Table 8.

Probabilities of proposals in each of the top-4 ranking places based on the Mallows-Binomial (left) and Ratings-Only Binomial (right) models in AIBS grant panel review data

	Mallows-Binomial					Mean Ratings
Proposal	17	19	25	21	4	17	19	25	21
First	0.576	0.328	0.096	0	0	0.997	0.002	0.001	0
Second	0.250	0.263	0.485	0.002	0	0.003	0.499	0.498	0
Third	0.174	0.407	0.417	0.002	0	0	0.499	0.501	0
Fourth	0	0.002	0.002	0.993	0.003	0	0	0	1