Table 4:

Logistic Regression Predicting Delinquency at Age 20

Predictor	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4
Variable of Interest
8th-grade Police Contact	2.17 (.30)*	1.87 (.31)*	7.92 (0.04)*	6.35 (0.06)
Demographics
Age	1.11 (.19)	1.12 (.19)	1.39 (.74)	1.43 (0.72)
Black	0.42 (.30)**	0.42 (.30)**	.09 (.02)*	0.10 (0.02)*
Female	0.75 (.25)	0.75 (.25)	0.31 (0.24)	0.34 (0.27)
Log Income 8th-grade Illegal Behavior	1.04 (.15)	1.09 (.16)	1.36 (0.76)	1.92 (0.52)
8th-grade Property Crime	1.56 (.27)	1.57 (.27)	4.90 (0.11)	5.31 (0.09)
Early Criminal Justice
10th-grade Arrest	---	2.46 (.52)	---	5.70 (0.08)
Interaction Term   Race x Police Contact	---	---	0.68 (0.70)	0.60 (0.61)

Odds ratios reported with standard errors in parentheses

^*p<.05

^**p<.01

^***p<.001 (two-tailed tests)