Table 1.
Parameters | Healthy or chronic health conditions | Immunocompromised conditions | Distribution | References | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Epidemiology/efficacy/effectiveness parameters | Mean | ± Range | Mean | ± Range | ||
Incidence of IPDs (per 100,000 population per year) | ||||||
Incidence of meningitis | 2.48 | 0.12 | 9.1 | 0.45 | normal | (20) |
Incidence of bacteremia | 13.6 | 0.68 | 17.39 | 0.87 | normal | (23) |
Incidence of bacteremia with pneumonia | 9.92 | 0.50 | 22.37 | 1.12 | normal | (20) |
Fatality rate fatality rate of IPDs (%) | 29.1 (3.9–54.3) |
1.46 | 43.65 | normal | (24) | |
Case fatality odds ratio for immunocompromised conditions | 1.5 | 0.3 | Log normal | (12, 20) | ||
IPD complications Epilepsy after meningitis |
0.082 | 0.004 | 0.082 | 0.004 | normal | (11) |
Hearing loss after meningitis | 0.016 | 0.0008 | 0.016 | 0.0008 | normal | |
Neurofunctional impairment after meningitis | 0.002 | 0.00009 | 0.002 | 0.00009 | normal | |
Complication from bacteremia | 0.070 | 0.004 | 0.070 | 0.004 | normal | (19) |
Complication from bacteremia with pneumonia | 0.020 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.001 | normal | |
Death after complication | 0.050 | 0.003 | 0.050 | 0.003 | normal | |
Non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia incidence (per 100,000 population per year) | 284.9 | 14.25 | 871.45 | 43.57 | normal | (20) |
Complications | 0.027 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.001 | normal | (19) |
Fatality rate of pneumococcal pneumonia (%) | 23.15 (1.9–44.4) |
1.16 | 34.73 | - | normal | (24) |
Case fatality odds ratio for immunocompromised conditions | 1.5 | 0.3 | Log normal | (12, 20) | ||
Vaccine efficacy protection against IPDs caused by vaccine serotype (PCV13) Duration of protection: no decline for 5 years then decline to 0 over 10 years (25) | ||||||
0 | 0.750 | 0.171 | 0.250 | 0.057 | normal | (25) (Healthy or chronic health conditions) For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26) |
6 | 0.675 | 0.154 | 0.225 | 0.051 | normal | |
7 | 0.600 | 0.137 | 0.200 | 0.046 | normal | |
8 | 0.525 | 0.120 | 0.175 | 0.040 | normal | |
9 | 0.450 | 0.103 | 0.150 | 0.034 | normal | |
10 | 0.375 | 0.086 | 0.125 | 0.029 | normal | |
11 | 0.300 | 0.069 | 0.100 | 0.023 | normal | |
12 | 0.225 | 0.051 | 0.075 | 0.017 | normal | |
13 | 0.150 | 0.034 | 0.050 | 0.011 | normal | |
14 | 0.075 | 0.017 | 0.025 | 0.006 | normal | |
15 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | normal | |
Protection against pneumonia caused by vaccine serotype (PCV13) | ||||||
0 | 0.535 | 0.214 | 0.150 | 0.053 | normal | (27) (Healthy or chronic health conditions) For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26) |
6 | 0.482 | 0.192 | 0.135 | 0.047 | normal | |
7 | 0.428 | 0.171 | 0.120 | 0.042 | normal | |
8 | 0.375 | 0.150 | 0.105 | 0.037 | normal | |
9 | 0.321 | 0.128 | 0.090 | 0.032 | normal | |
10 | 0.268 | 0.107 | 0.075 | 0.026 | normal | |
11 | 0.214 | 0.086 | 0.060 | 0.021 | normal | |
12 | 0.161 | 0.064 | 0.045 | 0.016 | normal | |
13 | 0.107 | 0.043 | 0.030 | 0.011 | normal | |
14 | 0.054 | 0.021 | 0.015 | 0.005 | normal | |
15 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | normal | |
