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. 2023 Mar 9;9(5):459–473. doi: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcad018

Table 1.

Prevalent cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for CAVD disease in 2019, and net drift in age standardized rates (ASRs) per 100, 000, by Global Burden of Disease region, from 1990 to 2019

Prevalence DALYs Deaths
Regions No, in thousands (95% UI), 2019 All-age rate per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 ASRs per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 Net drift (95% CI), % No, in thousands (95% UI), 2019 All-age rate per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 ASRs per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 Net drift (95% CI), % No, in thousands (95% UI), 2019 All-age rate per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 ASRs per 100 000 (95% UI), 2019 Net drift (95% CI), %
Global 9404.08 (8079.6, 10 889.73) 121.54 (104.42, 140.74) 116.34 (100.39, 134.5) 3.69 (3.52, 3.87) 1837.75 (1637.02, 2031.85) 23.75 (21.16, 26.26) 23.90 (21.10, 26.55) −0.70 (−0.76, −0.64) 126.83 (105.6, 141.39) 1.64 (1.36, 1.83) 1.76 (1.45, 1.97) −0.83 (−0.91, −0.74)
High-income Asia Pacific 1715.7 (1450.88, 2042.13) 916.06 (774.67, 1090.35) 408.4 (348.93, 479.89) 1.66 (1.57, 1.75) 142.13 (109.60, 165.94) 75.89 (58.52, 88.6) 24.46 (19.89, 28.22) −2.10 (−2.22, −1.98) 13.57 (9.08, 16.51) 7.25 (4.85, 8.81) 1.98 (1.40, 2.36) −2.51 (−2.76, −2.26)
High-income North America 1492.89 (1305.2, 1727.5) 409.50 (358.02, 473.86) 244.39 (214.46, 279.6) 1.07 (0.93, 1.21) 314.81 (274.62, 346.35) 86.35 (75.33, 95.01) 46.80 (41.53, 51.25) −1.58 (−1.69, −1.48) 27.19 (22.16, 30.24) 7.46 (6.08, 8.29) 3.64 (3.02, 4.02) −1.62 (−1.78, −1.46)
Western Europe 1862.79 (1577.56, 2209.09) 426.94 (361.57, 506.31) 204.84 (174.62, 240.59) 6.58 (6.33, 6.82) 543.78 (471.46, 598.09) 124.63 (108.06, 137.08) 51.94 (45.69, 56.95) −0.83 (−0.96, −0.70) 47.89 (39.52, 53.66) 10.98 (9.06, 12.3) 4.05 (3.40, 4.51) −0.95 (−1.17, −0.72)
Australasia 320.82 (272.23, 381.06) 1103.86 (936.68, 1311.11) 649.5 (552, 772.74) 10.12 (9.85, 10.38) 23.97 (20.44, 27.5) 82.49 (70.34, 94.62) 44.54 (38.48, 51.02) −1.12 (−1.29, −0.96) 1.87 (1.51, 2.11) 6.42 (5.21, 7.25) 3.18 (2.62, 3.58) −1.66 (−2.16, −1.16)
Andean Latin America 33.35 (28.25, 39.02) 52.44 (44.42, 61.35) 59.04 (50.07, 69.05) 8.76 (8.37, 9.16) 7.26 (5.88, 8.87) 11.42 (9.24, 13.95) 12.54 (10.21, 15.28) −0.11 (−0.35, 0.13) 0.29 (0.24, 0.35) 0.46 (0.37, 0.56) 0.53 (0.43, 0.64) −0.33 (−1.16, 0.50)
Tropical Latin America 58.6 (47.23, 72.05) 26.21 (21.12, 32.23) 23.73 (19.16, 29.01) 3.67 (3.44, 3.90) 70.73 (63.57, 80.92) 31.63 (28.43, 36.19) 29.50 (26.5, 33.74) −0.64 (−0.74, −0.54) 3.58 (3.11, 4.14) 1.60 (1.39, 1.85) 1.56 (1.34, 1.80) −0.65 (−0.88, −0.42)
Central Latin America 76.96 (63.86, 91.38) 30.78 (25.54, 36.55) 31.82 (26.45, 37.75) 6.55 (6.29, 6.81) 44.87 (36.84, 55.56) 17.95 (14.74, 22.22) 18.72 (15.40, 23.13) 0.22 (0.11, 0.32) 1.96 (1.61, 2.43) 0.78 (0.64, 0.97) 0.85 (0.70, 1.06) 0.14 (−0.20, 0.49)
Southern Latin America 101.89 (87.12, 120.8) 152.64 (130.52, 180.96) 122.72 (104.78, 145.67) 7.39 (7.23, 7.55) 42.48 (38.29, 46.44) 63.64 (57.36, 69.57) 50.54 (45.69, 55.27) −0.41 (−0.49, −0.33) 2.84 (2.46, 3.16) 4.26 (3.68, 4.73) 3.3 (2.85, 3.66) −0.49 (−0.78, −0.20)
