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. 2017 Apr;23(4):10.18553/jmcp.2017.16265. doi: 10.18553/jmcp.2017.16265
Parameterc Coefficient (SE) OR 95% CI P Value
Intercept -5.21 (0.1)   < 0.001
Age -0.03 (0.0) 0.97 0.96-0.97 < 0.001
Male 0.80 (0.0) 2.22 2.12-2.33 < 0.001
U.S. census divisiond
   Northeast [reference value]
   Midwest -0.74 (0.0) 0.48 0.45-0.51 < 0.001
   South -0.43 (0.0) 0.65 0.61-0.69 < 0.001
   West -0.35 (0.0) 0.70 0.65-0.75 < 0.001
   Unknown 0.08 (0.1) 1.08 0.97-1.21 0.155
Employment status of primary beneficiary
   Active [reference value]
   Retirement/early retirement 0.22 (0.0) 1.24 1.15-1.33 < 0.001
   Short-term disability/long-term disability 0.05 (0.1) 1.06 0.94-1.18 0.343
   Leave of absence 0.72 (0.1) 2.06 1.82-2.32 < 0.001
   Othere 0.36 (0.1) 1.44 1.21-1.72 < 0.001
   Unknown -0.23 (0.0) 0.79 0.74-0.85 < 0.001
Relationship to primary beneficiary
   Self [reference value]
   Child 1.15 (0.0) 3.14 2.91-3.40 < 0.001
   Spouse 0.26 (0.0) 1.30 1.23-1.38 < 0.001
   Otherf 0.69 (0.2) 1.98 1.36-2.90 < 0.001
   Unknown 0.92 (0.5) 2.50 1.00-6.24 0.050
Year of index date
   2012 [reference value]
   2013 0.36 (0.0) 1.43 1.36-1.51 < 0.001
   2014 0.45 (0.0) 1.57 1.48-1.66 < 0.001
   2015 0.37 (0.1) 1.44 1.26-1.65 < 0.001
Duration of continuous insurance coverage following the index date
   0-1 months [reference value]
   1-2 months 0.23 (0.1) 1.25 1.07-1.47 0.006
   2-3 months 0.33 (0.1) 1.40 1.19-1.63 < 0.001
   3-4 months 0.40 (0.1) 1.50 1.27-1.77 < 0.001
   4-5 months 0.45 (0.1) 1.57 1.32-1.85 < 0.001
   5-6 months 0.46 (0.1) 1.59 1.34-1.88 < 0.001
   ≥ 6 months 0.64 (0.1) 1.90 1.67-2.17 < 0.001
CCI componentsg
   Myocardial infarction -0.15 (0.2) 0.86 0.56-1.32 0.493
   Congestive heart failure -0.12 (0.1) 0.89 0.69-1.15 0.369
   Peripheral vascular disease -0.10 (0.1) 0.90 0.69-1.17 0.436
   Cerebrovascular disease -0.27 (0.1) 0.77 0.61-0.96 0.020
   Dementia -0.77 (0.6) 0.46 0.14-1.49 0.196
   Chronic pulmonary disease 0.05 (0.0) 1.05 0.96-1.16 0.275
   Rheumatologic disease -0.04 (0.1) 0.96 0.79-1.18 0.705
   Peptic ulcer disease 0.35 (0.2) 1.41 0.99-2.02 0.059
   Mild liver disease 0.39 (0.1) 1.48 1.26-1.75 < 0.001
   Mild to moderate diabetes -0.16 (0.1) 0.85 0.76-0.96 0.006
   Diabetes with chronic complications -0.18 (0.1) 0.84 0.66-1.06 0.141
   Hemiplegia or paraplegia -0.80 (0.2) 0.45 0.28-0.72 0.001
   Renal disease -0.09 (0.1) 0.91 0.70-1.18 0.489
   Any malignancy including lymphoma and leukemia -0.07 (0.1) 0.93 0.78-1.11 0.430
   Moderate or severe liver disease 0.49 (0.3) 1.63 0.87-3.06 0.129
   Metastatic solid tumor -0.64 (0.2) 0.53 0.35-0.79 0.002
   HIV/AIDS -0.18 (0.2) 0.83 0.55-1.27 0.396
Other selected comorbiditiesg
   Nonopioid substance abuse 1.35 (0.0) 3.87 3.56-4.20 < 0.001
   Major depressive disorder 0.19 (0.0) 1.21 1.10-1.32 < 0.001
   Other psychosis 0.40 (0.1) 1.50 1.35-1.65 < 0.001
   Other mental disorder 0.51 (0.0) 1.66 1.57-1.77 < 0.001
   Headache -0.08 (0.0) 0.92 0.84-1.01 0.080
   Neuropathic pain 0.14 (0.0) 1.15 1.05-1.27 0.003
   Hernia -0.10 (0.1) 0.90 0.73-1.12 0.343
   Arthropathies and related disorders (excluding osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis) 0.08 (0.0) 1.08 1.01-1.16 0.035
   Rheumatoid arthritis 0.28 (0.2) 1.33 0.89-1.98 0.162
   Osteoarthritis 0.21 (0.1) 1.24 1.11-1.38 < 0.001
   Back/neck pain 0.54 (0.0) 1.71 1.62-1.82 < 0.001
   Rheumatism, excluding the back (excludes fibromyalgia, neuralgia) -0.03 (0.0) 0.98 0.91-1.05 0.489
   Fibromyalgia 0.08 (0.1) 1.09 0.97-1.22 0.148
   Osteopathies, chondropathies, and acquired musculoskeletal deformities -0.20 (0.1) 0.82 0.73-0.92 0.001
   Abdominal pain 0.16 (0.0) 1.17 1.08-1.27 < 0.001
   Fractures, dislocations, and sprains/strains -0.06 (0.0) 0.94 0.87-1.01 0.097
   Other injuries 0.18 (0.0) 1.20 1.11-1.29 < 0.001
   Hereditary hemolytic anemias -0.28 (0.4) 0.76 0.34-1.66 0.485
   Pain and other symptoms associated with female genital organs 0.02 (0.1) 1.02 0.89-1.17 0.789
   Acute pain -0.01 (0.1) 0.99 0.83-1.17 0.887
   Chronic pain 0.80 (0.1) 2.22 1.92-2.57 < 0.001
   Dental pain 0.07 (0.1) 1.08 0.92-1.25 0.349
   Other pain 0.78 (0.1) 2.19 1.91-2.52 < 0.001
Baseline health care resource useh
   Inpatient days 0.00 (0.0) 1.00 1.00-1.01 0.163
   ED visits 0.09 (0.0) 1.10 1.08-1.12 < 0.001
   Rehabilitation facility days 0.02 (0.0) 1.02 1.01-1.02 < 0.001
   Outpatient/other visits -0.01 (0.0) 0.99 0.99-1.00 0.003
Selected musculoskeletal surgeries
   Hip 0.02 (0.3) 1.02 0.60-1.73 0.950
   Knee -0.22 (0.2) 0.80 0.52-1.22 0.296
   Shoulder 0.11 (0.3) 1.12 0.59-2.14 0.728
   Spine -0.15 (0.1) 0.86 0.66-1.13 0.274
   Number of prescriptions filled 0.03 (0.0) 1.03 1.03-1.03 < 0.001
   Number of unique NDC numbers filledi -0.04 (0.0) 0.96 0.95-0.97 < 0.001
Any use of selected classes of pain relievers
Opioid analgesics
   Immediate release 1.21 (0.0) 3.37 3.18-3.57 < 0.001
   Extended release 1.40 (0.1) 4.06 3.67-4.48 < 0.001
NSAIDs -0.08 (0.0) 0.92 0.86-0.98 0.011
Non-narcotic analgesics -0.11 (0.1) 0.90 0.75-1.08 0.245
Antianxiety medications 0.62 (0.0) 1.86 1.74-1.98 < 0.001
Antidepressants 0.44 (0.0) 1.55 1.46-1.65 < 0.001
Antiepileptics 0.25 (0.0) 1.28 1.19-1.39 < 0.001
Muscle relaxants 0.25 (0.0) 1.28 1.19-1.38 < 0.001
Other pain relieversj 0.52 (0.0) 1.68 1.54-1.83 < 0.001
Baseline health care costs (thousands)k 0.00 (0.0) 1.00 1.00-1.00 0.012

