| Parameterc | Coefficient | (SE) | OR | 95% CI | P Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | -5.21 | (0.1) | – | < 0.001 | |
| Age | -0.03 | (0.0) | 0.97 | 0.96-0.97 | < 0.001 |
| Male | 0.80 | (0.0) | 2.22 | 2.12-2.33 | < 0.001 |
| U.S. census divisiond | |||||
| Northeast | [reference value] | ||||
| Midwest | -0.74 | (0.0) | 0.48 | 0.45-0.51 | < 0.001 |
| South | -0.43 | (0.0) | 0.65 | 0.61-0.69 | < 0.001 |
| West | -0.35 | (0.0) | 0.70 | 0.65-0.75 | < 0.001 |
| Unknown | 0.08 | (0.1) | 1.08 | 0.97-1.21 | 0.155 |
| Employment status of primary beneficiary | |||||
| Active | [reference value] | ||||
| Retirement/early retirement | 0.22 | (0.0) | 1.24 | 1.15-1.33 | < 0.001 |
| Short-term disability/long-term disability | 0.05 | (0.1) | 1.06 | 0.94-1.18 | 0.343 |
| Leave of absence | 0.72 | (0.1) | 2.06 | 1.82-2.32 | < 0.001 |
| Othere | 0.36 | (0.1) | 1.44 | 1.21-1.72 | < 0.001 |
| Unknown | -0.23 | (0.0) | 0.79 | 0.74-0.85 | < 0.001 |
| Relationship to primary beneficiary | |||||
| Self | [reference value] | ||||
| Child | 1.15 | (0.0) | 3.14 | 2.91-3.40 | < 0.001 |
| Spouse | 0.26 | (0.0) | 1.30 | 1.23-1.38 | < 0.001 |
| Otherf | 0.69 | (0.2) | 1.98 | 1.36-2.90 | < 0.001 |
| Unknown | 0.92 | (0.5) | 2.50 | 1.00-6.24 | 0.050 |
| Year of index date | |||||
| 2012 | [reference value] | ||||
| 2013 | 0.36 | (0.0) | 1.43 | 1.36-1.51 | < 0.001 |
| 2014 | 0.45 | (0.0) | 1.57 | 1.48-1.66 | < 0.001 |
| 2015 | 0.37 | (0.1) | 1.44 | 1.26-1.65 | < 0.001 |
| Duration of continuous insurance coverage following the index date | |||||
| 0-1 months | [reference value] | ||||
| 1-2 months | 0.23 | (0.1) | 1.25 | 1.07-1.47 | 0.006 |
| 2-3 months | 0.33 | (0.1) | 1.40 | 1.19-1.63 | < 0.001 |
| 3-4 months | 0.40 | (0.1) | 1.50 | 1.27-1.77 | < 0.001 |
| 4-5 months | 0.45 | (0.1) | 1.57 | 1.32-1.85 | < 0.001 |
| 5-6 months | 0.46 | (0.1) | 1.59 | 1.34-1.88 | < 0.001 |
| ≥ 6 months | 0.64 | (0.1) | 1.90 | 1.67-2.17 | < 0.001 |
| CCI componentsg | |||||
| Myocardial infarction | -0.15 | (0.2) | 0.86 | 0.56-1.32 | 0.493 |
| Congestive heart failure | -0.12 | (0.1) | 0.89 | 0.69-1.15 | 0.369 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | -0.10 | (0.1) | 0.90 | 0.69-1.17 | 0.436 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | -0.27 | (0.1) | 0.77 | 0.61-0.96 | 0.020 |
| Dementia | -0.77 | (0.6) | 0.46 | 0.14-1.49 | 0.196 |
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 0.05 | (0.0) | 1.05 | 0.96-1.16 | 0.275 |
| Rheumatologic disease | -0.04 | (0.1) | 0.96 | 0.79-1.18 | 0.705 |
| Peptic ulcer disease | 0.35 | (0.2) | 1.41 | 0.99-2.02 | 0.059 |
| Mild liver disease | 0.39 | (0.1) | 1.48 | 1.26-1.75 | < 0.001 |
| Mild to moderate diabetes | -0.16 | (0.1) | 0.85 | 0.76-0.96 | 0.006 |
| Diabetes with chronic complications | -0.18 | (0.1) | 0.84 | 0.66-1.06 | 0.141 |
