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. 2015 Oct 16;21(5):10.18553/jmcp.2015.21.5.409. doi: 10.18553/jmcp.2015.21.5.409
Intervention Comparator
Placebo Placebo + MTX aTNF TOF 5mg TCZ ABT + MTX ANA + MTX aTNF + MTX TOF 5mg + MTX TCZ + MTX
Placebo OR
(95% CrI)
1.00
(1,1)
0.27
(0.04, 1.80)
0.15
(0.06, 0.33)
0.20
(0.05, 0.83)
0.06
(0.02, 0.24)
0.07
(0.01, 0.47)
0.11
(0.01, 1.01)
0.05
(0.01, 0.35)
0.06
(0.01, 0.46)
0.05
(0.01, 0.29)
P(better) NA 0.08 < 0.01 0.01 < 0.01 0.01 0.03 < 0.01 < 0.01 < 0.01
Placebo + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
3.66
(0.56, 26.40)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.56
(0.10, 3.17)
0.74
(0.07, 8.55)
0.24
(0.06, 0.88)
0.24
(0.14, 0.41)
0.41
(0.13, 1.25)
0.19
(0.13, 0.27)
0.22
(0.11, 0.44)
0.19
(0.09, 0.41)
P(better) 0.92 NA 0.23 0.39 0.02 < 0.01 0.05 < 0.01 < 0.01 < 0.01
aTNF OR
(95% CrI)
6.65
(3.05, 15.43)
1.80
(0.32, 10.07)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.34
(0.25, 7.07)
0.43
(0.14, 1.26)
0.43
(0.07, 2.62)
0.74
(0.09, 5.64)
0.35
(0.06, 1.95)
0.40
(0.06, 2.59)
0.34
(0.07, 1.54)
P(better) > 0.99 0.77 NA 0.64 0.05 0.16 0.37 0.10 0.15 0.07
TOF 5mg OR
(95% CrI)
4.98
(1.21, 21.62)
1.36
(0.12, 14.42)
0.75
(0.14, 3.95)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.32
(0.04, 2.31)
0.33
(0.03, 3.75)
0.55
(0.04, 7.56)
0.26
(0.02, 2.89)
0.30
(0.02, 3.63)
0.26
(0.03, 2.47)
P(better) 0.99 0.61 0.36 NA 0.12 0.17 0.32 0.13 0.16 0.11
TCZ OR
(95% CrI)
15.51
(4.12, 62.04)
4.20
(1.14, 15.56)
2.34
(0.80, 7.05)
3.13
(0.43, 23.22)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.01
(0.24, 4.14)
1.72
(0.30, 9.58)
0.82
(0.20, 3.06)
0.93
(0.22, 4.12)
0.81
(0.28, 2.25)
P(better) > 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.88 NA 0.51 0.75 0.37 0.46 0.32
ABT + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
15.25
(2.13, 122.40)
4.15
(2.43, 7.19)
2.30
(0.38, 14.49)
3.04
(0.27, 38.72)
0.99
(0.24, 4.12)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.71
(0.48, 5.92)
0.80
(0.45, 1.38)
0.92
(0.41, 2.16)
0.79
(0.31, 2.05)
P(better) 0.99 > 0.99 0.84 0.83 0.49 NA 0.81 0.20 0.42 0.30
ANA + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
8.95
(0.99, 87.80)
2.44
(0.80, 7.81)
1.35
(0.18, 10.59)
1.80
(0.13, 26.84)
0.58
(0.10, 3.35)
0.59
(0.17, 2.09)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.47
(0.14, 1.53)
0.54
(0.15, 2.12)
0.47
(0.12, 1.85)
P(better) 0.97 0.95 0.63 0.68 0.25 0.19 NA 0.09 0.17 0.12
aTNF + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
18.83
(2.85, 148.01)
5.16
(3.74, 7.53)
2.85
(0.51, 17.67)
3.79
(0.35, 47.14)
1.22
(0.33, 4.94)
1.24
(0.73, 2.23)
2.11
(0.65, 7.05)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.15
(0.59, 2.42)
0.98
(0.44, 2.36)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.90 0.87 0.63 0.80 0.91 NA 0.66 0.48
TOF 5mg + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
16.47
(2.19, 129.20)
4.49
(2.25, 8.70)
2.51
(0.39, 15.67)
3.30
(0.28, 42.02)
1.07
(0.24, 4.60)
1.08
(0.46, 2.46)
1.84
(0.47, 6.79)
0.87
(0.41, 1.68)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.86
(0.30, 2.33)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.85 0.84 0.54 0.58 0.83 0.34 NA 0.38
TCZ + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
19.23
(3.45, 114.60)
5.22
(2.45, 11.39)
2.90
(0.65, 13.75)
3.86
(0.41, 38.66)
1.24
(0.44, 3.61)
1.26
(0.49, 3.24)
2.14
(0.54, 8.43)
1.02
(0.42, 2.29)
1.16
(0.43, 3.33)
1.00
(1, 1)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.93 0.89 0.68 0.70 0.88 0.52 0.62 NA

ABT = abatacept; ACR50 = 50% improvement in American College of Rheumatology criteria; ANA = anakinra; aTNF = anti-tumor necrosis factor; CrI = credible interval; mg = milligram; MTX = methotrexate; NA = not applicable; OR = odds ratio; P(better) = probability that treatment (in row) is showing greater response than comparator (in column); TCZ = tocilizumab; TOF = tofacitinib.