TABLE 1.
Variables | Base-case value | Range | Reference | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probability of TTR for systolic BP by hypertension management approach | |||||||
PPCCM | |||||||
0%-25% | 0.210 | 0.170-0.260 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
26%-50% | 0.360 | 0.290-0.430 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
51%-75% | 0.310 | 0.240-0.370 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
76%-100% | 0.120 | 0.098-0.150 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
Usual care | |||||||
0%-25% | 0.550 | 0.400-0.600 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
26%-50% | 0.340 | 0.270-0.400 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
51%-75% | 0.050 | 0.042-0.064 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
76%-100% | 0.060 | 0.044-0.066 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
Probability of cardiovascular events by TTR for systolic BP | |||||||
Outcome event rates of patients in TTR for systolic BP 0%-25% | |||||||
Nonfatal MI | 0.035 | 0.027-0.045 | Wright et al, 20159 | ||||
Stroke | 0.020 | 0.014-0.028 | Wright et al, 20159 | ||||
Heart failure | 0.022 | 0.016-0.031 | Wright et al, 20159 | ||||
CVD death | 0.017 | 0.012-0.024 | Wright et al, 20159 | ||||
No cardiovascular event | 0.906 | – | Calculation | ||||
Hazard ratio of patients in TTR for systolic BP 26%-50% | |||||||
Nonfatal MI | 0.83 | 0.57-1.18 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Stroke | 0.83 | 0.55-1.27 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Heart failure | 1.30 | 0.94-2.01 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
CVD death | 0.69 | 0.42-1.15 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
No cardiovascular event | 1.03 | – | Calculation | ||||
Hazard ratio of patients in TTR for systolic BP 51%-75% | |||||||
Nonfatal MI | 0.87 | 0.61-1.24 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Stroke | 0.58 | 0.36-0.93 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Heart failure | 0.84 | 0.54-1.29 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
CVD death | 0.53 | 0.30-0.92 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
No cardiovascular event | 1.12 | – | Calculation | ||||
Hazard ratio of patients in TTR for systolic BP 76%-100% | |||||||
Nonfatal MI | 0.69 | 0.46-1.04 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Stroke | 0.40 | 0.22-0.73 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
Heart failure | 0.59 | 0.34-1.02 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
CVD death | 0.45 | 0.23-0.86 | Fatani et al, 20218 | ||||
No cardiovascular event | 1.25 | – | Calculation | ||||
Programmatic costs | |||||||
Annual PPCCM pharmacist visits, n | 6 | 4-12 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
PPCCM cost per visit, $ | 24 | 19-29 | ASHP, 201921 | ||||
Annual physician visits | |||||||
PPCCM group, n | 1 | 1-2 | Assumption | ||||
Usual care visits, n | 3 | 1-6 | Dixon et al, 202013 | ||||
Physician cost per visit, $ | 90 | 72-108 | CMS, 201922 | ||||
Total cost of PPCCM, $ | 702 | 562-842 | ASHP, 201921 | ||||
Total cost of usual care, $ | 810 | 648-972 | CMS, 201922 | ||||
Downstream health care costs, $ | |||||||
One-time cost of nonfatal MI | 24,089 | 15,372-32,306 | Bress et al, 201719 | ||||
One-time cost of stroke | 15,678 | 6,001-42,039 | Bress et al, 201719 | ||||
One-time cost of heart failure | 11,678 | 11,669-16,580 | Bress et al, 201719 | ||||
One-time cost of CVD death | 19,514 | 12,560-33,024 | Bress et al, 201719 |
ASHP = American Society for Health-Systems Pharmacists; BP = blood pressure; CMS = Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; CVD = cardiovascular disease; MI = myocardial infarction; PPCCM = pharmacistphysician collaborative care model; TTR = time in target range.