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. 2015 Oct 16;21(5):10.18553/jmcp.2015.21.5.409. doi: 10.18553/jmcp.2015.21.5.409
Intervention Comparator
Placebo Placebo + MTX aTNF TOF 5mg TCZ ABT + MTX ANA + MTX aTNF + MTX TOF 5mg + MTX TCZ + MTX
Placebo OR
(95% CrI)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.31
(0.03, 2.66)
0.07
(0.01, 0.24)
0.27
(0.05, 1.22)
0.03
(0.00, 0.16)
0.06
(0.00, 0.58)
0.09
(0.01, 1.17)
0.06
(0.00, 0.47)
0.03
(0.00, 0.34)
0.03
(0.00, 0.23)
P(better) NA 0.11 < 0.01 0.04 < 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 < 0.01 < 0.01
Placebo + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
3.26
(0.38, 39.62)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.23
(0.04, 1.38)
0.88
(0.06, 15.52)
0.11
(0.02, 0.42)
0.21
(0.11, 0.37)
0.30
(0.07, 1.22)
0.18
(0.11, 0.26)
0.11
(0.05, 0.24)
0.11
(0.04, 0.27)
P(better) 0.89 NA 0.05 0.46 < 0.01 < 0.01 0.04 0.04 < 0.01 < 0.01
aTNF OR
(95% CrI)
14.00
(4.23, 75.38)
4.26
(0.73, 26.83)
1.00
(1, 1)
3.79
(0.50, 35.41)
0.45
(0.15, 1.39)
0.89
(0.13, 5.90)
1.29
(0.13, 13.11)
0.78
(0.12, 4.82)
0.45
(0.07, 3.57)
0.47
(0.10, 2.29)
P(better) > 0.99 0.95 NA 0.90 0.06 0.44 0.60 0.37 0.18 0.13
TOF 5 mg OR
(95% CrI)
3.76
(0.82, 20.18)
1.14
(0.06, 17.29)
0.26
(0.03, 2.01)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.12
(0.01, 1.19)
0.24
(0.01, 3.70)
0.34
(0.01, 7.36)
0.21
(0.01, 3.08)
0.12
(0.01, 2.15)
0.12
(0.01, 1.61)
P(better) 0.96 0.54 0.10 NA 0.03 0.13 0.23 0.11 0.06 0.05
TCZ OR
(95% CrI)
31.19
(6.23, 242.41)
9.42
(2.40, 40.26)
2.22
(0.72, 6.82)
8.36
(0.84, 103.30)
1.00
(1,1)
1.97
(0.43, 9.08)
2.85
(0.40, 21.09)
1.72
(0.40, 7.25)
1.00
(0.22, 5.62)
1.05
(0.37, 3.07)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.94 0.97 NA 0.85 0.87 0.80 0.50 0.55
ABT + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
15.69
(1.71, 208.60)
4.80
(2.71, 9.34)
1.12
(0.17, 7.50)
4.19
(0.27, 83.54)
0.51
(0.11, 2.31)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.46
(0.30, 6.86)
0.88
(0.47, 1.59)
0.51
(0.21, 1.47)
0.54
(0.18, 1.60)
P(better) 0.99 > 0.99 0.56 0.87 0.15 NA 0.70 0.30 0.09 0.11
ANA + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
11.17
(0.85,192.01)
3.30
(0.82, 14.83)
0.78
(0.08, 7.42)
2.96
(0.14, 74.77)
0.35
(0.05, 2.52)
0.69
(0.15, 3.34)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.60
(0.13, 2.72)
0.36
(0.07, 1.99)
0.37
(0.07, 2.07)
P(better) 0.97 0.96 0.40 0.77 0.13 0.30 NA 0.23 0.10 0.11
aTNF + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
17.84
(2.13, 237.71)
5.50
(3.80, 8.85)
1.28
(0.21, 8.42)
4.85
(0.32, 95.11)
0.58
(0.14, 2.51)
1.14
(0.63, 2.13)
1.66
(0.37, 7.44)
1.00
(1, 1)
0.59
(0.28, 1.47)
0.61
(0.23, 1.69)
P(better) 0.99 > 0.99 0.63 0.89 0.20 0.70 0.77 NA 0.11 0.15
TOF 5mg + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
30.84
(2.95, 403.71)
9.30
(4.10, 20.36)
2.21
(0.28, 14.55)
8.32
(0.47, 154.70)
1.00
(0.18, 4.62)
1.95
(0.68, 4.86)
2.81
(0.50, 13.39)
1.70
(0.68, 3.61)
1.00
(1, 1)
1.04
(0.29, 3.36)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.82 0.94 0.50 0.91 0.90 0.89 NA 0.53
TCZ + MTX OR
(95% CrI)
29.53
(4.35, 295.43)
8.95
(3.72, 23.36)
2.12
(0.44, 9.84)
8.00
(0.62,122.50)
0.95
(0.33, 2.72)
1.86
(0.63, 5.61)
2.72
(0.48, 15.04)
1.63
(0.59, 4.40)
0.96
(0.30, 3.50)
1.00
(1, 1)
P(better) > 0.99 > 0.99 0.87 0.95 0.45 0.89 0.89 0.85 0.47 NA

ABT = abatacept; ACR70 = 70% improvement in American College of Rheumatology criteria; ANA = anakinra; aTNF = anti-tumor necrosis factor; CrI = credible interval; mg = milligram; MTX = methotrexate; NA = not applicable; OR = odds ratio; P(better) = probability that treatment (in row) is showing greater response than comparator (in column); TCZ = tocilizumab; TOF = tofacitinib.