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. 2023 Jul 29;23:142. doi: 10.1186/s12911-023-02247-8

Table 2.

Sensitivity and specificity of prediction models for in-hospital and out-of-hospital mortality in the training set and verification set

Subgroup Model type Training Cohort Verification Cohort
Number Sen(95%CI) Spe(95%CI) Number Sen(95%CI) Spe(95%CI)
Death in hospital Newly Developed Machine Learning Models
ANN 7 0.78(0.57,0.91) 0.92(0.87,0.95) 1 0.84 0.93
DT 6 0.83(0.67,0.92) 0.93(0.78,0.98) 2 0.44-1 0.98–0.98
KNN 1 0.91
LR 9 0.68(0.58,0.77) 0.91(0.85,0.95) 2 0.59–0.66 0.92–0.94
RF 7 0.86(0.73,0.93) 0.92(0.76,0.98)
SVM 12 0.86(0.80,0.91) 0.87(0.74,0.94) 1 0.66 0.95
NB 6 0.82(0.74,0.87) 0.89(0.70,0.96) 1 0.59 0.89
LDA 2 0.66–0.85 0.48–0.81
GBM 3 0.76–0.94 0.63–0.81
LASSO 1 0.95 0.48
Ridge 1 0.88 0.71
AdaBoost 1 0.34 0.97
xgboost 1 0.79 0.81
Other 7 0.67(0.50,0.80) 0.88(0.65,0.97)
Overall 64 0.79(0.75,0.82) 0.89(0.86,0.92) 7 0.64(0.53,0.75) 0.95(0.92,0.97)
Mature Clinically Recommended Tools
CRASH core 1 0.73 0.90
CRASH CT 2 0.72–0.84 0.72–0.90
CRASH base 2 0.72–0.78 0.80–0.82
Helsinki 1 0.83 0.59 1 0.66 0.84
Marshall 1 0.75 0.98 1 0.50 0.99
Total GCS 2 0.50–0.51 0.90–0.90
Rotterdam 1 0.58 0.77 1 0.66 0.64
IMPACT ct 1 0.80 0.78
Overall 11 0.71(0.64,0.78) 0.84(0.78,0.89)
Death within 1 month Newly Developed Machine Learning Models
DT 1 0.71 0.77
LR 2 0.70–0.77 0.61–0.75
RF 1 0.80 0.84
SVM
LASSO/Rige
Overall 4 0.74(0.67,0.81) 0.75(0.66,0.82)
Mature Clinically Recommended Tools
CRASH core 1 0.77 0.89
CRASH CT 1 0.87 0.88
Total GCS 1 0.60 0.70
APACHE II 1 0.75 0.75
IMPACT core 1 0.70 0.74
IMPACT extended 1 0.76 0.74
IMPACT lab 1 0.72 0.76
Overall 7 0.75(0.68,0.80) 0.79(0.73,0.84)