2020 US dollars)
Percentage gain in GDP
(%)
Base–case 1,618 (764, 2,988) 0.0326% (0.0266%, 0.0388%)
Lifelong duration of protection 2,518 (1,140, 4,789) 0.0484% (0.0403%, 0.0572%)
75% vaccine efficacy 2,355 (1,069, 4,387) 0.0452% (0.0377%, 0.0530%)
Low coverage 1,205 (527, 2,289) 0.0231% (0.0188%, 0.0276%)
High coverage 1,912 (843, 3,606) 0.0366% (0.0301%, 0.0436%)
Accelerated scale-up 2,765 (1,241, 5,229) 0.0532% (0.0445%, 0.0621%)
Routine delivery-only 352 (139, 710) 0.0067% (0.0049%, 0.0086%)
Rapid TB decline 55 (−77.6, 272) 0.0008% (−0.0022%, 0.0039%)

Note: Values in parentheses represent equal-tailed 95% uncertainty intervals.

GDP, gross domestic product; LMIC, low- and middle-income country; TB, tuberculosis.