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. 2023 Feb 13;481(8):1610–1619. doi: 10.1097/CORR.0000000000002576

Table 1.

Predicted total numbers and incidence rates of dorsal spinal fusions for projection years in relation to 2019

Year Absolute numbers (95% CI) Relative increase in % (95% CI) Incidence rate per 100,000 (95% CI) Relative increase in % (95% CI)
2019 46,233 55.6
2020 47,025 (46,167 to 47,883) 2 (0 to 4) 57 (56 to 58) 2 (0 to 4)
2030 54,297 (47,651 to 60,942) 17 (3 to 32) 65 (57 to 73) 17 (3 to 31)
2040 63,067 (51,132 to 75,002) 36 (11 to 62) 76 (62 to 91) 37 (11 to 63)
2050 71,955 (54,130 to 89,780) 56 (17 to 94) 89 (67 to 110) 59 (20 to 99)
2060 81,244 (56,663 to 105,824) 76 (23 to 129) 102 (71 to 133) 83 (28 to 139)

Incidence rate is given per 100,000 individuals, relative increase in % compared to 2019 baseline data.