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. 2023 May 10;29(3):747–762. doi: 10.3350/cmh.2023.0121

Table 2.

Dynamic change of risk prediction model scores at different on-treatment timepoints

Models Before AVT (n=660) On-treatment timepoints
Year 2.5 (n=660) Year 3 (n=640) Year 3.5 (n=622) Year 4 (n=603) Year 4.5 (n=589) Year 5 (n=562)
Untreated models without the cirrhosis variable
REACH-B 10.14±2.48 5.93±2.14 5.87±2.07 6.13±2.12 6.07±2.05 5.98±2.03 5.97±2.00
NGM1 8.32±2.48 6.66±2.51 6.69±2.39 6.77±2.45 6.94±2.47 6.60±2.37 6.73±2.34
NGM2 11.20±2.67 7.87±3.41 7.81±3.17 7.95±3.31 8.13±3.34 7.43±3.08 7.51±2.97
Untreated models with the cirrhosis variable
GAG-HCC 92.92±22.05 75.88±22.43 76.49±21.69 76.55±21.57 76.88±21.82 76.20±21.13 74.73±20.98
Treated or mixed models without the cirrhosis variable
mREACH-BI 8.03±2.18 6.55±2.34 6.38±2.23 6.60±2.26 6.60±2.25 6.47±2.21 6.49±2.19
mREACH-BII 9.48±2.64 7.23±2.82 6.98±2.68 7.17±2.71 7.20±2.69 7.02±2.63 7.07±2.60
LSM-HCC 16.36±7.41 9.02±8.13 8.41±7.98 8.45±7.98 8.56±7.76 8.57±7.89 8.85±7.84
SAGE-B 7.04±3.47 5.30±3.31 5.20±3.15 5.23±3.15 5.37±3.08 5.44±3.11 5.56±3.00
mPAGE-B 10.33±3.24 9.98±3.18 10.08±3.07 10.00±2.99 10.22±3.05 10.15±2.98 10.36±2.93
PAGE-B 14.49±4.57 14.00±4.88 14.03±4.78 13.79±4.71 14.09±4.77 13.90±4.72 14.22±4.69
aMAP 60.36±7.56 58.74±7.52 58.58±7.44 58.47±7.44 58.51±7.43 58.43±7.37 58.79±7.30
Treated or mixed models with the cirrhosis variable
AASL-HCC 13.25±6.69 11.37±6.51 11.60±6.43 11.46±6.37 11.67±6.52 11.41±6.29 10.93±6.19
CAMD 10.10±5.14 9.30±5.21 9.57±5.11 9.49±5.07 9.70 ±5.22 9.60±5.02 9.40±4.94
REAL-B 5.11±2.13 4.57±2.07 4.64±2.04 4.57±1.97 4.69±2.05 4.59±1.96 4.54±1.91
CU-HCC 16.12±11.15 8.68±8.51 8.74±8.54 8.50±8.18 8.52±8.49 8.30±8.29 7.36±8.18
RWS-HCC 4.57±2.07 3.26±1.86 3.28±1.80 3.22±1.74 3.17±1.74 3.14±1.73 2.91±1.74
CAGE-B 7.32±3.91 6.66±3.56 6.69±3.46 6.70±3.44 6.86±3.41 6.90±3.43 7.03±3.34

Model scores were expressed as mean±standard deviation.

AVT, antiviral treatment; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; LSM, liver stiffness measurement.