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. 2023 Jun 29;11:1071117. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1071117

Table 1.

Input parameters.

Parameters Healthy or chronic health conditions Immunocompromised conditions Distribution References
Epidemiology/efficacy/effectiveness parameters Mean ± Range Mean ± Range
Incidence of IPDs (per 100,000 population per year)
Incidence of meningitis 2.48 0.12 9.1 0.45 normal (20)
Incidence of bacteremia 13.6 0.68 17.39 0.87 normal (23)
Incidence of bacteremia with pneumonia 9.92 0.50 22.37 1.12 normal (20)
Fatality rate fatality rate of IPDs (%) 29.1
(3.9–54.3)
1.46 43.65 normal (24)
Case fatality odds ratio for immunocompromised conditions 1.5 0.3 Log normal (12, 20)
IPD complications
Epilepsy after meningitis
0.082 0.004 0.082 0.004 normal (11)
Hearing loss after meningitis 0.016 0.0008 0.016 0.0008 normal
Neurofunctional impairment after meningitis 0.002 0.00009 0.002 0.00009 normal
Complication from bacteremia 0.070 0.004 0.070 0.004 normal (19)
Complication from bacteremia with pneumonia 0.020 0.001 0.020 0.001 normal
Death after complication 0.050 0.003 0.050 0.003 normal
Non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia incidence (per 100,000 population per year) 284.9 14.25 871.45 43.57 normal (20)
Complications 0.027 0.001 0.027 0.001 normal (19)
Fatality rate of pneumococcal pneumonia (%) 23.15
(1.9–44.4)
1.16 34.73 - normal (24)
Case fatality odds ratio for immunocompromised conditions 1.5 0.3 Log normal (12, 20)
Vaccine efficacy protection against IPDs caused by vaccine serotype (PCV13)
Duration of protection: no decline for 5 years then decline to 0 over 10 years (25)
0 0.750 0.171 0.250 0.057 normal (25)
(Healthy or chronic health conditions)
For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26)
6 0.675 0.154 0.225 0.051 normal
7 0.600 0.137 0.200 0.046 normal
8 0.525 0.120 0.175 0.040 normal
9 0.450 0.103 0.150 0.034 normal
10 0.375 0.086 0.125 0.029 normal
11 0.300 0.069 0.100 0.023 normal
12 0.225 0.051 0.075 0.017 normal
13 0.150 0.034 0.050 0.011 normal
14 0.075 0.017 0.025 0.006 normal
15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 normal
Protection against pneumonia caused by vaccine serotype (PCV13)
0 0.535 0.214 0.150 0.053 normal (27)
(Healthy or chronic health conditions)
For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26)
6 0.482 0.192 0.135 0.047 normal
7 0.428 0.171 0.120 0.042 normal
8 0.375 0.150 0.105 0.037 normal
9 0.321 0.128 0.090 0.032 normal
10 0.268 0.107 0.075 0.026 normal
11 0.214 0.086 0.060 0.021 normal
12 0.161 0.064 0.045 0.016 normal
13 0.107 0.043 0.030 0.011 normal
14 0.054 0.021 0.015 0.005 normal
15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 normal
Vaccine efficacy protection against IPDs caused by vaccine serotype (PPSV23)
Duration of protection: Linear decline for 0 over 15 years
0 0.597 0.063 0.079 0.134 normal Meta-analysis
(28)
(29)
(30)
1 0.557 0.059 0.074 0.125 normal
2 0.517 0.054 0.068 0.116 normal
3 0.478 0.050 0.063 0.107 normal
4 0.438 0.046 0.058 0.098 normal
5 0.398 0.042 0.053 0.089 normal
6 0.358 0.038 0.047 0.081 normal
7 0.318 0.033 0.042 0.072 normal
8 0.279 0.029 0.037 0.063 normal
9 0.239 0.025 0.032 0.054 normal
10 0.199 0.021 0.026 0.045 normal
11 0.159 0.017 0.021 0.036 normal
12 0.119 0.013 0.016 0.027 normal
13 0.080 0.008 0.011 0.018 normal
14 0.040 0.004 0.005 0.009 normal
15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 normal
Protection against pneumonia caused by vaccine serotype (PPSV23)
0 0.200 0.102 0.067 0.034 normal (31)
(Healthy or chronic health conditions)
For immunocompromised conditions: Assumed 1/3 of healthy/chronic medical conditions adults (26)
1 0.187 0.095 0.063 0.032 normal
2 0.173 0.088 0.058 0.030 normal
3 0.160 0.082 0.054 0.027 normal
4 0.147 0.075 0.049 0.025 normal
5 0.133 0.068 0.045 0.023 normal
6 0.120 0.061 0.040 0.021 normal
7 0.107 0.054 0.036 0.018 normal
8 0.093 0.048 0.031 0.016 normal
9 0.080 0.041 0.027 0.014 normal
10 0.067 0.034 0.022 0.011 normal
11 0.053 0.027 0.018 0.009 normal
12 0.040 0.020 0.013 0.007 normal
13 0.027 0.014 0.009 0.005 normal
14 0.013 0.007 0.004 0.002 normal
15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 normal
Utility parameters
Utility for Thai older adult 0.834 0.003 0.626 0.002 Beta (32)
(19)
(33)
Utility for meningitis 0.400 0.040 0.400 0.040 Beta
Utility for bacteremia 0.500 0.050 0.500 0.050 Beta
Utility for pneumonia 0.500 0.050 0.500 0.050 Beta
Utility for neurological and chronic lung complications 0.300 0.030 0.300 0.030 Beta
Cost parameters
Vaccine cost
PCV13 (USD/vial)
64.71 Fixed (38)
PPSV23 (USD/vial) 29.44 Fixed
Administration cost
PCV13
3.23 Fixed Assumption
PPSV23 3.23 Fixed
Direct medical costs
Cost per episode
Meningitis
3,490.84 199.47 3490.84 199.47 Gamma (11)
Bacteremia 2419.04 121.14 2419.04 121.14 Gamma
Pneumonia 2881.49 272.55 2881.49 272.55 Gamma
Cost per year
Epilepsy 451.44 4.03 451.44 4.03 Gamma
Hearing loss 27.70 0.31 27.70 0.31 Gamma
Neurological impairment 41.46 2.44 41.46 2.44 Gamma
Chronic lung 122.98 1.00 122.98 1.00 Gamma

IPD: Invasive Pneumococcal Vaccine; PCV: Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine; PPS: Pneumococcal Polysaccharide Vaccine.