Table 4. Gains to GDP due to adolescent/adult TB vaccines across 2028–2080 for 105 analyzed LMICs by vaccine characteristic and delivery scenario.
Scenario | Absolute gains in GDP (billions 2020 US dollars) |
Percentage gain in GDP (%) |
---|---|---|
Base–case | 1,618 (764, 2,988) | 0.0326% (0.0266%, 0.0388%) |
Lifelong duration of protection | 2,518 (1,140, 4,789) | 0.0484% (0.0403%, 0.0572%) |
75% vaccine efficacy | 2,355 (1,069, 4,387) | 0.0452% (0.0377%, 0.0530%) |
Low coverage | 1,205 (527, 2,289) | 0.0231% (0.0188%, 0.0276%) |
High coverage | 1,912 (843, 3,606) | 0.0366% (0.0301%, 0.0436%) |
Accelerated scale-up | 2,765 (1,241, 5,229) | 0.0532% (0.0445%, 0.0621%) |
Routine delivery-only | 352 (139, 710) | 0.0067% (0.0049%, 0.0086%) |
Rapid TB decline | 55 (−77.6, 272) | 0.0008% (−0.0022%, 0.0039%) |
Note: Values in parentheses represent equal-tailed 95% uncertainty intervals.
GDP, gross domestic product; LMIC, low- and middle-income country; TB, tuberculosis.