Table 3.
Predictors of unchanged/increased HIV risk at 1 year.
| Socio-demographic characteristics | Number (%) | Number (%) with no change/increase in risk score# | Univariable analysis |
Multivariable analysis |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | P-value | OR (95% CI) | P-value | |||
| Overall | 300 (100) | 115 (38) | ||||
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 168 (56) | 59 (35) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Female | 132 (44) | 56 (42) | 1.36 (0.85–2.17) | 0.197 | 1.35 (0.84–2.17) | 0.212 |
| Age (years) (mean, SD) | (26, 6.13) | (26, 6.39) | 0.99 (0.95–1.03) | 0.684 | 1.00 (0.96–1.03) | 0.806 |
| Education | ||||||
| ≤Primary | 195 (65) | 71 (36) | Ref | |||
| ≥Secondary | 105 (35) | 44 (42) | 1.26 (0.78–2.05) | 0.351 | ||
| Marital status | ||||||
| Single | 142 (47) | 52 (37) | Ref | |||
| Married/cohabiting/in a relationship | 121 (40) | 49 (40) | 1.18 (0.72–1.94) | |||
| Divorced/separated/widowed | 37 (12) | 14 (38) | 1.05 (0.50–2.22) | 0.811 | ||
| Religion | ||||||
| Christian | 229 (76) | 88 (38) | Ref | |||
| Muslim/other | 71 (24) | 27 (38) | 0.98 (0.57–1.70) | 0.952 | ||
| Occupation* | ||||||
| Sex work | 39 (13) | 15 (38) | 1.00 (0.50–2.01) | 0.986 | ||
| Subsistence fisheries | 64 (21) | 20 (31) | 0.67 (0.37–1.22) | 0.189 | ||
| Salon/lodge/bar worker, market/street vendor | 82 (27) | 33 (40) | 1.12 (0.66–1.88) | 0.676 | ||
| Other occupation (professional, student, crafts, etc.) | 130 (43) | 52 (40) | 1.13 (0.71–1.81) | 0.604 | ||
| PrEP uptake | ||||||
| No | 219 (73) | 87 (40) | Ref | |||
| Yes | 81 (27) | 28 (35) | 0.80 (0.47–1.36) | 0.415 | ||
| Calendar period at 1-year assessment | ||||||
| Pre-COVID (up to March 2020) | 206 (69) | 75 (36) | Ref | |||
| Post COVID (beyond March 2020) | 94 (31) | 40 (43) | 1.29 (0.79–2.13) | 0.310 | ||
*Multiple options allowed; #An increase in risk score implied higher risk at the 1-year assessment.