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. 2023 Jul 24;6(7):e2324176. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.24176

Table 2. Performance Across Lead Times by Deterioration Event.

Deterioration event AUROC (95% CI)
3 h 6 h 12 h 24 h 38 h 72 h
Mechanical ventilation 0.848 (0.838-0.859) 0.836 (0.828-0.843) 0.783 (0.777-0.789) 0.728 (0.723-0.732) 0.702 (0.698-0.705) 0.677 (0.674-0.680)
ICU transfer 0.784 (0.780-0.788) 0.782 (0.778-0.786) 0.759 (0.756-0.762) 0.719 (0.716-0.722) 0.700 (0.697-0.702) 0.681 (0.679-0.683)
Death 0.863 (0.844-0.882) 0.865 (0.852-0.877) 0.872 (0.864-0.880) 0.877 (0.872-0.882) 0.880 (0.876-0.883) 0.868 (0.866-0.871)
Mechanical ventilation, ICU transfer, or death 0.782 (0.777-0.786) 0.780 (0.776-0.783) 0.759 (0.756-0.762) 0.728 (0.725-0.730) 0.715 (0.713-0.717) 0.707 (0.706-0.709)

Abbreviations: AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; ICU, intensive care unit.