Table 4.

R square, intercept, and coefficients [confidence interval] of the multivariable regression predicting the standardized effect of the health pass (the percentage of the population convinced by the health pass that would not be vaccinated otherwise) for each age category; Coefficients with confidence interval not encompassing zero are highlighted in bold.

Term	20–39	40–64	65–75	75+
R2	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23
Territory
Oversea (vs metropolitan)	−2.1 [−7.6, 3.3]	−28.6 [−38.5, −18.8]	−21.2 [−30.4, −12.0]	−39.1 [−50.3, −27.9]
Medium density (ref low)	0.4 [−0.2, 0.9]	0.5 [−0.7, 1.7]	5.0 [3.2, 6.7]	10.6 [8.4, 12.7]
High density (ref low)	0.5 [−0.5, 1.4]	0.8 [−1.2, 2.8]	5.3 [2.3, 8.2]	9.9 [6.4, 13.4]
Proportion women	0.2 [−0.07, 0.4]	1.2 [0.7, 1.7]	2.4 [1.5, 3.3]	3.8 [2.7, 4.8]
COVID-19
Death excess	−0.01 [−0.02, 0.002]	0.002 [−0.02, 0.03]	0.08 [0.02, 0.1]	−0.03 [−0.09, 0.04]
Hospitalization	−1.7 [−3.4, 0.002]	1.0 [−2.7, 4.6]	−5.0 [−8.6, −1.4]	−6.6 [−10.3, −2.8]
Socio-economic
Poverty	−0.2 [−0.3, −0.1]	−0.3 [−0.5, −0.1]	0.1 [−0.2, 0.4]	0.2 [−0.1, 0.5]
Pop without secondary education	−0.1 [−0.3, 0.06]	−0.2 [−0.6, 0.1]	−0.9 [−1.4, −0.4]	−1.6 [−2.2, −1.0]
Inequalities	−3.2 [−4.1, −2.2]	−3.2 [−5.1, −1.2]	−5.0 [−7.5, −2.5]	−1.7 [−4.4, 1.1]
COVID-19 health access
Min distance to vaccination center	−0.008 [−0.04, 0.02]	−0.03 [−0.08, 0.03]	−0.08 [−0.2, −0.003]	−0.07 [−0.2, 0.02]
Pharmacy and physician density	−0.5 [−1.1, 0.1]	−3.9 [−5.1, −2.6]	−1.6 [−3.8, 0.6]	−2.6 [−5.2, 0.06]
Doses available	0.03 [0.02, 0.05]	0.002 [−0.03, 0.04]	0.05 [0.01, 0.09]	0.005 [−0.04, 0.05]
Politics
Abstention	−0.1 [−0.2, −0.02]	0.3 [0.04, 0.5]	0.4 [0.2, 0.7]	0.5 [0.2, 0.7]
Result of pro-pass candidate	0.3 [0.28, 0.4]	0.1 [−0.01, 0.3]	0.3 [0.1, 0.5]	0.2 [−0.06, 0.4]