Table 2.
Relative change of key parameters under each future scenario in comparison to the current level (100%). The parameter changes except for the ones indicated with an asterisk (*) are our assumptions based on local expert knowledge. Consumer prices reflect the global trend. Please note that the prices of the products sold on direct markets in the SBL-Agri-SSP1 (milk, beef and cherries) are determined independently from the global trend. Labour requirement refers to labour hours required for each farm activity per hectare
| Parameter category | Subcategory | Reference | SBL-Agri-SSP1 | SBL-Agri-SSP2 | SBL-Agri-SSP5 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct payments | Economic supports | 100% | 75% | 100% | 0% | Own assumption |
| Ecological supports | 100% | 125% | 110% | 0% | Own assumption | |
| Input prices | Hail insurance | 100% | 150% | 150% | 150% | Own assumption |
| Fuel price | 100% | *187% | *187% | 100% | L.Felber & SFOE (2021) | |
| Consumer prices | Food commodities | 100% | *75% | 100% | *88% | Doelman et al. (2018) |
| Efficiency | Labour requirement | 100% | 100% | 90% | 80% | Own assumption |