Vaccine efficacy protection against IPDs caused by vaccine serotype (PPSV23) Duration of protection: Linear decline for 0 over 15 years | ||||||
0 | 0.597 | 0.063 | 0.079 | 0.134 | normal | Meta-analysis (28) (29) (30) |
1 | 0.557 | 0.059 | 0.074 | 0.125 | normal | |
2 | 0.517 | 0.054 | 0.068 | 0.116 | normal | |
3 | 0.478 | 0.050 | 0.063 | 0.107 | normal | |
4 | 0.438 | 0.046 | 0.058 | 0.098 | normal | |
5 | 0.398 | 0.042 | 0.053 | 0.089 | normal | |
6 | 0.358 | 0.038 | 0.047 | 0.081 | normal | |
7 | 0.318 | 0.033 | 0.042 | 0.072 | normal | |
8 | 0.279 | 0.029 | 0.037 | 0.063 | normal | |
9 | 0.239 | 0.025 | 0.032 | 0.054 | normal | |
10 | 0.199 | 0.021 | 0.026 | 0.045 | normal | |
11 | 0.159 | 0.017 | 0.021 | 0.036 | normal | |
12 | 0.119 | 0.013 | 0.016 | 0.027 | normal | |
13 | 0.080 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.018 | normal | |
14 | 0.040 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.009 | normal | |
15 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | normal | |
Protection against pneumonia caused by vaccine serotype (PPSV23) | ||||||
0 | 0.200 | 0.102 | 0.067 | 0.034 | normal | (31) (Healthy or chronic health conditions) For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26) |
1 | 0.187 | 0.095 | 0.063 | 0.032 | normal | |
2 | 0.173 | 0.088 | 0.058 | 0.030 | normal | |
3 | 0.160 | 0.082 | 0.054 | 0.027 | normal | |
4 | 0.147 | 0.075 | 0.049 | 0.025 | normal | |
5 | 0.133 | 0.068 | 0.045 | 0.023 | normal | |
6 | 0.120 | 0.061 | 0.040 | 0.021 | normal | |
7 | 0.107 | 0.054 | 0.036 | 0.018 | normal | |
8 | 0.093 | 0.048 | 0.031 | 0.016 | normal | |
9 | 0.080 | 0.041 | 0.027 | 0.014 | normal | |
10 | 0.067 | 0.034 | 0.022 | 0.011 | normal | |
11 | 0.053 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.009 | normal | |
12 | 0.040 | 0.020 | 0.013 | 0.007 | normal | |
13 | 0.027 | 0.014 | 0.009 | 0.005 | normal | |
14 | 0.013 | 0.007 | 0.004 | 0.002 | normal | |
15 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | normal | |
Utility parameters | ||||||
Utility for Thai older adult | 0.834 | 0.003 | 0.626 | 0.002 | Beta | (32) (19) (33) |
Utility for meningitis | 0.400 | 0.040 | 0.400 | 0.040 | Beta | |
Utility for bacteremia | 0.500 | 0.050 | 0.500 | 0.050 | Beta | |
Utility for pneumonia | 0.500 | 0.050 | 0.500 | 0.050 | Beta | |
Utility for neurological and chronic lung complications | 0.300 | 0.030 | 0.300 | 0.030 | Beta | |
Cost parameters Vaccine cost PCV13 (USD/vial) |
64.71 | Fixed | (38) | |||
PPSV23 (USD/vial) | 29.44 | Fixed | ||||
Administration cost PCV13 |
3.23 | Fixed | Assumption | |||
PPSV23 | 3.23 | Fixed | ||||
Direct medical costs Cost per episode Meningitis |
3,490.84 | 199.47 | 3490.84 | 199.47 | Gamma | (11) |
Bacteremia | 2419.04 | 121.14 | 2419.04 | 121.14 | Gamma | |
Pneumonia | 2881.49 | 272.55 | 2881.49 | 272.55 | Gamma | |
Cost per year | ||||||
Epilepsy | 451.44 | 4.03 | 451.44 | 4.03 | Gamma | |
Hearing loss | 27.70 | 0.31 | 27.70 | 0.31 | Gamma | |
Neurological impairment | 41.46 | 2.44 | 41.46 | 2.44 | Gamma | |
Chronic lung | 122.98 | 1.00 | 122.98 | 1.00 | Gamma |
IPD: Invasive Pneumococcal Vaccine; PCV: Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine; PPS: Pneumococcal Polysaccharide Vaccine.