Figure 3. Progress towards cervical cancer elimination over time.

Predicted cervical cancer age-standardised incidence (in cases per 100,000 woman-years) in the years since start of vaccination in India under no vaccination and in the four highlighted scenarios. The dashed line represents the World Health Organization (WHO) elimination threshold for cervical cancer elimination as a public health priority, that is, age-standardised incidence of 4 cases per 100,000 woman-years. Disruption was simulated according to the base case with a period of disruption of 5 years and 0% coverage in girls and boys during the disruption period.