. 2023 Jul 5;20(13):6303. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20136303

Table 2.

Results of accuracy measures with Algorithm 1 and the explanatory variables $Y_{o} (t - h)$ , $R (t - 𝓁_{R})$ , $T (t - 𝓁_{T})$ , $H (t - 𝓁_{H})$ , and 1 for the intercept. We have considered $t_{s} = 0$ , $t_{i} = 5$ , $t_{c} = 84$ and $t_{e} = 108$ and $h = 1$ . Refer to Table 1 for $𝓁_{R}$ , $𝓁_{T}$ and $𝓁_{H}$ values. Train/test values are reported and $\min_{t \in {t_{i}, \dots, t_{c}}} μ (t)$ . We denote by G: Gaussian, P: Poisson, id: identity, Dk: Dakar, Ft: Fatick, and Kd: Kedougou.

	Model	Link	RMSE	MASE	MARE	$R_{COR}^{2}$	min	RA
Dk	G	id	2197.29/2384.26	0.52/1.01	0.68/1.54	0.84/0.79	−517.03	28.75/20
		log	2466.29/2352.81	0.6/1.38	0.85/2.66	0.79/0.78	511.81	22.5/4
	P	id	2245.27/2689.74	0.52/1.02	0.54/1.28	0.83/0.78	282.6	32.5/16
		log	2523.01/2297.45	0.57/1.23	0.65/2.05	0.79/0.77	341.22	27.5/4
		sqrt	2354.97/2303.14	0.54/1.08	0.62/1.77	0.81/0.8	279.49	30/12
	NB	id	2558.87/3555.94	0.58/1.28	0.5/1.24	0.82/0.76	460.63	27.5/16
		log	3736.91/2424.02	0.74/1.1	0.61/1.89	0.73/0.79	471.42	28.75/8
		sqrt	3409.99/3234.53	0.73/1.23	0.55/1.56	0.79/0.79	482.42	28.75/16
Ft	G	id	768.52/578.88	0.83/1.33	0.66/0.59	0.67/0.75	87.78	27.5/24
		log	721.66/484.07	0.81/1.31	0.73/0.7	0.71/0.83	83.29	25/16
	P	id	772.32/543.56	0.82/1.26	0.65/0.6	0.67/0.72	99.12	31.25/24
		log	741.92/491.42	0.83/1.37	0.85/0.88	0.69/0.78	215.44	25/8
		sqrt	763.78/526.94	0.84/1.32	0.79/0.74	0.68/0.73	215.13	26.25/20
	NB	id	839.53/527.32	0.87/1.22	0.61/0.59	0.64/0.67	69.22	30/20
		log	861.98/466.03	0.91/1.21	0.84/0.79	0.63/0.7	268.19	21.25/20
		sqrt	942.27/504.91	0.98/1.13	0.75/0.59	0.62/0.64	180.39	22.25/28
Kd	G	id	1230.61/2467.27	1.01/0.92	1.19/0.63	0.62/0.62	29.85	10/16
		log	1409.28/2720.94	1.27/1.01	2.18/0.73	0.51/0.56	872.92	13.75/20
	P	id	1241.89/2431.91	0.99/0.87	0.9/0.47	0.61/0.63	126.76	16.25/24
		log	1488.67/3009.49	1.15/1.1	1.47/0.52	0.46/0.59	510.81	21.25/16
		sqrt	1352.9/2523.28	1.03/0.89	1.07/0.42	0.56/0.62	324.21	18.75/12
	NB	id	1287.33/2346.07	1.07/0.83	0.9/0.44	0.61/0.65	−52.81	16.25/28
		log	2160.53/7024.86	1.42/2.47	1.08/0.73	0.4/0.58	275.72	16.25/8
		sqrt	1567.23/3037.79	1.19/1.14	0.91/0.44	0.54/0.63	132.16	20/16