aA logistic regression model was estimated, with the dependent variable being an indicator of whether a patient was diagnosed with opioid abuse, dependence, or poisoning/overdose.

bThe index date for abusers was defined as the date of first diagnosis of abuse, dependence, or poisoning/overdose in Q1 2012-Q1 2015. The index date for controls was defined as a random medical claim in Q1 2012-Q1 2015. This analysis was performed on the cohort of patients with ≥ 12 months of continuous coverage before the index date.

cPatient characteristics were evaluated on the index date.

dNortheast: CT, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT; Midwest: IA, IL, IN, KS, MI, MN, MO, ND, NE, OH, SD, WI; South: AL, AR, DC, DE, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV; West: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY.

eOther statuses include terminated, COBRA, surviving dependent, deceased, summarized, mixed status, coverage cancelled, and temporary employee.

fOther relationships include sponsored, class II dependent, and handicapped.

gComorbidities were evaluated during the baseline period. The baseline period was defined as the period between 12 months and 6 months before the index date.

hHealth care resource use measures were evaluated during the baseline period. The baseline period was defined as the period between 12 months and 6 months before the index date.

iIdentified using 9-digit NDC numbers.

jOther pain relievers include tramadol, butorphanol, pentazocine, nalbuphine, and dihydrocodeine.

kHealth care costs were inflated to 2015 values using the medical care component of the Consumer Price Index.

AIDS = acquired immune deficiency syndrome; CCI = Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI = confidence interval; ED = emergency department; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; NDC = National Drug Code; NSAID = nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; OR = odds ratio; Q = quarter; SE = standard error; U.S. = United States.