Appendix 2—figure 4. Progress towards cervical cancer elimination over time with and without disruption.

Predicted cervical cancer age-standardised incidence (in cases per 100,000 woman-years) in the years since start of vaccination in the four highlighted scenarios with (dashed curves) and without (solid curves) disruption. The dashed horizontal line represents the World Health Organization (WHO) elimination threshold for cervical cancer elimination, that is, age-standardised incidence of 4 cases per 100,000 woman-years. Disruption was simulated according to the base case with a period of disruption of 5 years and 0% coverage in girls and boys during the disruption period.