Caribbean 45.47 (37.69, 54.85) 96.40 (79.92, 116.29) 87.51 (72.62, 105.56) 7.32 (6.95, 7.70) 11.32 (9.16, 14.16) 24.01 (19.42, 30.01) 22.09 (17.87, 27.65) 0.22 (0.07, 0.37) 0.52 (0.42, 0.63) 1.09 (0.89, 1.33) 1.00 (0.82, 1.22) 0.08 (−0.49, 0.65)
Central Europe 1260.56 (1067.65, 1479.62) 1103.59 (934.7, 1295.37) 608.31 (517.94, 713.51) 6.96 (6.72, 7.21) 84.11 (69.74, 99.02) 73.63 (61.06, 86.69) 39.15 (32.37, 46.15) 4.11 (3.91, 4.31) 4.68 (3.77, 5.58) 4.09 (3.30, 4.89) 2.08 (1.68, 2.49) 3.9 (3.61, 4.2)
Eastern Europe 1328.69 (1065.7, 1605.21) 632.80 (507.55, 764.49) 395.8 (319.64, 477) 8.59 (8.33, 8.85) 46.12 (37.77, 56.57) 21.97 (17.99, 26.94) 14.17 (11.57, 17.34) 4.15 (3.74, 4.56) 1.64 (1.37, 1.93) 0.78 (0.65, 0.92) 0.48 (0.40, 0.57) 3.39 (3.00, 3.77)
Central Asia 41.06 (33.49, 48.81) 43.90 (35.81, 52.19) 53.22 (43.89, 62.92) 7.24 (7.01, 7.48) 5.54 (4.67, 6.97) 5.92 (4.99, 7.45) 7.45 (6.27, 9.38) 3.77 (3.44, 4.1) 0.21 (0.17, 0.26) 0.22 (0.18, 0.28) 0.33 (0.27, 0.43) 3.63 (2.50, 4.76)
North Africa and Middle East 54.3 (43.23, 66.78) 8.92 (7.10, 10.97) 10.83 (8.67, 13.35) 5.92 (5.45, 6.39) 100.97 (84.2, 119.65) 16.59 (13.83, 19.66) 21.11 (17.59, 24.72) 2.81 (2.69, 2.94) 3.82 (3.19, 4.44) 0.63 (0.52, 0.73) 0.97 (0.81, 1.12) 2.81 (2.59, 3.04)
South Asia 30.19 (23.68, 37.63) 1.67 (1.31, 2.08) 2.03 (1.6, 2.52) 5.37 (5.07, 5.68) 190.68 (144.06, 248.6) 10.56 (7.98, 13.77) 13.83 (10.63, 17.66) 3.77 (3.57, 3.97) 8.75 (6.85, 11.05) 0.48 (0.38, 0.61) 0.76 (0.6, 0.95) 3.77 (3.58, 3.96)
South East Asia 44.73 (35.66, 55.42) 3.56 (2.78, 4.49) 2.56 (2.05, 3.15) 6.35 (5.98, 6.73) 198.71 (159.21, 254.56) 5.84 (4.78, 7.45) 11.82 (9.52, 14.86) 0.17 (0.05, 0.29) 9.18 (7.44, 11.5) 0.25 (0.21, 0.32) 0.64 (0.52, 0.79) 0.15 (−0.19, 0.49)
East Asia 891.02 (707.25, 1093.31) 60.52 (48.04, 74.26) 42.41 (33.87, 51.68) 11.96 (11.62, 12.31) 86.82 (70.96, 103.74) 5.90 (4.82, 7.05) 4.36 (3.59, 5.18) −0.08 (−0.30, 0.14) 3.23 (2.62, 3.85) 0.22 (0.18, 0.26) 0.17 (0.14, 0.20) −0.53 (−0.79, −0.26)
Oceania 1.13 (0.9, 1.37) 8.51 (6.81, 10.35) 18.61 (14.95, 22.75) 3.62 (1.40, 5.89) 1.27 (0.82, 1.89) 9.60 (6.17, 14.2) 15.58 (10.60, 22.16) −0.22 (−1.15, 0.72) 0.04 (0.03, 0.06) 0.31 (0.21, 0.44) 0.75 (0.54, 1.04) −0.27 (−3.03, 2.58)
Western sub- Saharan Africa 3.87 (3, 4.88) 0.85 (0.66, 1.07) 1.65 (1.3, 2.04) 0.82 (−0.13, 1.78) 31.35 (21.26, 45.26) 6.87 (4.66, 9.92) 13.17 (9.11, 18.49) −0.44 (−0.62, −0.27) 1.02 (0.71, 1.42) 0.22 (0.16, 0.31) 0.55 (0.39, 0.76) −0.43 (−0.94, 0.09)
Eastern sub- Saharan Africa 2.6 (2, 3.27) 0.63 (0.49, 0.79) 1.4 (1.1, 1.74) 1.37 (0.61, 2.15) 29.97 (22.89, 39.84) 7.28 (5.56, 9.67) 16.91 (13.45, 21.67) −0.37 (−0.50, −0.23) 1.20 (0.95, 1.53) 0.29 (0.23, 0.37) 0.92 (0.72, 1.21) −0.36 (−0.79, 0.07)
Central sub- Saharan Africa 0.8 (0.62, 1.01) 0.61 (0.47, 0.77) 1.36 (1.08, 1.69) 1.10 (−0.54, 2.77) 10.43 (6.84, 15.6) 7.93 (5.20, 11.86) 18.97 (13.23, 26.91) −0.02 (−0.31, 0.27) 0.41 (0.29, 0.58) 0.31 (0.22, 0.44) 1.01 (0.74, 1.36) −0.01 (−0.86, 0.84)
Southern sub- Saharan Africa 57.4 (44.28, 73.39) 73.06 (56.35, 93.4) 94.86 (72.97, 120.7) 8.87 (8.42, 9.32) 9.74 (8.36, 11.08) 12.40 (10.65, 14.1) 17.24 (14.86, 19.32) 0.02 (−0.13, 0.17) 0.43 (0.37, 0.48) 0.55 (0.47, 0.61) 0.96 (0.82, 1.07) −0.14 (−0.76, 0.48)

CAVD, calcific aortic valve disease; 95% UI, 95% uncertainty intervals; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.