| Hemiplegia or paraplegia | -0.80 | (0.2) | 0.45 | 0.28-0.72 | 0.001 |
| Renal disease | -0.09 | (0.1) | 0.91 | 0.70-1.18 | 0.489 |
| Any malignancy including lymphoma and leukemia | -0.07 | (0.1) | 0.93 | 0.78-1.11 | 0.430 |
| Moderate or severe liver disease | 0.49 | (0.3) | 1.63 | 0.87-3.06 | 0.129 |
| Metastatic solid tumor | -0.64 | (0.2) | 0.53 | 0.35-0.79 | 0.002 |
| HIV/AIDS | -0.18 | (0.2) | 0.83 | 0.55-1.27 | 0.396 |
| Other selected comorbiditiesg | |||||
| Nonopioid substance abuse | 1.35 | (0.0) | 3.87 | 3.56-4.20 | < 0.001 |
| Major depressive disorder | 0.19 | (0.0) | 1.21 | 1.10-1.32 | < 0.001 |
| Other psychosis | 0.40 | (0.1) | 1.50 | 1.35-1.65 | < 0.001 |
| Other mental disorder | 0.51 | (0.0) | 1.66 | 1.57-1.77 | < 0.001 |
| Headache | -0.08 | (0.0) | 0.92 | 0.84-1.01 | 0.080 |
| Neuropathic pain | 0.14 | (0.0) | 1.15 | 1.05-1.27 | 0.003 |
| Hernia | -0.10 | (0.1) | 0.90 | 0.73-1.12 | 0.343 |
| Arthropathies and related disorders (excluding osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis) | 0.08 | (0.0) | 1.08 | 1.01-1.16 | 0.035 |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 0.28 | (0.2) | 1.33 | 0.89-1.98 | 0.162 |
| Osteoarthritis | 0.21 | (0.1) | 1.24 | 1.11-1.38 | < 0.001 |
| Back/neck pain | 0.54 | (0.0) | 1.71 | 1.62-1.82 | < 0.001 |
| Rheumatism, excluding the back (excludes fibromyalgia, neuralgia) | -0.03 | (0.0) | 0.98 | 0.91-1.05 | 0.489 |
| Fibromyalgia | 0.08 | (0.1) | 1.09 | 0.97-1.22 | 0.148 |
| Osteopathies, chondropathies, and acquired musculoskeletal deformities | -0.20 | (0.1) | 0.82 | 0.73-0.92 | 0.001 |
| Abdominal pain | 0.16 | (0.0) | 1.17 | 1.08-1.27 | < 0.001 |
| Fractures, dislocations, and sprains/strains | -0.06 | (0.0) | 0.94 | 0.87-1.01 | 0.097 |
| Other injuries | 0.18 | (0.0) | 1.20 | 1.11-1.29 | < 0.001 |
| Hereditary hemolytic anemias | -0.28 | (0.4) | 0.76 | 0.34-1.66 | 0.485 |
| Pain and other symptoms associated with female genital organs | 0.02 | (0.1) | 1.02 | 0.89-1.17 | 0.789 |
| Acute pain | -0.01 | (0.1) | 0.99 | 0.83-1.17 | 0.887 |
| Chronic pain | 0.80 | (0.1) | 2.22 | 1.92-2.57 | < 0.001 |
| Dental pain | 0.07 | (0.1) | 1.08 | 0.92-1.25 | 0.349 |
| Other pain | 0.78 | (0.1) | 2.19 | 1.91-2.52 | < 0.001 |
| Baseline health care resource useh | |||||
| Inpatient days | 0.00 | (0.0) | 1.00 | 1.00-1.01 | 0.163 |
| ED visits | 0.09 | (0.0) | 1.10 | 1.08-1.12 | < 0.001 |
| Rehabilitation facility days | 0.02 | (0.0) | 1.02 | 1.01-1.02 | < 0.001 |
| Outpatient/other visits | -0.01 | (0.0) | 0.99 | 0.99-1.00 | 0.003 |
| Selected musculoskeletal surgeries | |||||
| Hip | 0.02 | (0.3) | 1.02 | 0.60-1.73 | 0.950 |
| Knee | -0.22 | (0.2) | 0.80 | 0.52-1.22 | 0.296 |
| Shoulder | 0.11 | (0.3) | 1.12 | 0.59-2.14 | 0.728 |
| Spine | -0.15 | (0.1) | 0.86 | 0.66-1.13 | 0.274 |
| Number of prescriptions filled | 0.03 | (0.0) | 1.03 | 1.03-1.03 | < 0.001 |
