Table 1.
Excess death (ED) by age, sex and place of death, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, 2020
| Characteristics | Observed deaths (count) |
Expected deaths (count)* |
ED (count)* |
ED rate (per 100 000)* |
ED per cent above expected (%)* |
| Overall | 4660 | 3618–3820 | 840–1042 | 79–98 | 22%–29% |
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 2223 | 1621–1742 | 481–602 | 96–121 | 28%–37% |
| Female | 2437 | 1896–2039 | 398–541 | 70–96 | 20%–29% |
| Place of death† | |||||
| Home | 2880 | 2406–2557 | 323–474 | 30–45 | 13%–20% |
| Hospital | 1571 | 963–1081 | 490–608 | 46–57 | 45%–63% |
| Age | |||||
| Age<65 | 1790 | 1373–1467 | 323–417 | 32–42 | 22%–30% |
| Age≥65 | 2870 | 2186–2345 | 525–684 | 814–1061 | 22%–31% |
| 0–14 | 279 | 239–264 | 15–40 | 5–13 | 6%–17% |
| 15-34‡ | 99 | 71–88 | 13–28 | 4–9 | 15%–39% |
| 35–44 | 169 | 119–149 | 20–50 | 13–32 | 13%–32% |
| 45–54 | 387 | 271–309 | 78–116 | 67–99 | 25%–43% |
| 55–64 | 856 | 526–604 | 252–330 | 299–391 | 42%–63% |
| 65–74 | 1056 | 637–736 | 320–419 | 751–984 | 43%–66% |
| 75–84 | 1069 | 823–886 | 183–246 | 1093–1469 | 21%–30% |
| 85+ | 745 | 599–677 | 68–146 | 1326–2847 | 10%–24% |
Disaggregated results do not sum to overall numbers because of underlying imputations. EDs are calculated as the difference between observed and ED numbers for the threshold and average (baseline).
*The range of values is based on the average (baseline) and the upper bound of the 95% CI (threshold) of historical deaths (2015–2019). For simplicity, we included only ED per cent above the threshold in text and graphics.
†One hundred and forty-two people who died in another place and 67 who died in a day hospital were not included.
‡Due to the small number of deaths (25) in the age group (15–24), we combined this age group with the age group (25–34) to calculate the ED%.