TABLE 2.
All-course five-fold cross-validation results by chemotherapy regimen, in Step 2 regimen and start-date identification.
| Random Forest | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||||||
| Fold 1 |
Fold 2 |
Fold 3 |
Fold 4 |
Fold 5 |
||||||
| PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | |
| ADE 10 | 0.92 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.82 |
| ADE 10 GMTZ | 0.91 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 0.64 | 0.89 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.84 |
| ADE 8 | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| AE | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| HDAraC-C | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| MA | 0.86 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.95 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.91 |
| Logistic Regression | ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||
|
Fold 1
|
Fold 2
|
Fold 3
|
Fold 4
|
Fold 5
|
||||||
| PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | |
| ADE 10 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 0.84 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| ADE 10 GMTZ | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 0.70 | 0.94 | 0.69 | 0.90 | 0.78 | 0.95 | 0.71 |
| ADE 8 | 0.79 | 0.69 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| AE | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| HDAraC-C | 0.86 | 0.35 | 0.84 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.39 | 0.76 | 0.32 | 0.81 | 0.33 |
| MA | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.75 |
| Support Vector Machine | ||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||
|
Fold 1
|
Fold 2
|
Fold 3
|
Fold 4
|
Fold 5
|
||||||
| PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | PPV | Sensitivity | |
| ADE 10 | 0.92 | 0.83 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 0.95 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| ADE 10 GMTZ | 0.91 | 0.83 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| ADE 8 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| AE | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| HDAraC-C | 0.89 | 0.59 | 0.88 | 0.65 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 0.62 | 0.85 | 0.60 |
| MA | 0.86 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.83 | 0.90 |
Abbreviations: ADE, ara-C (cytarabinel+daunorubicin+etoposide; AE, ara-C+etoposide; GMTZ, gemtuzumab; HDAraC-C, high-dose ara-C+asparaginase; MA, mitoxantrone+ara-C.