| Number of unique NDC numbers filledi | -0.04 | (0.0) | 0.96 | 0.95-0.97 | < 0.001 |
| Any use of selected classes of pain relievers | |||||
| Opioid analgesics | |||||
| Immediate release | 1.21 | (0.0) | 3.37 | 3.18-3.57 | < 0.001 |
| Extended release | 1.40 | (0.1) | 4.06 | 3.67-4.48 | < 0.001 |
| NSAIDs | -0.08 | (0.0) | 0.92 | 0.86-0.98 | 0.011 |
| Non-narcotic analgesics | -0.11 | (0.1) | 0.90 | 0.75-1.08 | 0.245 |
| Antianxiety medications | 0.62 | (0.0) | 1.86 | 1.74-1.98 | < 0.001 |
| Antidepressants | 0.44 | (0.0) | 1.55 | 1.46-1.65 | < 0.001 |
| Antiepileptics | 0.25 | (0.0) | 1.28 | 1.19-1.39 | < 0.001 |
| Muscle relaxants | 0.25 | (0.0) | 1.28 | 1.19-1.38 | < 0.001 |
| Other pain relieversj | 0.52 | (0.0) | 1.68 | 1.54-1.83 | < 0.001 |
| Baseline health care costs (thousands)k | 0.00 | (0.0) | 1.00 | 1.00-1.00 | 0.012 |
aA logistic regression model was estimated, with the dependent variable being an indicator of whether a patient was diagnosed with opioid abuse, dependence, or poisoning/overdose.
bThe index date for abusers was defined as the date of first diagnosis of abuse, dependence, or poisoning/overdose in Q1 2012-Q1 2015. The index date for controls was defined as a random medical claim in Q1 2012-Q1 2015. This analysis was performed on the cohort of patients with ≥ 12 months of continuous coverage before the index date.
cPatient characteristics were evaluated on the index date.
dNortheast: CT, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT; Midwest: IA, IL, IN, KS, MI, MN, MO, ND, NE, OH, SD, WI; South: AL, AR, DC, DE, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV; West: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY.
eOther statuses include terminated, COBRA, surviving dependent, deceased, summarized, mixed status, coverage cancelled, and temporary employee.
fOther relationships include sponsored, class II dependent, and handicapped.
gComorbidities were evaluated during the baseline period. The baseline period was defined as the period between 12 months and 6 months before the index date.
hHealth care resource use measures were evaluated during the baseline period. The baseline period was defined as the period between 12 months and 6 months before the index date.
iIdentified using 9-digit NDC numbers.
jOther pain relievers include tramadol, butorphanol, pentazocine, nalbuphine, and dihydrocodeine.
kHealth care costs were inflated to 2015 values using the medical care component of the Consumer Price Index.
AIDS = acquired immune deficiency syndrome; CCI = Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI = confidence interval; ED = emergency department; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus; NDC = National Drug Code; NSAID = nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; OR = odds ratio; Q = quarter; SE = standard error; U.S. = United States.