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. 2016 Jan;22(1):10.18553/jmcp.2016.22.1.22. doi: 10.18553/jmcp.2016.22.1.22

TABLE 5.

Performance Metrics for All MTM Eligibility Criteria Tested in Overall Study Population Using 2 DTPs as the Gold Standard (N = 2,578,336)

Criteria Combination Disease Count Drug Count Annual Drug Spend ($) % of Study Cohort Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%)
2013 MTM criteria ≥ 3   ≥ 8 ≥ 3,144  7.0 15.3 95.6 51.3 78.8
1 ≥ 1   ≥ 3   ≥ 150 64.9 88.6 42.3 31.8 92.5
2 ≥ 1   ≥ 6   ≥ 150 51.5 79.3 56.9 35.9 90.0
3 ≥ 1 ≥ 10   ≥ 150 28.4 53.5 79.2 43.8 84.9
4 ≥ 2   ≥ 3   ≥ 150 47.2 75.0 61.2 37.0 88.9
5 ≥ 2   ≥ 6   ≥ 150 39.5 67.8 69.1 40.0 87.6
6 ≥ 2 ≥ 10   ≥ 150 23.0 46.6 84.1 47.2 83.8
7 ≥ 3   ≥ 3   ≥ 150 20.6 40.2 85.4 45.5 82.5
8 ≥ 3   ≥ 6   ≥ 150 18.6 37.5 87.1 47.0 82.1
9 ≥ 3 ≥ 10   ≥ 150 12.3 27.7 92.3 52.3 80.8
10 ≥ 1   ≥ 3   ≥ 656 45.2 69.7 62.3 36.0 87.1
11 ≥ 1   ≥ 6   ≥ 656 40.2 65.8 67.6 38.2 86.7
12 ≥ 1 ≥ 10   ≥ 656 25.8 49.2 81.3 44.5 84.1
13 ≥ 2   ≥ 3   ≥ 656 34.6 59.8 73.1 40.3 85.7
14 ≥ 2   ≥ 6   ≥ 656 31.6 56.8 76.0 41.9 85.3
15 ≥ 2 ≥ 10   ≥ 656 21.1 43.1 85.6 47.6 83.2
16 ≥ 3   ≥ 3   ≥ 656 16.8 33.9 88.5 47.2 81.5
17 ≥ 3   ≥ 6   ≥ 656 15.9 32.7 89.2 47.9 81.4
18 ≥ 3 ≥ 10   ≥ 656 11.6 26.0 92.8 52.3 80.5
19 ≥ 1   ≥ 3 ≥ 2,239 23.1 39.7 82.0 40.1 81.7
20 ≥ 1   ≥ 6 ≥ 2,239 21.5 38.4 83.6 41.6 81.7
21 ≥ 1 ≥ 10 ≥ 2,239 15.8 31.6 89.0 46.5 81.1
22 ≥ 2   ≥ 3 ≥ 2,239 18.4 34.6 86.5 43.8 81.3
23 ≥ 2   ≥ 6 ≥ 2,239 17.5 33.6 87.5 44.9 81.3
24 ≥ 2 ≥ 10 ≥ 2,239 13.2 28.0 91.3 49.3 80.7
25 ≥ 3   ≥ 3 ≥ 2,239 10.1 21.2 93.3 49.1 79.6
26 ≥ 3   ≥ 6 ≥ 2,239  9.8 20.8 93.6 49.6 79.5
27 ≥ 3 ≥ 10 ≥ 2,239  7.8 17.8 95.2 53.1 79.2

DTPs = drug therapy problems; MTM = medication therapy management; NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value.