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. 2023 Jun 9;151:e105. doi: 10.1017/S0950268823000900

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© The Author(s) 2023

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.

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Figure 1. — Boxplots showing the sensitivity (green), specificity (blue), and PPV (red) of each transmission reconstruction model for predicting known transmission events in 20 simulated tuberculosis outbreaks. Links with a probability of ≥0.5 are considered. The results when transmission links between pairs in any direction are shown for Phybreak simulations in (a) and TransPhylo+SeqGen simulations in (b). The results when transmission links are predicted with the correct donor–recipient direction are shown for Phybreak simulations in (c) and TransPhylo+SeqGen simulations in (d).