Table 7.
Analysis of area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, cut-off value, 95% confidence interval for in-hospital mortality
|
Test result variable
|
Area
|
Cut off
|
Std. error(a)
|
Asymptotic Sig.(b)
|
Asymptotic 95% confidence interval
|
| Variceal bleed | |||||
| AIMS-65 | 0.772 | 1.0 | 0.051 | 0.001 | 0.673-0.871 |
| PERS | 0.705 | 3.5 | 0.067 | 0.008 | 0.573-0.837 |
| ABC | 0.744 | 5.5 | 0.052 | 0.002 | 0.642-0.845 |
| GBS | 0.752 | 10.5 | 0.067 | 0.001 | 0.621-0.883 |
| Non-variceal bleed | |||||
| AIMS-65 | 0.693 | 1.5 | 0.059 | 0.006 | 0.577-0.810 |
| PERS | 0.680 | 3.5 | 0.053 | 0.011 | 0.576-0.785 |
| ABC | 0.775 | 5.5 | 0.051 | 0.001 | 0.675-0.874 |
| GBS | 0.657 | 12.5 | 0.077 | 0.027 | 0.505-0.808 |
AIMS65: Age older than 65; PERS: Pre-endoscopic Rockall score; ABC: Age, blood tests and comorbidities; GBS: Glasgow-Blatchford score.