Table 7.
Short run and long run NARDL coefficient.
| Variables | Long run estimation |
Short run estimation |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficient | t-test | p-value | variables | Coefficient | t-test | p-value | ||
| GDPC+ | 0.537* | 3.754 | 0.005 | GDPC+ | 0.475* | 5.397 | 0.000 | |
| GDPC- | 0.032* | 0.083 | 0.000 | GDPC- | 0.216** | 3.286 | 0.023 | |
| TD+ | −1.437* | −4.737 | 0.001 | TD+ | −0.763* | −5.187 | 0.004 | |
| TD- | −0.584** | −2.874 | 0.026 | TD- | −1.579* | −2.947 | 0.001 | |
| SG+ | −0.076** | −1.437 | 0.035 | SG+ | −0.087 | −0.438 | 0.326 | |
| SG- | −0.094* | −0.964 | 0.005 | SG- | −0.065** | −0.325 | 0.009 | |
| ENE+ | 0.165* | 1.589 | 0.000 | ENE+ | 0.169* | 3.478 | 0.005 | |
| ENE- | 0.138* | 1.437 | 0.003 | ENE- | 0.547** | 2.164 | 0.034 | |
| SI+ | 0.870** | 2.726 | 0.043 | SI+ | 0.653* | 1.969 | 0.004 | |
| SI− | 0.065** | 0.763 | 0.016 | SI− | 1.658** | 3.375 | 0.027 | |
| C | −0.386* | −5.436 | 0.004 | ECT(−) | −0.865* | −8.547 | 0.000 | |
| Diagnostic testsrowhead | ||||||||
| R2 | 0.98 | JB normality | 0.947 (0.326) | |||||
| Adjusted R2 | 0.96 | X2 LM | 0.548 (0.275) | |||||
| DW statistics | 2.659 | X2 ARCH | 0.065 (0.538) | |||||
| F-statistics | 547.865 (0.000) | X2 RESET | 0.658 (0.421) | |||||