TABLE 2.
Model Results Under an Expected Value Indication-Based Price and an Outcomes Guarantee
| Indication | Treatment Arm | Total Cost Per Mean Duration of Postprogression Survival ($) | Total Cost Per Mean Duration of PFS + Postprogression Survival ($) | Preprogression QALY | Postprogression QALY | Incremental Preprogression QALY | Incremental Postprogression QALY | Total Incremental QALY | ICER ($ per QALY) | ICER Target ($ per QALY) | Adjusted Unit Price ($ per mg) | Monthly Price ($ per 4 Weeks Continuation of Therapy) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results under an expected value indication-based price | ||||||||||||
| Metastatic breast cancer | Trastuzumab + chemotherapya | 29,986.56 | 95,715.06 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 260,857 | 150,000 | 3.50 | 2,270.80 |
| Chemotherapy alonea | 0.5 | 0.9 | ||||||||||
| Advanced gastric cancer | Trastuzumab + chemotherapyb | 33,066.57 | 81,456.10 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 321,746 | 150,000 | 0.93 | 691.30 |
| Chemotherapy aloneb | 0.5 | 0.4 | ||||||||||
| Results under an outcomes guarantee | ||||||||||||
| Metastatic breast cancer | Trastuzumab + chemotherapya | 40,193.54 | 135,128.84 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 156,159 | 150,000 | 8.66 | 5,623.40 |
| Chemotherapy alonea | 0.3 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Advanced gastric cancer | Trastuzumab + chemotherapyb | 46,293.20 | 99,450.62 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 314,419 | 150,000 | 0.20 | 147.60 |
| Chemotherapy aloneb | 0.6 | 0.4 | ||||||||||