Table 2.

New York Heart Association classification transition probabilities per cycle (3 months)

To	I	II	III	IV	Distribution
From
I	0.977	0.019	0.004	0	Dirichlet
II	0.008	0.981	0.010	0.001	Dirichlet
III	0	0.034	0.960	0.006	Dirichlet
IV	0	0	0.055	0.945	Dirichlet