TABLE 5.
Performance Metrics for All MTM Eligibility Criteria Tested in Overall Study Population Using 2 DTPs as the Gold Standard (N = 2,578,336)
Criteria Combination | Disease Count | Drug Count | Annual Drug Spend ($) | % of Study Cohort | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013 MTM criteria | ≥ 3 | ≥ 8 | ≥ 3,144 | 7.0 | 15.3 | 95.6 | 51.3 | 78.8 |
1 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 150 | 64.9 | 88.6 | 42.3 | 31.8 | 92.5 |
2 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 150 | 51.5 | 79.3 | 56.9 | 35.9 | 90.0 |
3 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 150 | 28.4 | 53.5 | 79.2 | 43.8 | 84.9 |
4 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 150 | 47.2 | 75.0 | 61.2 | 37.0 | 88.9 |
5 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 150 | 39.5 | 67.8 | 69.1 | 40.0 | 87.6 |
6 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 150 | 23.0 | 46.6 | 84.1 | 47.2 | 83.8 |
7 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 150 | 20.6 | 40.2 | 85.4 | 45.5 | 82.5 |
8 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 150 | 18.6 | 37.5 | 87.1 | 47.0 | 82.1 |
9 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 150 | 12.3 | 27.7 | 92.3 | 52.3 | 80.8 |
10 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 656 | 45.2 | 69.7 | 62.3 | 36.0 | 87.1 |
11 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 656 | 40.2 | 65.8 | 67.6 | 38.2 | 86.7 |
12 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 656 | 25.8 | 49.2 | 81.3 | 44.5 | 84.1 |
13 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 656 | 34.6 | 59.8 | 73.1 | 40.3 | 85.7 |
14 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 656 | 31.6 | 56.8 | 76.0 | 41.9 | 85.3 |
15 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 656 | 21.1 | 43.1 | 85.6 | 47.6 | 83.2 |
16 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 656 | 16.8 | 33.9 | 88.5 | 47.2 | 81.5 |
17 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 656 | 15.9 | 32.7 | 89.2 | 47.9 | 81.4 |
18 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 656 | 11.6 | 26.0 | 92.8 | 52.3 | 80.5 |
19 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 2,239 | 23.1 | 39.7 | 82.0 | 40.1 | 81.7 |
20 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 2,239 | 21.5 | 38.4 | 83.6 | 41.6 | 81.7 |
21 | ≥ 1 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 2,239 | 15.8 | 31.6 | 89.0 | 46.5 | 81.1 |
22 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 2,239 | 18.4 | 34.6 | 86.5 | 43.8 | 81.3 |
23 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 2,239 | 17.5 | 33.6 | 87.5 | 44.9 | 81.3 |
24 | ≥ 2 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 2,239 | 13.2 | 28.0 | 91.3 | 49.3 | 80.7 |
25 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 2,239 | 10.1 | 21.2 | 93.3 | 49.1 | 79.6 |
26 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 6 | ≥ 2,239 | 9.8 | 20.8 | 93.6 | 49.6 | 79.5 |
27 | ≥ 3 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 2,239 | 7.8 | 17.8 | 95.2 | 53.1 | 79.2 |
DTPs = drug therapy problems; MTM = medication therapy management; NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value.