Table 2. Performance Across Lead Times by Deterioration Event.
Deterioration event | AUROC (95% CI) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 h | 6 h | 12 h | 24 h | 38 h | 72 h | |
Mechanical ventilation | 0.848 (0.838-0.859) | 0.836 (0.828-0.843) | 0.783 (0.777-0.789) | 0.728 (0.723-0.732) | 0.702 (0.698-0.705) | 0.677 (0.674-0.680) |
ICU transfer | 0.784 (0.780-0.788) | 0.782 (0.778-0.786) | 0.759 (0.756-0.762) | 0.719 (0.716-0.722) | 0.700 (0.697-0.702) | 0.681 (0.679-0.683) |
Death | 0.863 (0.844-0.882) | 0.865 (0.852-0.877) | 0.872 (0.864-0.880) | 0.877 (0.872-0.882) | 0.880 (0.876-0.883) | 0.868 (0.866-0.871) |
Mechanical ventilation, ICU transfer, or death | 0.782 (0.777-0.786) | 0.780 (0.776-0.783) | 0.759 (0.756-0.762) | 0.728 (0.725-0.730) | 0.715 (0.713-0.717) | 0.707 (0.706-0.709) |
Abbreviations: AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; ICU, intensive care unit.